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XRP Price Prediction as Ripple Executes Massive 3 Billion XRP Transfer – Bullish or Bearish for XRP?

Harvey Hunter
Last updated: | 3 min read
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XRP is displaying bearish signals despite a price increase amidst overall market growth. This comes as the transfer of 3 billion XRP tokens, valued at $1.5B, has raised concerns about market stability.

The XRP price has experienced a 0.15% increase over the past 24 hours, increasing its price to $0.5204, amidst broader market growth.

Despite today’s gain, XRP has posted a weekly loss of 3.14%, disrupting its monthly rise of 1.07%.

Over the past year, XRP has yielded a disappointing loss of 2.91%, underperforming major cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, and SOL.

This lackluster performance indicates weak widespread investor interest in XRP. However, XRP’s 24-hour volume has rocketed 85.49% to $1.038B, suggesting increased market activity.

Potentially, influenced by a Ripple executive’s transfer of 3 Billion XRP, creating uncertainty and doubt within the market.

On-chain Transfers Bullish or Bearish for XRP?

In the last 24 hours, XRP experienced a dip but has since displayed signs of recovery and is potentially poised to swing to the upside.

XRP price chart with technical analysis. Source: Binance.

Notably, XRP has established strong support at $0.5189 (red). A retest of this support level is imminent. If the XRP price decisively breaks below this zone, it may indicate further downside potential.

Given that XRP is currently trending within the 0.282 – 0 fib retracement zone, the price is in a critical support area, and traders should watch for signs of reversal or further decline.

One indicator to support this possibility is the Relative Strength Index (purple), which has surged from 25 to 65 in the past 24 hours. This suggests a recovery and growing bullish momentum, signaling a potential continuation of an upward trend.

This prospect is supported by XRP’s 24-hour volume, declining 85.49% to $1.038B. This shows that there is increased interest in XRP.

However, the 200-day moving average (blue) is trending downward, with the 30-day moving average (yellow) following suit below it after a crossover last week. This suggests a continuation of the long-term downtrend despite the short-term price increase.

If the 30-day moving average does not start trending upward, it could indicate that the short-term positive momentum is insufficient to influence a long-term trend toward the upside.

XRP Has Obstacles to Long-Term Growth

Given that a trend reversal is not currently apparent, the overall market sentiment is leaning towards bearish in the long term. Sustainable long-term growth will likely hinge on fundamental factors.

Notable, an XRP executive’s June 1st transfer of over 3 Billion XRP tokens has raised concerns among investors.

A large transfer like this can lead to significant price volatility. If the market perceives the transfer as a signal of impending sell-off, it could lead to a decline in XRP’s price due to increased supply.

Such a large transfer might also raise concerns among investors about the confidence of Ripple in the future of XRP. This can lead to negative sentiment and further selling pressure.

Adoption remains the foremost challenge for XRP, impacting its price movement since 2022. Regulatory uncertainty from the Ripple-SEC lawsuit has hindered institutional adoption.

However, with the case nearing settlement and the US House-passed FIT21 bill’s potential to ease regulatory pressure by shifting oversight to a crypto-friendly agency, Ripple could experience renewed growth opportunities.

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Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all of your capital.