Will Bitcoin Keep Rising After Trump’s Tariff Pause? Here’s What Traders Need to Know

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Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

Crypto Writer

Arslan Butt

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Arslan Butt is an experienced webinar speaker, market analyst, and content writer specializing in crypto, forex, and commodities. He provides expert insights, trading strategies, and in-depth analysis...

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April 10, 2025 09:13 EDT

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Bitcoin (BTC) is back in rally mode, jumping over 7% to reclaim $81,800 after former President Donald Trump paused tariffs for 90 days on nearly 60 countries. The move temporarily eased pressure on risk assets, sparking a sharp rebound in global equities and crypto markets.

But the rally came with a twist.

While offering relief to some nations, Trump hiked tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%, fueling fresh concerns over an extended U.S.-China trade war. The mixed policy signals have left markets on edge—with Bitcoin caught in the middle of macro optimism and geopolitical risk.

Stocks surged across the board, with the S&P 500 up 9.5% and Dow Jones climbing 7.8%, while BTC bounced from a weekly low of $76,000 to retest $82,000, a key resistance level not seen in days.

What It Means for Bitcoin’s Next Move

So, where does Bitcoin go from here?

BTC is currently consolidating just below a major resistance zone near $83,500. This level aligns with the midpoint of a large descending wedge pattern and is also a high-volume supply zone—making it a crucial battleground for bulls and bears alike.

Technical indicators show some cautious optimism:

• 50 EMA reclaimed at $80,179, a short-term bullish sign
• RSI at 57.5, reflecting neutral-to-bullish momentum
• Resistance: $83,500
• Support: $80,000, with stronger support at $77,813

If Bitcoin breaks cleanly above $83,500, it could open the door for a move toward $86,400. But failure to break out may invite another pullback, especially if macro conditions worsen.

The Bigger Picture: Geopolitics and the Fed

While technicals matter, macro forces remain the main driver of Bitcoin’s current volatility.

Trump’s tariff pause may have calmed markets temporarily, but the steep hike on Chinese goods underscores that geopolitical risk is far from over. Investors are also closely watching the Federal Reserve: if upcoming inflation data shows signs of cooling and Fed officials pivot toward rate cuts, Bitcoin could benefit from lower real yields and a softer U.S. dollar.

In other words, Bitcoin’s recent strength isn’t just about chart patterns—it’s about how global trade dynamics and central bank decisions play out in the weeks ahead.

Final Thoughts

For now, $83,500 is the level to watch. A breakout above it could mark the beginning of Bitcoin’s next leg up. But with ongoing China tariffs and uncertain Fed policy, traders should remain nimble and watch for confirmation before making bold moves.

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