XRP Price Prediction: Geopolitical Tensions Spur Ripple Sell-Off – Will $XRP Drop below $2?

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Alejandro Arrieche

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Alejandro Arrieche

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Last updated: 

June 23, 2025

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The XRP price broke below the $2 level during the weekend after the United States effectively entered the war between Iran and Israel.

The token’s 24-hour trading volumes have surged by 41%, possibly as this bearish breakout blew up a significant number of long positions.

XRP has been consolidating for a while after the token surged near its all-time highs in January. A handful of legal victories against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and a change in leadership within the regulatory agency for a pro-crypto figure – Paul Atkins – favor a bullish XRP price prediction.

Meanwhile, the launch of Ripple USD (RLUSD) and the rapid expansion of its market cap paired with the latest announcement concerning USDC support within the Ripple blockchain has also strengthened XRP’s prospects.

That said, the market has underplayed and ignored most of these bullish catalysts for the most part of 2025.

XRP Price Prediction: Retest of $1.9 Support Seems Highly Likely

Crypto liquidations in the past 24 hours have surged to more than $620 million as per data from CoinGlass. This has been the result of the latest developments in the Middle East.

XRP dropped to $1.91 and bounced off that level and it now seems headed to retest a former support at $2.08 from below to confirm a bearish outlook.

If the price rejects a move above that area, it could result in a significant downturn in the short-term as it means that XRP has broken its consolidation to the downside.

Meanwhile, the long-term price trend has shifted to bearish as the token is now trading below its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA).

Trading volumes at $1.91 were quite high and above the average. This confirms the relevance of this price zone and the existence of significant buying interest at that level.

Hence, this, along with the $2.08 resistance, are the key areas to watch in the next few hours. Any development in the Middle East that could point to an escalation in the conflict – e.g. the involvement of more countries – could further plunge XRP as the price of the U.S. dollar will likely rise.

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