Bitcoin Price Prediction: Volatility Ahead of FOMC, Skybridge’s Bold Claim, BlackRock’s ETF Update

Arslan Butt
Last updated: | 4 min read

In the ever-evolving realm of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin’s price dynamics remain a focal point for investors and market analysts. Currently trading at $41,001, Bitcoin has seen a decrease of over 2% as of Wednesday, reflecting a phase of volatility, particularly as the market anticipates the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.

Adding to the intrigue, the founder of Skybridge has made a bold proclamation, asserting Bitcoin’s potential as a multi-trillion dollar asset and expressing confidence in a change of stance from notable skeptic Jamie Dimon.

In a parallel development, financial giant BlackRock has updated its spot Bitcoin ETF, a move aimed at simplifying access for banks and potentially broadening institutional engagement in the cryptocurrency space. These developments collectively paint a picture of a market at a crossroads, awaiting critical economic indicators and grappling with evolving institutional attitudes towards Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Struggles to Maintain $40,000 Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Amid heightened volatility, Bitcoin (BTC) hovers just above the $40,000 mark in anticipation of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for December 13. A significant 40% decrease in trading volume within a single day suggests growing investor caution.

While most analysts anticipate the Fed will maintain its current target rate range of 5.25%–5.50%, there’s a possibility of an increase to 5.50%–5.75%, potentially reducing confidence from 99.8% to 97.1%.

The FOMC’s decision is crucial; an interest rate hike could dampen Bitcoin’s price, whereas maintaining the rate might boost demand and drive up its value. This scenario underscores the market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic factors and the influence of central bank decisions on cryptocurrency dynamics.

Skybridge Founder Predicts Bitcoin’s Multi-Trillion Value, Awaits Dimon’s Shift

Anthony Scaramucci, founder of Skybridge Capital, envisions a multi-trillion dollar future for Bitcoin. He remains confident about its growth prospects, irrespective of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decisions on a potential spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF). Scaramucci anticipates that ETF approvals could occur as early as January, underscoring Bitcoin’s significance as digital gold and a store of value. He sets an ambitious price target of $100,000 per coin within the next two years.

Aligning with other industry experts, he foresees Bitcoin’s market value potentially soaring to $3.5 to $4 trillion, rivaling that of gold. Addressing JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon’s skepticism about cryptocurrencies, Scaramucci expects regulatory perspectives to evolve.

He emphasizes Bitcoin’s role in aiding the unbanked and urges Senator Elizabeth Warren to reconsider her stance. Scaramucci’s bullish outlook on Bitcoin and its growing institutional acceptance could positively influence the cryptocurrency’s value, bolstering investor confidence.

BlackRock Simplifies Bank Access to Bitcoin ETF

BlackRock has revised its spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) application, introducing a ‘prepay’ in-kind redemption method to facilitate easier participation by large institutions like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. This innovative approach circumvents regulations that prevent banks from directly holding Bitcoin, allowing authorized participants to use cash rather than cryptocurrency to create new ETF shares.

Discussed in a meeting with the SEC, the updated ETF structure aims to enhance investor protections and bolster resilience against market manipulation.

BlackRock’s initiative to streamline the Bitcoin ETF market is poised to attract major Wall Street banks with trillion-dollar balance sheets, aligning with growing anticipation of increased institutional engagement. Such involvement could positively impact Bitcoin’s value as adoption broadens. The SEC’s decision on BlackRock’s application is due by January 15.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart suggests a pivot point at $40,756, where immediate resistance levels loom at $42,001 and $42,863, with further resistance at $44,763. On the flip side, key support forms at $39,827, followed by $38,394 and $36,777.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned at 37, teetering on the brink of oversold territory, reflecting a bearish sentiment. Meanwhile, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $42,345, with the current price below this marker, hinting at a bearish bias in the short term.

Chart analysis reveals a recent downward channel, with the price struggling to break above the EMA resistance. Candlestick patterns, including a potential doji, indicate a market indecision phase. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $39,772 serves as a crucial juncture, suggesting a potential area for trend reversal if the price can sustain above it.

Bitcoin Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Looking ahead, the overall trend for Bitcoin is cautiously bearish, with the market’s eyes set on whether it can muster the strength to challenge the immediate resistance levels. Should Bitcoin pierce through these barriers, particularly the 50 EMA, we may witness a shift towards bullish momentum.

In the short term, the cryptocurrency is expected to retest support levels as investors navigate through a confluence of technical signals amidst broader economic factors.

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