Bitcoin Price Prediction: Iran War Goes On, Crypto Can’t Catch A Break

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Ahmed Barakat

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Ahmed Barakat

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Aug 2025

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Ahmed Balaha is a journalist and copywriter based in Georgia with a growing focus on blockchain technology, DeFi, AI, privacy, digital assets, and fintech innovation.

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April 20, 2026

The Strait of Hormuz is back under Iranian control, Trump is threatening to level Iran’s power grid, and somehow BTC is still standing where altcoins would already be bleeding out. Something in the structure of this market has changed, but the Bitcoin price prediction is still bullish.

The weekend’s flare-up hit hard across traditional assets. Brent crude surged to $88, European natural gas futures spiked as much as 11%, and S&P 500 futures dropped 0.6% after Friday’s record close. Bitcoin’s 0.5% pullback looked almost serene by comparison.

This is now the fourth major Iran-related escalation since the conflict began on February 28, and the pattern is consistent. Each successive crypto sell-off is shallower than the last. Bank of England Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden warned April 18 that the war “heightens combined market stress risks,” yet BTC held above $70,000 throughout.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: $80K Still The Target

Bitcoin hit its 2026 low of $63,000 on February before bouncing to $78,000 on the ceasefire talk last week, liquidating $200 million in shorts in the process. The current $74K level sits in the middle of a well-defined five-week range between $73,000 and $78,000.

RSI showed a slightly oversold rebound after the April 1 wick; Chaikin Money Flow data points to active dip-buying despite elevated volatility, the same pattern as Bitcoin’s post-Ukraine invasion consolidation in 2022, with EMA 100 and 200 closing in for a golden cross.

Key support sits higher, after the jump last week, at $73,000. Resistance is clustered at $76,000–$78,000. Polymarket currently prices an 80%+ probability of a deal by the end of June, which sets up a good scenario. Ceasefire confirmed, Strait reopens, then BTC breaks $78,000, targets $80,000–$94,000 range within weeks.

Bernstein maintains a $150,000 year-end 2026 target in a call backed, in part, by MicroStrategy’s purchase of 4,871 BTC ($329.9 million) between April 1–5, right into the conflict’s worst week.

Long-term holders are buying the fear. That doesn’t guarantee a near-term breakout, but it sets a credible demand floor.

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Bitcoin Hyper Bullish as BTC Grinds Through War-Risk Consolidation

Bitcoin above $74,000 sounds bullish until you map the resistance. $76,000 is a ceiling that’s been rejected twice already, and a full move to Bernstein’s $150,000 target implies months of sustained catalyst flows like a ceasefire, ETF inflows, and macro easing, all arriving in sequence.

There are a lot of dominoes to be pushed. Those looking for asymmetric upside without waiting for BTC to clear four layers of resistance are increasingly looking at the infrastructure layer being built on top of Bitcoin itself.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioned at that intersection. It’s built as the first-ever Bitcoin Layer 2 with full Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, bringing sub-second smart contract execution to the Bitcoin ecosystem without sacrificing Bitcoin’s base-layer security.

The pitch is direct: fix Bitcoin’s core limitations of slow transactions, high fees, and zero programmability, while preserving the trust that makes BTC worth building on. The presale has raised $32 million at a current price of $0.0136, with 36% APY staking available.

Hyper offers a real capital stack at a seed-stage price. Dig into the mechanics, because the raised size suggests this isn’t flying under the radar.

Research Bitcoin Hyper here.