{"id":199476,"date":"2024-10-10T13:12:43","date_gmt":"2024-10-10T13:12:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/?post_type=academy&p=199476\/"},"modified":"2024-11-06T12:40:23","modified_gmt":"2024-11-06T12:40:23","slug":"polymarket-nedir-ve-nasil-calisir","status":"publish","type":"academy","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/tr\/academy\/polymarket-nedir-ve-nasil-calisir\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket Nedir ve Nas\u0131l \u00c7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cryptonews ekibi olarak, Polymarket nedir, nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r ve g\u00fcvenilir mi, gibi sorular\u0131n cevaplar\u0131n\u0131 verece\u011fiz. Polymarket, kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n bilimden spora, k\u00fclt\u00fcrden kriptoya kadar \u00e7e\u015fitli k\u00fcresel olaylar \u00fczerine kripto al\u0131m sat\u0131m\u0131 yapabildi\u011fi merkeziyetsiz bir platformdur.<\/span><\/p>

Siteyi pop\u00fcler yapan siyaset olmu\u015ftur. ABD se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde Kamala Harris veya Donald Trump’\u0131n kazan\u0131p kazanmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair 1 milyar dolardan fazla tahminde bulunmu\u015ftur.<\/span><\/p>

Haz\u0131rsan\u0131z Polymarket nedir ve nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r, gibi sorular\u0131n cevaplar\u0131n\u0131 birlikte \u00f6\u011frenelim!<\/p>

Polymarket Nas\u0131l \u00c7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r? <\/b><\/h2>

<\/span>
\nPolymarket nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r, sorusuna bir \u00f6rnek verelim: 100m yar\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Usain Bolt mu Noah Lyles m\u0131 birinci olur?<\/span><\/p>

Bir piyasa kuruldu\u011funda kullan\u0131c\u0131lara sunulan oranlar ger\u00e7ek zamanl\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015fir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar ne olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcklerine g\u00f6re hisse sat\u0131n al\u0131rlar.<\/span><\/p>

Bu hisseler cent ile fiyatland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ve sonucun olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin: Usain Bolt’un hisseleri 80 cent ise kazanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %80\u2019dir. Noah Lyles tahmini 20 cent tutar\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

\"Polymarket
Kaynak: Polymarket<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Yar\u0131\u015f yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a bu oranlar de\u011fi\u015febilir ve Lyles’\u0131n hisseleri y\u00fckselebilir. Erken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar hisselerini diledikleri zaman satarak sonu\u00e7 belli olmadan \u00f6nce k\u00e2r edebilirler.<\/span><\/p>

Sonu\u00e7 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda e\u011fer Lyles kazan\u0131rsa hisseleri otomatik olarak 1 dolar olur. Bolt’un hisseleri ise 0 dolar olur.<\/span><\/p>

Yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131c\u0131lar, hesap a\u00e7mal\u0131 ve <\/span>USDC<\/span> yat\u0131rmal\u0131d\u0131r. USDC dolar ile birebir <\/span>sabitlenmi\u015f<\/span> bir stablecoindir<\/a>. Ayr\u0131ca Polymarket <\/span>Polygon<\/span> blockchain<\/span> \u00fczerine kurulmu\u015ftur.<\/span><\/p>

Polymarket Ne Kadar G\u00fcvenilir ? <\/b><\/h2>

<\/span>
\nPolymarket nedir, sorusuna cevap ararken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n pek \u00e7o\u011fu g\u00fcvenilirli\u011fini de sorguluyor. Bu ger\u00e7ekten ilgin\u00e7 bir soru<\/span>. Kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n paralar\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymas\u0131 bu platformu anl\u0131k bir duygu g\u00f6stergesi haline getiriyor.<\/span><\/p>

Kurucu Shayne Coplan, sitenin Joe Biden\u2019\u0131n yar\u0131\u015ftan \u00e7ekilece\u011fini medyadan \u00f6nce \u00f6n g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc iddia etti. Ayr\u0131ca Donald Trump’\u0131n<\/a> JD Vance’i yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 olarak se\u00e7ece\u011fini de tahmin etti.<\/span><\/p>

