{"id":216077,"date":"2025-03-19T12:54:31","date_gmt":"2025-03-19T12:54:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/revealed-top-polymarket-crypto-predictions-in-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-03-19T12:54:31","modified_gmt":"2025-03-19T12:54:31","slug":"bitcoin-ethereum-2025te-ne-kadar-yukselebilir-polymarket-kripto-tahminleri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/exclusives\/bitcoin-ethereum-2025te-ne-kadar-yukselebilir-polymarket-kripto-tahminleri\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin ve Ethereum 2025\u2019te Ne Kadar Y\u00fckselebilir? Polymarket Kripto Tahminleri A\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131!"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

Kripto tahminleri \u00e7o\u011fu zaman hatal\u0131, mant\u0131ks\u0131z ya da her ikisi birden olabiliyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, bir\u00e7ok iyimser yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Bitcoin\u2019in 2025\u2019te 300.000 dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/a> iddia ediyordu. Ancak mevcut piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131nda bunun pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnmedi\u011fi ortada, de\u011fil mi?<\/p>

Yine de gelece\u011fi daha isabetli tahmin etme konusunda ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu kan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f bir platform var: Polymarket. Kripto destekli bu tahmin platformu, kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok \u00f6nce Donald Trump<\/a>\u2019\u0131n ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve baz\u0131 kritik eyaletleri kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 do\u011fru tahmin etmi\u015fti.<\/p>

Polymarket\u2019i bilmeyenler i\u00e7in: Bu platform, kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n belirli olaylar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fip ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeyece\u011fine dair hisse senedi al\u0131p satmas\u0131na olanak tan\u0131yor.<\/p>

Basit bir \u00f6rnek \u00fczerinden gidelim: Diyelim ki bu y\u0131l bir k\u00f6pe\u011fin aya ini\u015f yap\u0131p yapmayaca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerine bir piyasa olu\u015fturuldu. E\u011fer bu olay\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %10 olarak hesaplan\u0131yorsa, \u201cevet\u201d hissesi 0,10 dolardan, \u201chay\u0131r\u201d hissesi ise 0,90 dolardan fiyatlan\u0131rd\u0131. E\u011fer Aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar ger\u00e7ekten bir chihuahua aya inmeyi ba\u015far\u0131rsa, \u201cevet\u201d hissesi alanlar yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 1 dolara \u00e7evirmi\u015f olurdu.<\/p>

Burada \u00f6nemli bir nokta var: Bu olas\u0131l\u0131klar s\u00fcrekli de\u011fi\u015fiyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, k\u00f6pe\u011fin aya ini\u015f yapma ihtimali y\u00fckseldik\u00e7e, 0,10 dolardan \u201cevet\u201d hissesi alan biri, fiyat artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f yaparak kar edebilir. <\/p>

\"\"
G\u00f6rsel: Dune Analytics\/@rchen8<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Dune Analytics verilerine g\u00f6re<\/a>, Mart ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla 280.000\u2019den fazla kullan\u0131c\u0131 Polymarket\u2019i kulland\u0131. Ancak, g\u00fcnl\u00fck i\u015flem hacimleri Kas\u0131m\u2019daki ABD se\u00e7imleri ve Ocak ay\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmelerden sonra \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde geriledi.<\/p>

Polymarket\u2019te siyaset ve spor d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kripto tahminleri de b\u00fcy\u00fck ilgi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Kullan\u0131c\u0131lar, piyasalar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda nas\u0131l \u015fekillenece\u011fine dair tahminlerini burada test ediyor. Peki, Polymarket yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 2025 i\u00e7in ne \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor?<\/p>

\"\"
G\u00f6rsel: Polymarket<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Bitcoin 2025’te Hangi Fiyata Ula\u015facak?<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

Bitcoin\u2019in Aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar nas\u0131l bir yol izleyece\u011fi<\/a> konusunda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fler olduk\u00e7a farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>

