The Trump-Musk Feud has drawn over $4m volume to Polymarket and rivals, turning every barb into a tradable contract. Bettors have gauged impeachment odds, a Musk unfollow, reconciliation timelines, and even the chance of a third-party bid, revealing how decentralized markets quantify political spectacle.
X and Polymarket have teamed up to weave live blockchain prediction odds into the X feed, with widgets showing current probabilities beneath related posts and linking to full contracts for non-U.S. users. The partnership has replaced a scrapped plan with Kalshi and will use X’s AI Grok for context.
Following Trump's unveiling of global tariffs, Polymarket Recession Odds soared to 60%, reflecting heightened fears of a 2025 economic downturn as U.S. markets experienced a two-day plunge totaling 3,700 points.
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