Bitcoin Rallies Above USD 17,000, Ray Dalio In Doubt
On Tuesday, the most popular cryptocurrency, bitcoin (BTC), breached the USD 17,000 level for the first time since January 2018 and surged above USD 17,700 in several hours, while its market capitalization almost reached its all-time high of USD 335bn. Also, it took a week for BTC to increase from USD 15,000 to USD 16,000 and five days to reach USD 17,000.
Ray Dalio. Source: a video screenshot, YouTube, TED
At pixel time (17:59 UTC), BTC trades at USD 17,786 and is up by almost 7% in a day 16% in a week. The price also rallied by almost 53% in a month and 106% in a year. Bitcoin market capitalization reached almost USD 329bn.
"I believe the market cap metric is much more important than the price of a single bitcoin. The supply slowly increases, so total market cap better represents where the market is over time. We are currently sitting at just over USD 315 billion — only 3 days in the history of bitcoin have ever been higher," Anthony Pompliano, Co-founder and partner at cryptocurrency investment firm Morgan Creek Digital Assets, wrote in his newsletter today.
"Bitcoin is a beast — it can increase and decrease in price rapidly. My thesis for the next 12-14 months continues to remain intact. If the mainstream conversation shifts at some point and people start talking about bitcoin like they did in 2017, we could see price movements even larger than I previously anticipated," Pompliano, who said in June 2019 that BTC will reach USD 100,000 before December 31, 2021, added.
Meanwhile, Ray Dalio, the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates, tweeted today that he "might be missing something about Bitcoin so I’d love to be corrected."
Dalio still claims that:
- Bitcoin is not very good as a medium of exchange because you can buy much with it.
- It’s not very good as a store-hold of wealth because it’s volatility is great and has little correlation with the prices of what I need to buy.
- Governments might still outlaw BTC.
"We are currently witnessing extremely bullish price action in BTC. Driven by a mix of market structure and strong fundamentals, BTC could now be within days of reaching it’s all-time high [of USD 20,000]," Nicholas Pelecanos, Head of Trading at NEM (XEM), said in an emailed comment.
According to him, underlying this bullish price action is the inflation hedge narrative "that has captured Wall Street since the immense money printing campaigns undertaken by the [Federal Reserve] earlier this year."
"In the US, we are even seeing current or former government officials who are beginning to invest in bitcoin. SkyBridge Capital, an investment firm founded by former White House Communications Director Anthony Scaramucci, has indicated in a pair of filings that the fund may hold long and short positions in digital assets. US Senator-elect Cynthia Lummis has recently announced that she hopes to bring Bitcoin into the national conversation and that it should be viewed as a store of value to counter inflation of US dollars," according to Kadan Stadelmann, Chief Technology Officer at Komodo (KMD).
Also, as reported, Tom Fitzpatrick, Managing Director at Citibank, said last week that "Bitcoin is the new Gold" that could hit USD 318,000 by December 2021.
"Improbable though that seems it would only be a low to high rally of 102 times (the weakest rally so far in percentage terms) at a point where the arguments in favour of Bitcoin could well be at their most persuasive ever," he said.
Meanwhile, opinions are mixed whether this rally brings a lot of new investors in the space.
"The number of questions I get on it now is a fraction of what I got a couple of years ago when it was really hot," Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist for Schwab Center for Financial Research, told Bloomberg.
"Bitcoin gets attention when it looks like the world is coming to an end, it’s the anti-vaccine trade. As stocks and everything else have done better and people have forgotten about trade wars and things have been eclipsed by the pandemic, Bitcoin has taken a back seat to all of that," Bryce Doty, portfolio manager at Sit Fixed Income Advisors.
"The irony is awesome when one of the largest financial media companies writing an article claiming that no one is talking about something," Pompliano reacted.
However, Matt Maley at Miller Tabak + Co. told Bloomberg that institutional investors might be paying more attention to the crypto space — he’s fielded some calls about it in recent weeks.
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