\u015eu an itibar\u0131yla, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck kripto para biriminin bu y\u0131l toparlan\u0131p 120.000 dolara ula\u015fma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %46 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak bu oran, 150.000 dolar i\u00e7in %27\u2019ye, 250.000 dolar i\u00e7in %12\u2019ye ve 1 milyon dolar i\u00e7in yaln\u0131zca %4\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015f durumda.<\/p>

Bu rakamlar, Mart ay\u0131 boyunca borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonlar\u0131ndan (ETF) ya\u015fanan b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n<\/a> ve kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ilgisinin azalmas\u0131n\u0131n bir yans\u0131mas\u0131.<\/p>

\u00d6zellikle Trump\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6reve gelmesinden bu yana piyasalardaki iyimserlik \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azald\u0131. 20 Ocak\u2019ta BTC\u2019nin 150.000 dolara \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %62 olarak hesaplan\u0131rken, \u015fu anda bu beklenti olduk\u00e7a zay\u0131flam\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>

Mart ay\u0131na \u00f6zel tahminlere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise Polymarket yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, Bitcoin\u2019in 75.000 dolara d\u00fc\u015fme ihtimalini %34 ile en olas\u0131 senaryo olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>

\"\"
G\u00f6rsel: Polymarket<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Trump \u0130lk 100 G\u00fcn \u0130\u00e7inde Bitcoin Rezervi Olu\u015fturacak M\u0131?<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

Trump, se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131nda Bitcoin\u2019e dair net mesajlar vermi\u015f ve zaferinin hemen ard\u0131ndan Polymarket, ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ilk 100 g\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7inde stratejik bir Bitcoin rezervi<\/a> olu\u015fturma ihtimalini %60 olarak g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. Hatta end\u00fcstri gruplar\u0131, g\u00f6reve ba\u015flar ba\u015flamaz imzalanabilecek bir y\u00fcr\u00fctme emri tasla\u011f\u0131 bile haz\u0131rlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>

Bu politika birka\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce resmen onayland\u0131. \u00dcstelik ETH, XRP, SOL ve ADA\u2019n\u0131n da rezervde yer alabilece\u011fi<\/a> y\u00f6n\u00fcnde spek\u00fclasyonlar yap\u0131ld\u0131. Ancak bu s\u00fcrecin kongre onay\u0131na tabi olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda belirsizlikler var. Bu y\u00fczden, 30 Nisan\u2019a kadar y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesi pek olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>

\u015eu an i\u00e7in Nisan sonuna kadar ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %29 seviyesinde. Ancak y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir rezervin olu\u015fturulma ihtimali %75\u2019e kadar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>

\"\"
G\u00f6rsel: Polymarket<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Altcoin ETF’leri Onaylanacak m\u0131?<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

Menkul K\u0131ymetler ve Borsa Komisyonu (SEC), daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck kripto para birimlerine odaklanan bir dizi borsa yat\u0131r\u0131m fonu (ETF) hakk\u0131ndaki karar\u0131n\u0131 erteledi. Ancak bu fonlar\u0131n 2025 i\u00e7inde Wall Street\u2019e giri\u015f yapaca\u011f\u0131na dair genel bir iyimserlik var.<\/p>

Polymarket verilerine g\u00f6re, en olas\u0131 ETF Solana\u2019ya (SOL) y\u00f6nelik<\/a>. \u015eu an i\u00e7in onay ihtimali %89 olarak hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fme, son d\u00f6nemde meme coin’lerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften etkilenen SOL i\u00e7in pozitif bir kataliz\u00f6r olabilir.<\/p>

XRP i\u00e7in ETF<\/a> ihtimali %77, Litecoin<\/a>\u2019in spot fiyat\u0131n\u0131 takip eden bir fonun \u00e7\u0131kma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %72 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Dogecoin <\/a>ve Cardano <\/a>ETF\u2019leri ise %69 olas\u0131l\u0131kla ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilir.<\/p>

