{"id":246506,"date":"2025-12-05T12:16:04","date_gmt":"2025-12-05T12:16:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/bitcoin-price-could-hit-170k-but-strategy-resilience-is-vital-jpmorgan\/"},"modified":"2025-12-05T12:08:05","modified_gmt":"2025-12-05T12:08:05","slug":"jpmorgandan-carpici-analiz-bitcoinin-yonu-artik-strategyye-bagli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/jpmorgandan-carpici-analiz-bitcoinin-yonu-artik-strategyye-bagli\/","title":{"rendered":"JPMorgan’dan \u00c7arp\u0131c\u0131 Analiz: Bitcoin\u2019in Y\u00f6n\u00fc Art\u0131k Strategy\u2019ye Ba\u011fl\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"JPMorgan'dan<\/figure>

JPMorgan analistleri, Bitcoin’deki madencilik bask\u0131s\u0131 ve piyasa volatilitesinin devam etmesine ra\u011fmen, fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadedeki y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn art\u0131k madencilerin davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck kurumsal Bitcoin sahibi olan Strategy’nin finansal esnekli\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. <\/p>

Y\u00f6netici direkt\u00f6r Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou liderli\u011findeki bir raporda banka, \u015fu anda Bitcoin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratan iki g\u00fc\u00e7 tespit etti. Birincisi, Bitcoin a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hash oran\u0131 ve madencilik zorlu\u011fundaki son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f. \u0130kincisi ise, piyasan\u0131n Strategy\u2019nin bilan\u00e7osuna ve s\u00fcregelen piyasa gerilemesi s\u0131ras\u0131nda Bitcoin varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 satmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nma yetene\u011fine odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131.<\/p>

Hash Oran\u0131 D\u00fc\u015ferken ve Marjlar \u00c7\u00f6kerken Y\u00fcksek Maliyetli Bitcoin Madencileri Teslim Oluyor<\/h2><\/span>

Hash oran\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, \u00c7in’in \u00f6zel madencilik faaliyetleri yasa\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yinelemesi ve \u00fclke d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki y\u00fcksek maliyetli madencilerin, d\u00fc\u015fen Bitcoin fiyatlar\u0131 ve artan elektrik maliyetleri nedeniyle k\u00e2rl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalmas\u0131yla geri \u00e7ekilmesini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. <\/p>

JPMorgan, Bitcoin\u2019in \u00fcretim maliyetini ge\u00e7en ayki 94.000 dolardan 90.000 dolara d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc tahmin ediyor. Bu tahmin, elektrik fiyat\u0131n\u0131n kilovat saat ba\u015f\u0131na 0,05 dolar oldu\u011funu varsay\u0131yor; fiyattaki her 0,01 dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, y\u00fcksek maliyetli madencilerin \u00fcretim maliyetine yakla\u015f\u0131k 18.000 dolar ekliyor.<\/p>

\"\"
Kaynak: Glassnode<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Bitcoin<\/a> 92.000 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, JPMorgan varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n tahmini \u00fcretim maliyetine yak\u0131n seyretmeye devam etti\u011fini ve bunun madencilerden s\u00fcrekli bir sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. <\/p>

K\u00e2r marjlar\u0131 daral\u0131rken, baz\u0131 y\u00fcksek maliyetli \u00fcreticiler, nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in son haftalarda Bitcoin varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 likide etmek zorunda kald\u0131. Bu bask\u0131lara ra\u011fmen JPMorgan, madencilerin art\u0131k Bitcoin\u2019in bir sonraki b\u00fcy\u00fck hareketinin ana itici g\u00fcc\u00fc olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bunun yerine dikkatler, Strategy\u2019nin sat\u0131\u015fa zorlanmadan Bitcoin pozisyonunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme yetene\u011fine kayd\u0131.<\/p>

Strategy\u2019nin i\u015fletme de\u011feri\/Bitcoin varl\u0131klar\u0131 oran\u0131 \u015fu anda 1,13 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Bu rakam, \u015firketin borcu, imtiyazl\u0131 hissesi ve \u00f6z sermayesinin toplam piyasa de\u011ferini, Bitcoin hazinesinin piyasa de\u011ferine oranla yans\u0131t\u0131yor. <\/p>

\"\"
Kaynak: <\/em>BitcoinTreasuries.NET<\/em><\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>

JPMorgan\u2019a g\u00f6re, oran\u0131n 1,0\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 “cesaret verici” \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu, Strategy\u2019nin faiz veya temett\u00fc y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerini kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in Bitcoin satmak zorunda kalmayaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. <\/p>

