{"id":249893,"date":"2026-01-29T15:51:21","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T15:51:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/bitcoins-historical-bottom-indicator-points-to-62k-could-btc-fall-that-low\/"},"modified":"2026-01-29T14:47:12","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T14:47:12","slug":"binance-verileri-korkuttu-bitcoin-62-000-dolara-mi-gidiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/binance-verileri-korkuttu-bitcoin-62-000-dolara-mi-gidiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Binance Verileri Korkuttu – Bitcoin 62.000 Dolara m\u0131 Gidiyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Binance<\/figure>

Bitcoin, Binance ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 uzun s\u00fcredir takip edilen bir rezerv maliyet g\u00f6stergesinin BTC i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde daha fazla sanc\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcn olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret etmesiyle, 62.000 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki tarihsel olarak \u00f6nemli bir destek b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor. <\/p>

62.000 dolarl\u0131k rezerv maliyeti seviyesi, Ocak 2024\u2019teki ABD spot Bitcoin ETF onaylar\u0131ndan bu yana test edilmedi; bu da mevcut geri \u00e7ekilmenin rutin bir d\u00fczeltmeden ziyade daha derin bir ay\u0131 a\u015famas\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair yeni sorular\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. <\/p>

Bu uyar\u0131, piyasan\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131 2026\u2019da yenilenen bir bo\u011fa d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc i\u00e7in konumlanmaya devam etse bile, birden fazla teknik ve zincir \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00f6stergenin e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7mesiyle geldi.<\/p>

Binance Rezerv Maliyeti, ETF Sonras\u0131 Taban\u0131 De\u011fi\u015ftiriyor<\/h2><\/span>

Borsadaki Bitcoin rezervlerinin ortalama edinim maliyetini takip eden “Binance Reserve RP”, tarihsel olarak bo\u011fa ve ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda bir ayr\u0131m \u00e7izgisi g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. <\/p>

Kripto analisti Burak Kesmeci taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131lan verilere g\u00f6re<\/a>, bu seviye \u015fu anda ETF \u00f6ncesi normlardan keskin bir art\u0131\u015fla 62.000 dolar seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>

\"Bitcoin's
Kaynak: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Spot ETF\u2019ler onaylanmadan \u00f6nce g\u00f6sterge, perakende ve deniza\u015f\u0131r\u0131 ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n hakim oldu\u011fu farkl\u0131 bir piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tarak 42.000 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrediyordu. <\/p>

Ocak 2024\u2019ten bu yana kurumsal kat\u0131l\u0131m fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirdi, rezerv maliyetini y\u00fckseltti ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc deste\u011fin ne te\u015fkil etti\u011fini yeniden tan\u0131mlad\u0131. <\/p>

Kesmeci, “Bitcoin spot ETF onay\u0131ndan bu yana bu seviyeyi hi\u00e7 test etmedi,” <\/em>diyerek fiyat\u0131n t\u00fcm bo\u011fa ko\u015fusunu 62.000 dolar b\u00f6lgesinin olduk\u00e7a \u00fczerinde ge\u00e7irdi\u011fine dikkat \u00e7ekti. <\/p>

Ona g\u00f6re, bu y\u0131lki fiyat hareketi 62.000 dolar\u0131n yap\u0131sal bir taban olarak m\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yoksa k\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 m\u0131 belirleyecek.<\/p>

Zincir \u00dcst\u00fc Metrikler Erken Ay\u0131 Yap\u0131s\u0131na \u0130\u015faret Ediyor<\/h2><\/span>

Borsa tabanl\u0131 g\u00f6stergelerin \u00f6tesinde, zincir \u00fcst\u00fc veriler de temkinli olunmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi sinyalini veriyor. Bitcoin\u2019in “Zarardaki Arz\u0131” (Supply in Loss)<\/a> yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine girdi; bu de\u011fi\u015fim tarihsel olarak ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n erken a\u015famalar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret etmi\u015ftir. 2014, 2018 ve 2022\u2019deki ge\u00e7mi\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fclerde bu metrik, fiyatlar nihai diplerine ula\u015fmadan \u00f6nce yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>

\"Bitcoin's
Kaynak: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Bu d\u00f6nemlerde, fiyatlar zay\u0131flamaya devam ettik\u00e7e kay\u0131plar kademeli olarak k\u0131sa vadeli sahiplerden uzun vadeli kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lara yay\u0131ld\u0131. \u015eu an i\u00e7in zarardaki arz, tam teslimiyet (capitulation) a\u015famalar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviyelerin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor. <\/p>