\"\"
G\u00f6rsel: Polymarket<\/figcaption><\/figure>

D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck \u0130htimaller<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131klara sahip kripto senaryolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek bazen e\u011flenceli olabiliyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin:<\/p>

    \n
  • Ether\u2019in bu y\u0131l t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015fma ihtimali %20<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • MicroStrategy\u2019nin 2025\u2019te iflas etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %12<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Amazon\u2019un Haziran ay\u0131na kadar rezervine Bitcoin ekleyece\u011fine inananlar\u0131n oran\u0131 sadece %6<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • May\u0131s ay\u0131ndan \u00f6nce SOL\u2019un ETH\u2019yi ge\u00e7ece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnenler yaln\u0131zca %2<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Bybit\u2019in bu y\u0131l iflas etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %7<\/li>\n<\/ul>

    Tabii ki, kripto piyasas\u0131nda daha \u00f6nce \u00e7ok daha \u00e7\u0131lg\u0131n olaylar ya\u015fand\u0131. Bu y\u00fczden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ihtimaller bazen \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde ger\u00e7e\u011fe d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febiliyor.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Kripto tahminleri \u00e7o\u011fu zaman hatal\u0131, mant\u0131ks\u0131z ya da her ikisi birden olabiliyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, bir\u00e7ok iyimser yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Bitcoin\u2019in 2025\u2019te 300.000 dolara ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ediyordu. Ancak mevcut piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131nda bunun pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnmedi\u011fi ortada, de\u011fil mi?Yine de gelece\u011fi daha isabetli tahmin etme konusunda ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu kan\u0131tlanm\u0131\u015f bir platform var: Polymarket. Kripto destekli bu tahmin platformu, kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131ndan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":235,"featured_media":216078,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[96,75,849,443,99,95,327,44],"editors":[352],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-216077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-exclusives","category-features","tag-bitcoin","tag-dogecoin","tag-donald-trump","tag-etf","tag-ethereum","tag-litecoin","tag-solana","tag-xrp","editors-ufuk-toprak"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin ve Ethereum 2025\u2019te Ne Kadar Y\u00fckselebilir? Polymarket Kripto Tahminleri A\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin 2025'te hangi seviyeye ula\u015facak? Ether yeni bir rekor k\u0131rabilir mi? 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Altcoin ETF'leri nihayet onay alacak m\u0131?","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/03\/19120742\/1742327780-image-1742327743055_optimized.jpg","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/exclusives\/bitcoin-ethereum-2025te-ne-kadar-yukselebilir-polymarket-kripto-tahminleri\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/exclusives\/bitcoin-ethereum-2025te-ne-kadar-yukselebilir-polymarket-kripto-tahminleri\/"},"author":{"name":"ugttoprak","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/04e3a1c547608eac9a96f0aac95bc2a7"},"headline":"Bitcoin ve Ethereum 2025\u2019te Ne Kadar Y\u00fckselebilir? Polymarket Kripto Tahminleri A\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131!","datePublished":"2025-03-19T12:54:31+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/exclusives\/bitcoin-ethereum-2025te-ne-kadar-yukselebilir-polymarket-kripto-tahminleri\/"},"wordCount":926,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/exclusives\/bitcoin-ethereum-2025te-ne-kadar-yukselebilir-polymarket-kripto-tahminleri\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/03\/19120742\/1742327780-image-1742327743055_optimized.jpg","keywords":["Bitcoin","Dogecoin","Donald Trump","ETF","Ethereum","Litecoin","Solana","XRP"],"articleSection":["Exclusives","\u00d6zellikler"],"inLanguage":"tr","copyrightYear":"2025","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/exclusives\/bitcoin-ethereum-2025te-ne-kadar-yukselebilir-polymarket-kripto-tahminleri\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/exclusives\/bitcoin-ethereum-2025te-ne-kadar-yukselebilir-polymarket-kripto-tahminleri\/","name":"Bitcoin ve Ethereum 2025\u2019te Ne Kadar Y\u00fckselebilir? 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