{"id":209603,"date":"2024-12-30T15:27:02","date_gmt":"2024-12-30T15:27:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/analysts-name-stagflation-the-theme-of-2025-as-bitcoin-faces-critical-zone\/"},"modified":"2024-12-30T15:27:02","modified_gmt":"2024-12-30T15:27:02","slug":"bitcoinin-karsisindaki-yeni-tehdit-2025-stagflasyon-yili-olabilir-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/bitcoinin-karsisindaki-yeni-tehdit-2025-stagflasyon-yili-olabilir-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin’in Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki Yeni Tehdit: 2025, ‘Stagflasyon’ Y\u0131l\u0131 Olabilir mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

\u0130lk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 2 Ocak’ta al\u0131nacak, ancak stagflasyon endi\u015feleri, 2025’e kadar Bitcoin fiyat tahminlerinde<\/a> as\u0131l belirleyici olacak. <\/p>

29 Aral\u0131k’ta Kobeissi Mektubu’nda yer alan bir yaz\u0131ya <\/a>g\u00f6re, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 1970’lerdeki enflasyon d\u00f6nemlerinin tekrarlanabilece\u011finden endi\u015fe duyuyorlar. Fed, enflasyonun toparlanma s\u00fcrecinde i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 indiriyor.<\/p>

Fed’in faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00fczerine yapaca\u011f\u0131 bir sonraki toplant\u0131ya bir ay kala, piyasalar gelecek y\u0131l olas\u0131 daha fazla faiz indirimini fiyatlamaya devam ediyor. <\/p>

Durgun enflasyonun ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6zlemleniyor ve Fed hen\u00fcz bu durumu kabul etmi\u015f de\u011fil. Gelecek y\u0131l enflasyonun %4’\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>

‘Stagflasyon’ Bitcoin \u0130\u00e7in Ne Anlama Geliyor?<\/h2><\/span>

Bu olas\u0131 stagflasyon senaryosunda y\u00fcksek enflasyon ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki dura\u011fanl\u0131k, Bitcoin’in performans\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkileyebilir. <\/p>

Bitcoin, tarih boyunca enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 bir korunma arac\u0131 olarak kabul edilmi\u015f olsa da, geleneksel piyasalarla olan ili\u015fkisi ve makroekonomik ko\u015fullara olan duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle volatilite yaratabilir.<\/p>

Kobeissi’ye g\u00f6re, 2024’te Bitcoin fiyat hareketlerini belirleyecek ana makroekonomik mesele, olas\u0131 bir ABD resesyonuyla m\u00fccadele olacak. Ayr\u0131ca, stagflasyonun 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda ana tema haline gelmesini bekliyorlar.<\/p>

Bank of America (BoA) taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan bir anket sonucuna g\u00f6re, y\u00fcksek servete sahip yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n %55’i 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda stagflasyon bekliyor.<\/p>

\"BoA
BoA ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm anketi. Kaynak: The Kobeissi Letter\/X<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Bitcoin Kritik Bo\u011fa Piyasas\u0131 A\u015famas\u0131yla Kar\u015f\u0131 Kar\u015f\u0131ya<\/h2><\/span>

Bu durum, Bitcoin’in bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131nda kritik bir a\u015faman\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor. Ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n sonunda ya\u015fanan %15’lik d\u00fczeltme, hen\u00fcz kesin bir dibe ula\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>

Glassnode verilerine g\u00f6re<\/a>, mevcut d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, \u00f6nceki d\u00f6ng\u00fclerle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tarihsel davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n alt ucunda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin bo\u011fa piyasas\u0131 d\u00fczeltme d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri. Kaynak: Glassnode<\/em><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Bu, \u00e7ok daha derin bir dip olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca, Glassnode piyasan\u0131n ne zaman toparlanabilece\u011fini belirlemek i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara (STH’ler) odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyor.<\/p>

Bitcoin’in karl\u0131 STH arz\u0131 ile zarardaki STH arz\u0131n\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 Piyasa De\u011feri\/Ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen De\u011fer (MVRV) metri\u011fi, zarar-kar denge noktas\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131rken olas\u0131 bir sat\u0131c\u0131 t\u00fckenmesini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>

