Bitcoin Price Prediction as Recent Struggle at $38,000 Continues – Can BTC Overcome the November Ceiling?

Arslan Butt
Last updated: | 5 min read

As Bitcoin oscillates around the $37,872 mark, down by a marginal 0.20% on Thursday, investors and traders alike are closely monitoring its performance against a backdrop of evolving market dynamics.

The cryptocurrency world is buzzing with the entry of the 13th contender in the Bitcoin ETF race, alongside significant updates from BlackRock in their ETF model.

Amidst these developments, optimism is brewing in the investor community, with many setting their sights on a $40,000 milestone, as indicated by the CME Bitcoin futures. However, looming regulatory concerns, particularly those related to illicit financial activities, pose a potential threat to this ascent.

In this climate, notable voices like Robert Kiyosaki are advocating for investments in Bitcoin ETFs, pointing towards a diversifying landscape in crypto investment strategies.

Expansion in Bitcoin ETF Arena: 13th Entrant and BlackRock’s Model Revamp


Unexpectedly, Swiss asset manager Pando Asset has joined the race for the 13th slot in the U.S. Bitcoin ETF market, competing with notable entities like BlackRock, ARK Invest, and Grayscale. Analysts are scrutinizing Pando’s late entry, which aims to establish the Pando Asset Spot Bitcoin Trust, tracking the price of Bitcoin with Coinbase as the custodian.

The SEC’s decision date for ARK Invest’s proposal is set for January 10, aligning with a potential approval wave for spot Bitcoin ETFs, as noted by Bloomberg ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart.

In response to SEC concerns, BlackRock has proposed revising its redemption model to include foreign companies paying U.S. broker-dealers in advance in cash, aiming to mitigate balance sheet impacts.

This unexpected competition and BlackRock’s initiatives indicate growing momentum and regulatory advancements in the Bitcoin sector, bolstering confidence in the industry.

Investor Optimism Peaks: $40K Bitcoin Price Target in CME Futures


The recent developments in the Bitcoin market, as of November 28, present an intriguing scenario. The CME Bitcoin futures have seen a remarkable annualized premium increase to 34%, showcasing institutional investors’ growing optimism about Bitcoin surpassing the $40,000 threshold.

This confidence is underpinned by a significant 125% surge in open interest in CME’s Bitcoin futures since mid-October, now valued at $1.93 billion. This aligns with speculations about the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF.

Despite some skepticism regarding asset managers engaging in high-risk derivatives in anticipation of the SEC’s January decision, the uptick in CME Bitcoin futures open interest is a clear sign of growing institutional interest in the cryptocurrency.

Moreover, the annualized premium rising to 23% signals that buyers are prepared to pay a premium for leveraged long positions, a factor that could influence Bitcoin’s price trajectory. As Bitcoin maintains its position around $38,000, the escalating institutional trust hints at favorable prospects ahead.

Regulatory Warning: US May Tighten Crypto Rules Amid Illicit Money Concerns


Wally Adeyemo, Deputy Secretary of the US Treasury, issued a stern warning to cryptocurrency firms, emphasizing the urgency to curb and report illicit financial activities. Speaking at a Blockchain Association event, Adeyemo stressed the importance of combating illegal financing in the crypto space, citing national security concerns.

This statement aligns with the Biden administration’s call to Congress for enhanced legislative authority to monitor crypto exchanges involved in activities deemed illegal by the U.S. government.

The urgency of this regulatory push was evident in October’s sanctions targeting a Gaza-based crypto exchange. The resignation of Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, following an apology for violating US anti-money laundering laws, further underscores the government’s resolve in regulating the sector.

This increased regulatory focus, while seeking clarity, could positively impact Bitcoin’s valuation by bolstering investor confidence in a more controlled and secure cryptocurrency environment.

Kiyosaki’s Crypto Strategy: Endorsing Investment in Bitcoin ETFs


Robert Kiyosaki, the acclaimed author of “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” is steering investors towards Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) amid looming concerns of a global economic downturn.

Highlighting the faltering Cardboard Box Index as an indicator of declining consumer goods production, Kiyosaki foresees a significant slump.

He critiques the expected strategy of the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury, involving massive printing of “fake dollars,” and advocates for traditional safe havens such as silver and gold.

However, Kiyosaki also positions Bitcoin as a pivotal asset, recommending Bitcoin ETFs for those seeking indirect exposure to the cryptocurrency.

His endorsement of Bitcoin and its ETFs marks a growing acceptance in the investment landscape and could potentially bolster confidence in Bitcoin, influencing its market value.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

In the swiftly evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin registers a subtle 0.51% uptick in its valuation, currently positioned at $37,911. This recent increment comes as the digital currency navigates key technical thresholds, with a pivotal point at $37,975, suggesting a potential turning point for its short-term direction.

Resistance levels loom overhead at $38,610, $39,250, and $39,800, serving as critical barriers that could either reinforce the current momentum or halt further advances. Supportive buffers, meanwhile, are established at $36,935, $36,375, and $35,740, ready to underpin and potentially reverse any bearish descent.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 55.98, floating in the neutral zone but leaning towards a bullish sentiment, as it has not breached the overbought threshold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) exhibits a positive crossover, a harbinger of potential upward movement, adding credence to the current bullish bias.

Observing the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Bitcoin’s price trades above this level at $37,911, endorsing the short-term bullish trend observed in the market. The chart reveals an ascending channel pattern, suggesting a steady climb, with the price now testing the upper bounds of this trend.

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s current market behavior is cautiously bullish, with the potential to test higher resistance if the upward channel pattern holds. Traders and investors alike should closely monitor these key technical levels for signs of whether the November ceiling will capitulate to December’s pressures.

Top 15 Cryptocurrencies to Watch in 2023


Stay up-to-date with the world of digital assets by exploring our handpicked collection of the best 15 alternative cryptocurrencies and ICO projects to keep an eye on in 2023. Our list has been curated by professionals from Industry Talk and Cryptonews, ensuring expert advice and critical insights for your cryptocurrency investments.

Take advantage of this opportunity to discover the potential of these digital assets and keep yourself informed.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency projects endorsed in this article are not the financial advice of the publishing author or publication – cryptocurrencies are highly volatile investments with considerable risk, always do your own research.