Bitcoin Price Prediction as Option Traders Bet on $50,000 BTC by January – Are They onto Something?

Arslan Butt
Last updated: | 3 min read

As Bitcoin (BTC) hovers around significant price points, option traders are betting on the cryptocurrency reaching $50,000 by January.

This optimism coincides with heightened anticipation for the approval of a spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF), a development that’s expected to further fuel BTC’s ascent.

Fidelity’s Groundbreaking ETF Move and BTC’s Bullish Forecast


Fidelity Investments has made strides towards launching its spot Bitcoin ETF, known as FBTC, now listed on the DTCC’s active and pre-launch list. This move signals a potential imminent approval by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), positioning Fidelity at the vanguard of the US race for the first spot Bitcoin ETF.

Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity’s Director of Global Macro, projects an ambitious future for BTC, predicting its value could soar to over $1 billion by 2038.

He draws comparisons to Bitcoin as an inflation hedge, similar to gold, suggesting significant returns for portfolios with even a minimal BTC allocation.

Implications of SEC’s Pending Decision and Market Speculation


The cryptocurrency community is keenly awaiting the SEC’s decision on various ETF applications, including Fidelity’s FBTC and the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB). The final verdict, expected by January 10, could be a game-changer for institutional and retail participation in the crypto market.

The approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is not just a milestone for Fidelity but could also signify a paradigm shift in how cryptocurrencies are integrated into the traditional financial system. The involvement of the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) in this process highlights the crypto industry’s gradual merger with mainstream financial mechanisms, potentially leading to increased institutional adoption.

Amidst these developments, options traders are speculatively eyeing a BTC spike to $50,000 by January, aligning with market expectations of the SEC’s favorable ruling on direct crypto asset inclusion in ETFs.

This bullish sentiment is echoed by experts who foresee Bitcoin reaching as high as $100,000 by the year’s end, illustrating the growing confidence in cryptocurrency’s potential.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Bitcoin‘s (BTC) latest price action reveals a robust uptrend within a well-defined ascending channel on the 2-hour chart, showcasing the digital asset’s resilience amidst volatile market conditions.

Currently trading at $43,953, BTC has seen a modest increase of 0.27% over the past 24 hours, demonstrating a steady hold within the $44,000 territory.

As we analyze the key price levels, Bitcoin’s current pivot point stands at $43,000, with immediate resistance levels observed at $44,693 and subsequent thresholds at $46,000 and $47,077, potentially capping upside gains.

On the downside, immediate support lies at $42,026, with further cushions at $41,000 and $40,026 that could provide a soft landing for any potential retracements.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently at 58, hovers in the neutral zone, slightly tilting towards bullish sentiment without breaching overbought conditions.

The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) offers additional support to the bullish narrative, with the price maintaining above this key moving average. Moreover, the observed chart patterns, including a consistent adherence to the ascending channel, point towards a continuation of the bullish trend.

Conclusion and Market Outlook

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s overall trend remains bullish above the pivotal $43,000 level, with the market’s eyes set on resistance tests in the forthcoming sessions. Should the bullish momentum persist, BTC may retest the upper boundary of the channel, aspiring to reach the $47,077 resistance in the near term.

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