\"Point-In-Time
Nokta-Zaman K\u0131sa Vadeli Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 (STH) Kar\/Zarar Oran\u0131. Kaynak: Glassnode<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Glassnode, MVRV’yi “bo\u011fa piyasalar\u0131ndaki yerel dipler ve ay\u0131 piyasalar\u0131ndaki yerel zirveler i\u00e7in” g\u00fcvenilir bir g\u00f6sterge olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. Nokta-Zaman\u0131nda K\u0131sa Vadeli Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 Kar\/Zarar Oran\u0131’n\u0131n son olarak 1’in alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc zaman, BTC\/USD’nin 60.000 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz Ekim ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>

Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi, Bitcoin’in bu d\u00f6ng\u00fcde “olgunla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131” ve benimsenmesinin onu volatiliteye kar\u015f\u0131 daha iyi korumaya ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten yak\u0131n tarihli bir Maxiport raporu <\/a>ile de destekleniyor.<\/p>

Piyasa dinamikleri de\u011fi\u015fiyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte %80’lik keskin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerle karakterize edilen d\u00f6ng\u00fclerin aksine, Bitcoin’in b\u00fcy\u00fcyen dip al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 taban\u0131 ve artan kurumsal destek, ciddi d\u00fczeltmelerin olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>

Bu g\u00f6stergeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Bitcoin’in mevcut makroekonomik belirsizlikler i\u00e7inde g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k, bu kritik d\u00f6nemde ilerleyebilme potansiyelini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>

Yasal Uyar\u0131: Kripto paralar y\u00fcksek riskli varl\u0131klar s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131ndad\u0131r. Bu yaz\u0131 bilgilendirme ama\u00e7l\u0131d\u0131r ve kesinlikle yat\u0131r\u0131m tavsiyesi de\u011fildir. Varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 kaybedebilirsiniz.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130lk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 2 Ocak’ta al\u0131nacak, ancak stagflasyon endi\u015feleri, 2025’e kadar Bitcoin fiyat tahminlerinde as\u0131l belirleyici olacak. 29 Aral\u0131k’ta Kobeissi Mektubu’nda yer alan bir yaz\u0131ya g\u00f6re, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 1970’lerdeki enflasyon d\u00f6nemlerinin tekrarlanabilece\u011finden endi\u015fe duyuyorlar. Fed, enflasyonun toparlanma s\u00fcrecinde i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 nedeniyle faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 indiriyor.Fed’in faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00fczerine yapaca\u011f\u0131 bir sonraki toplant\u0131ya bir ay kala, piyasalar […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":235,"featured_media":209605,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,1],"tags":[96],"editors":[352],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-209603","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","editors-ufuk-toprak"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin'in Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki Yeni Tehdit: 2025, 'Stagflasyon' Y\u0131l\u0131 Olabilir mi?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u0130lk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 2 Ocak'ta al\u0131nacak, ancak stagflasyon endi\u015feleri, 2025'e kadar Bitcoin fiyat tahminlerinde as\u0131l belirleyici olacak.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/bitcoinin-karsisindaki-yeni-tehdit-2025-stagflasyon-yili-olabilir-mi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin'in Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki Yeni Tehdit: 2025, 'Stagflasyon' Y\u0131l\u0131 Olabilir mi?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u0130lk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 2 Ocak'ta al\u0131nacak, ancak stagflasyon endi\u015feleri, 2025'e kadar Bitcoin fiyat tahminlerinde as\u0131l belirleyici olacak.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/bitcoinin-karsisindaki-yeni-tehdit-2025-stagflasyon-yili-olabilir-mi\/\" \/>\n<meta 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olacak.","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2024\/12\/30151205\/1735563955-cover-1_optimized.jpg","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/bitcoinin-karsisindaki-yeni-tehdit-2025-stagflasyon-yili-olabilir-mi\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/news\/bitcoinin-karsisindaki-yeni-tehdit-2025-stagflasyon-yili-olabilir-mi\/"},"author":{"name":"ugttoprak","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/b16f9fb541e5152d02a15ea3536db50e"},"headline":"Bitcoin’in Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki Yeni Tehdit: 2025, ‘Stagflasyon’ Y\u0131l\u0131 Olabilir 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