Polymarket’in en b\u00fcy\u00fck avantajlar\u0131ndan biri halk\u0131n nabz\u0131n\u0131 anl\u0131k olarak \u00f6l\u00e7mesidir. Veri \u015firketlerinin anketleri ise \u00f6nemli olaylardan ve g\u00fcnlerden sonra \u00e7\u0131kabilir. <\/span>Bloomberg\u2019in platform<\/span> verilerini Terminal hizmetine eklemesi bu y\u00fczden \u00f6nemlidir ve g\u00fcvenilirlik sa\u011flar.<\/span><\/p>

Bir di\u011fer \u00f6nemli geli\u015fme \u015firketin Nate S\u0131lver\u2019\u0131 dan\u0131\u015fman olarak i\u015fe almas\u0131d\u0131r. Silver \u00f6nceki ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri hakk\u0131nda derinlemesine tahminler yaparak \u00fcnl\u00fc olmu\u015ftur.<\/span><\/p>

ABD’de Polymarket Nas\u0131l Kullan\u0131l\u0131r? <\/b><\/h2>

<\/span>
\nAmerikan siyaseti Polymarket’in en b\u00fcy\u00fck kullan\u0131m alanlar\u0131ndan biri olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen platform \u015fu anda ABD’de kullan\u0131lamamaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>

Bu <\/span>Emtia Vadeli \u0130\u015flemler Komisyonu’nun<\/span> a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir dava sonucunda oldu. Komisyon, Polymarket’i kay\u0131t d\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir ikili opsiyon ticaret platformu olarak buldu.<\/span><\/p>

2022’de yap\u0131lan bir anla\u015fma sonucu Polymarket, 1.4 milyon dolar ceza \u00f6demeye mahkum edildi ve ABD’deki faaliyetlerini durdurmas\u0131 emredildi.<\/span><\/p>

\u0130lgin\u00e7 bir \u015fekilde <\/span>Similarweb verilerine g\u00f6re<\/span><\/a> platformun trafi\u011finin %58.5’i hala ABD’den geliyor. Kanada %3.9 Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ise %3.4 paya sahip.<\/span><\/p>

\"similarweb\"
Kaynak: similarweb<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Polymarket Nas\u0131l Para Kazan\u0131yor? <\/b><\/h2>

<\/span>
\n\u015eu anda kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n %2’si \u00fccret olarak al\u0131n\u0131yor. Bu \u00fccretler Polygon blockchain \u00fczerindeki i\u015flemleri kar\u015f\u0131lamak ve likidite sa\u011flay\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6d\u00fcllendirmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. Web sitesi bu \u00fccretlerin gelir olarak al\u0131nmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia ediyor.<\/span><\/p>

Forbes ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir r\u00f6portajda<\/span><\/a> Coplan Polymarket’in kullan\u0131c\u0131 taban\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fctmeye odakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 <\/span>a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131<\/span>. Gelecekte ek \u00fccretler getirilebilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131da bulundu. Bunun nas\u0131l olaca\u011f\u0131 hakk\u0131nda bilgi vermeyip “Monetizasyona daha sonra odaklanaca\u011f\u0131z” dedi.<\/span><\/p>

Polymarket Coin Var m\u0131? <\/b><\/h2>

<\/span>
\nPolymarket’in kripto k\u00f6kenleri nedeniyle<\/span>, platformunun<\/span> kendi yerel token\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131p \u00e7\u0131karmayaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda uzun s\u00fcredir hararetli spek\u00fclasyonlar yap\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>

Polymarket nedir, sorusuna cevap araken g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz kadar\u0131yla y\u00f6neticiler, b\u00f6yle bir plan olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131klamad\u0131. <\/span>The Information’da<\/span><\/a> yer alan bir makaleye g\u00f6re<\/a> bu se\u00e7enek de\u011ferlendirilmi\u015f. <\/span>\u015eu an i\u00e7in platform daha geleneksel yollarla fon toplamaya odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda. \u0130ki ayr\u0131 turda 70 milyon dolar fon topland\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

Polymarket’e Kimler Yat\u0131r\u0131m Yapt\u0131? <\/b><\/h2>

<\/span>
\nPolymarket son zamanlarda Ethereum’un kurucu orta\u011f\u0131 Vitalik Buterin gibi \u00f6nemli isimlerden destek ald\u0131. <\/span>Buterin, bu siteye yap\u0131lan ele\u015ftirilere kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve <\/span>X platformunda \u015funlar\u0131 yazd\u0131:<\/span><\/a><\/p>