\u015eirket, bu pozisyonunu yak\u0131n zamanda piyasada yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hisse senedi sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla 1,44 milyar dolarl\u0131k ABD dolar\u0131 rezervi olu\u015fturarak peki\u015ftirdi. Bu rezerv, temett\u00fc \u00f6demelerini ve faiz giderlerini en az 12 ay, hedef olarak ise 24 aya kadar kar\u015f\u0131lamak \u00fczere tasarland\u0131. JPMorgan, bu rezervin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir gelecekte zorunlu Bitcoin sat\u0131\u015f riskini \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>

JPMorgan, Strategy\u2019nin MSCI Endeksi Riskine Ra\u011fmen 170 Bin Dolarl\u0131k Bitcoin Senaryosu G\u00f6r\u00fcyor<\/h2><\/span>

Strategy’nin Bitcoin birikimi son aylarda keskin bir \u015fekilde yava\u015flad\u0131, ancak \u015firket fiyat hareketlerine derin bir \u015fekilde maruz kalmaya devam ediyor. Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda, Temmuz ay\u0131ndan bu yana yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck al\u0131m olan 8.178 BTC daha ekleyerek toplam varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 650.000 BTC\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131<\/a>. Temel piyasa de\u011feri 54 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda bulunurken, i\u015fletme de\u011feri yakla\u015f\u0131k 69 milyar dolar seviyesinde.<\/p>

\"\"
Kaynak: CryptoQuant <\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca, MSCI\u2019\u0131n Strategy ve di\u011fer dijital varl\u0131k hazinesi \u015firketlerini borsa endekslerinden \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131p \u00e7\u0131karmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair yakla\u015fan karar\u0131n\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izliyor. JPMorgan, \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lma riskinin b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. <\/p>

MSCI\u2019\u0131n incelemeyi ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ekim ay\u0131ndan bu yana Strategy\u2019nin hisse fiyat\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %40 d\u00fc\u015ferek, piyasa de\u011ferinde Bitcoin\u2019in yakla\u015f\u0131k 18 milyar dolar gerisinde kald\u0131. JPMorgan, bir MSCI d\u0131\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n 2,8 milyar dolarl\u0131k pasif \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 tetikleyebilece\u011fini, di\u011fer endeks sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n da ayn\u0131 yolu izlemesi halinde ise 8,8 milyar dolarl\u0131k riskin s\u00f6z konusu olabilece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. <\/p>

Buna ra\u011fmen banka, daha fazla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn muhtemelen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, MSCI\u2019\u0131n Strategy\u2019yi b\u00fcy\u00fck endekslerde tutmas\u0131 durumunda, hem Strategy\u2019nin hem de Bitcoin\u2019in Ekim \u00f6ncesi seviyelere do\u011fru keskin bir \u015fekilde toparlanabilece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>

Kurumsal bilan\u00e7olar\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, JPMorgan daha uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in daha geni\u015f kripto piyasas\u0131 yap\u0131s\u0131na i\u015faret etmeye devam ediyor. Banka, Ekim ay\u0131ndaki rekor likidasyonlar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan<\/a> s\u00fcrekli vadeli i\u015flem kald\u0131rac\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ayn\u0131 zamanda, Bitcoin\u2019in alt\u0131na g\u00f6re volatilitesi oran\u0131 iyile\u015fti ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara y\u00f6nelik risk ayarl\u0131 \u00e7ekicili\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. <\/p>

Bu metriklere dayanarak JPMorgan, piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131 istikrar kazan\u0131rsa \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki alt\u0131 ila on iki ay i\u00e7inde 170.000 dolar civar\u0131nda teorik bir Bitcoin fiyat\u0131n\u0131 ima eden, Bitcoin’in alt\u0131na g\u00f6re volatiliteye ayarlanm\u0131\u015f kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 yineledi. \u00d6zellikle, Bitcoin \u015fu anda bu seviyenin yakla\u015f\u0131k 68.000 dolar alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

JPMorgan analistleri, Bitcoin’deki madencilik bask\u0131s\u0131 ve piyasa volatilitesinin devam etmesine ra\u011fmen, fiyat\u0131n k\u0131sa vadedeki y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn art\u0131k madencilerin davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck kurumsal Bitcoin sahibi olan Strategy’nin finansal esnekli\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Y\u00f6netici direkt\u00f6r Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou liderli\u011findeki bir raporda banka, \u015fu anda Bitcoin \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratan iki g\u00fc\u00e7 tespit etti. Birincisi, Bitcoin a\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hash oran\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":235,"featured_media":246507,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,1],"tags":[96,1101],"editors":[1172],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-246506","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-jpmorgan","editors-melis-yalcin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nJPMorgan'dan \u00c7arp\u0131c\u0131 Analiz: Bitcoin\u2019in Y\u00f6n\u00fc Art\u0131k Strategy\u2019ye Ba\u011fl\u0131<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"JPMorgan, Bitcoin\u2019in k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn art\u0131k madenci bask\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00e7ok Strategy\u2019nin finansal esnekli\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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