CryptoQuant ara\u015ft\u0131rma m\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Julio Moreno, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 ba\u015flar\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ve hen\u00fcz tersine d\u00f6nmemi\u015f benzer bir ay\u0131 sinyalleri k\u00fcmesine i\u015faret ediyor<\/a>. Piyasan\u0131n hala dayan\u0131kl\u0131 bir dip bulma s\u00fcrecinde olabilece\u011fini savunuyor.<\/p>

Bitcoin Ne Kadar D\u00fc\u015febilir?<\/h2><\/span>

Mevcut sahiplerin ortalama maliyet baz\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tan Bitcoin’in ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyat\u0131n\u0131 (realized price) kullanan Moreno, 62.000 dolarl\u0131k rezerv maliyetinin alt\u0131nda potansiyel bir ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 dibi tahmin ediyor. \u00d6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc aral\u0131k, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l i\u00e7in 56.000 dolar ile 60.000 dolar aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>

\"Bitcoin's
Kaynak: CryptoQuant<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Tarihsel olarak, uzun s\u00fcreli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler Bitcoin\u2019in bo\u011fa piyasalar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131ndaki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flerden sonra ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyata geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu b\u00f6lgeye yap\u0131lacak bir hareket, Bitcoin’in 125.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesinden yakla\u015f\u0131k %55’lik bir geri \u00e7ekilme anlam\u0131na gelecektir. <\/p>

Moreno, bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc \u00f6nemli olsa da \u00f6nceki ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131na k\u0131yasla nispeten m\u00fctevaz\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor; \u00f6nceki d\u00f6ng\u00fcler genellikle kripto sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki zincirleme iflaslarla \u015fiddetlenen %70 ile %80\u2019lik kay\u0131plar \u00fcretmi\u015fti.<\/p>

Bitcoin Teknikleri Bo\u011fa Anlat\u0131lar\u0131yla \u00c7at\u0131\u015f\u0131yor<\/h2><\/span>

Teknik g\u00f6stergeler de ay\u0131 senaryosu \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Bo\u011fa Piyasas\u0131 EMA kesi\u015fimi olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan 21 haftal\u0131k ve 50 haftal\u0131k \u00fcstel hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n kesi\u015fimi yak\u0131n zamanda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. <\/p>

Tarihsel olarak benzer kesi\u015fimler, 2014’\u00fcn 4. \u00e7eyre\u011fi, 2018’in son 3. \u00e7eyre\u011fi ve 2022’nin ba\u015f\u0131ndaki 2. \u00e7eyrekte daha derin ay\u0131 a\u015famalar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti.<\/p>

\"Bitcoin's
Kaynak:X\/RektCapital<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>

E\u011fer mevcut Bitcoin a\u015famas\u0131 ger\u00e7ekten bir ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 ise, bu durum 2026’n\u0131n Bitcoin i\u00e7in ba\u015fka bir g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme a\u015famas\u0131 getirece\u011fi beklentilerine meydan okuyacakt\u0131r. <\/p>

Binance kurucusu Changpeng Zhao bir Bitcoin “s\u00fcper d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc” fikrini desteklerken, Grayscale ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131 geleneksel d\u00f6rt y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini sorgulad\u0131. <\/p>

Bernstein da mevcut ortam\u0131 “uzat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131” olarak tan\u0131mlayarak 2026 i\u00e7in 150.000 dolarl\u0131k hedefini korudu. Bu tahminlerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fip ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fi, Bitcoin\u2019in \u015fu anda 100.988 dolar civar\u0131nda olan 50 haftal\u0131k hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 geri kazanmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olabilir. O zamana kadar analistler, piyasan\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk y\u00f6netimine odaklanmaya devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin, Binance ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 uzun s\u00fcredir takip edilen bir rezerv maliyet g\u00f6stergesinin BTC i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde daha fazla sanc\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcn olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret etmesiyle, 62.000 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki tarihsel olarak \u00f6nemli bir destek b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor. 62.000 dolarl\u0131k rezerv maliyeti seviyesi, Ocak 2024\u2019teki ABD spot Bitcoin ETF onaylar\u0131ndan bu yana test edilmedi; bu da mevcut geri \u00e7ekilmenin rutin bir […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":235,"featured_media":249894,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,1],"tags":[96],"editors":[1172],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-249893","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","editors-melis-yalcin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBinance Verileri Korkuttu - Bitcoin 62.000 Dolara m\u0131 Gidiyor?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin i\u00e7in sanc\u0131l\u0131 g\u00fcnler kap\u0131da m\u0131? 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