“Tahmin piyasalar\u0131 ilgin\u00e7tir \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc sosyal bir epistemik ara\u00e7t\u0131r: Kamu, sosyal medya veya haber sitelerinden daha az \u00f6nyarg\u0131l\u0131 olan bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131yla belirli olaylar\u0131n \u00f6nemini ve olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rme f\u0131rsat\u0131 bulur.”<\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>

Polymarket’in Dezavantajlar\u0131 Var m\u0131?<\/b><\/h2>

<\/span>
\n D\u00fczenleyici endi\u015felerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Polymarket’in s\u00fcrekli kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 sorunlardan biri de tahmin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l kesinle\u015ftirildi\u011fiyle ilgilidir.<\/span><\/p>

Buna bir \u00f6rnek May\u0131s 2024’te ya\u015fand\u0131. Ethereum ETF’sinin ay sonuna kadar onaylan\u0131p onaylanmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair <\/span>13,2 milyon dolar yat\u0131r\u0131m<\/a> yap\u0131ld\u0131<\/span>. Piyasan\u0131n <\/span>SEC<\/span><\/a> onay verirse “Evet” ile sonu\u00e7lanaca\u011f\u0131 s\u00f6ylendi ve onay verildi.<\/span><\/p>

Ele\u015ftirmenler S-1 dosyas\u0131n\u0131n imzalanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bunun yanl\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu savundular. <\/span>B\u00f6yle anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar i\u00e7in UMA’n\u0131n Optimistic Oracle’\u0131 gibi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm mekanizmalar\u0131 devreye giriyor.<\/span><\/p>

\"Polymarket
Kaynak: @rchen8 on Dune Analytics<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>

Polymarket Pop\u00fcler Kalacak m\u0131? <\/b><\/h2>

<\/span>
\nPolymarket, ABD se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde durdurulamaz bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme ya\u015fad\u0131 ve alt\u0131 ay boyunca i\u015flem hacmi rekorlar\u0131 k\u0131rd\u0131. <\/span>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funun ba\u015fkanl\u0131k yar\u0131\u015f\u0131yla ilgili olmas\u0131 sonu\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda talebin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp d\u00fc\u015fmeyece\u011fi konusunda sorulara yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/span><\/p>

2025 ve sonras\u0131nda bu platformun kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 \u00e7ekmek i\u00e7in yeni pazarlar olu\u015fturarak pop\u00fclerli\u011fini korumak i\u00e7in m\u00fccadele edece\u011fi kesin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>

\n
\n
\n
\n

Polymarket nedir? Polymarket, kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n bilim, spor, k\u00fclt\u00fcr ve kripto gibi \u00e7e\u015fitli k\u00fcresel olaylar \u00fczerine kripto al\u0131m sat\u0131m\u0131 yapabildi\u011fi merkeziyetsiz bir platformdur. ABD se\u00e7imleri ve spor m\u00fcsabakalar\u0131 gibi olaylarda tahminlerde bulunma imkan\u0131 sunar ve USDC stablecoini ile i\u015flem yap\u0131l\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cryptonews ekibi olarak, Polymarket nedir, nas\u0131l \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r ve g\u00fcvenilir mi, gibi sorular\u0131n cevaplar\u0131n\u0131 verece\u011fiz. Polymarket, kullan\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n bilimden spora, k\u00fclt\u00fcrden kriptoya kadar \u00e7e\u015fitli k\u00fcresel olaylar \u00fczerine kripto al\u0131m sat\u0131m\u0131 yapabildi\u011fi merkeziyetsiz bir platformdur.Siteyi pop\u00fcler yapan siyaset olmu\u015ftur. ABD se\u00e7imleri \u00f6ncesinde Kamala Harris veya Donald Trump’\u0131n kazan\u0131p kazanmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair 1 milyar dolardan fazla tahminde bulunmu\u015ftur.Haz\u0131rsan\u0131z Polymarket nedir […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":233,"featured_media":199478,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"topics":[912],"class_list":["post-199476","academy","type-academy","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","topics-kripto-yatirimi-ve-islemleri","experience-baslangic","content_type-aciklama"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPolymarket Nedir ve Nas\u0131l \u00c7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r? Detayl\u0131 Analiz<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Polymarket nedir? 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