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Bitcoin Price Prediction as BTC Challenges $36,000 Resistance: Is a Breakout Imminent?

Arslan Butt
Last updated: | 5 min read

Bitcoin Recap

Bitcoin‘s tenacious battle against the $36,000 resistance mark has captured the attention of investors and analysts alike, with the cryptocurrency exhibiting marginal gains of 0.02% to position itself at $34,730 on Saturday.

This comes amidst a broader regulatory sweep, as U.S. authorities set their sights on executives within the cryptocurrency domain, signaling a tightening of oversight.

Concurrently, global spot Bitcoin ETF assets have swelled to an impressive $4.16 billion, reflecting a growing institutional interest in the digital currency.

In an intriguing turn of events, an English school in China has pivoted towards cryptocurrency mining, significantly bolstering its operational capacity with the addition of 220 new mining machines.

As Bitcoin navigates through these developments and inches closer to the crucial $36,000 threshold, the crypto community is abuzz with speculation: is a breakout on the horizon?

Regulatory Watch: US Targets Crypto Executives


Recent government investigations into several prominent figures in the cryptocurrency space could influence market sentiment. Sam Bankman-Fried, once a poster child of the industry, has been convicted of defrauding users of his now-defunct exchange, FTX.

Additionally, the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have filed a lawsuit against Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, alleging various infractions on his platform.

Do Kwon, a co-founder of Terraform Labs, was arrested in Montenegro and is also accused of fraud. The SEC charges him with orchestrating a multi-billion-dollar securities fraud involving crypto assets.

Alex Mashinsky, founder of Celsius Network, is accused of misleading investors and inflating the value of his company’s cryptocurrency token. Several regulatory bodies have filed cases against him. These legal actions and investigations could lead to increased regulatory scrutiny for the cryptocurrency industry, potentially impacting market sentiment and influencing Bitcoin’s price.

U.S. Job Market Decelerates, Prompting Stock Surge Amid Falling Dollar and Interest Rates


Following statistics showing a notable slowdown in U.S. employment creation for October, benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rates fell to five-week lows and global market indexes rose. The U.S. dollar also fell to a six-week low.

The Federal Reserve may decide to stop raising interest rates in light of this slowdown in employment growth. A potential end to rate increases was alluded to by the Fed’s decision to hold steady interest rates earlier in the week and by comments made by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Due to these events, traders now only factor in a 5% possibility of a December rate increase from the Fed.

In a situation like this, the effect on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is usually favorable. As lower interest rates can make alternative assets like cryptocurrencies more appealing to investors seeking better returns, any signal that the Fed may be stopping or discontinuing its rate rises might be seen as a bullish sign for BTC.

The link between interest rates and BTC prices is not always clear-cut, though, since a variety of factors, such as market mood and overall economic conditions, can also have an impact on Bitcoin prices.

Bitcoin ETF Assets Surge to $4.16 Billion Globally


Global investments in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to the current price of Bitcoin have surpassed $4.16 billion, according to CoinGecko, a statistics provider for cryptocurrencies.

Interestingly, around two billion of this total is allocated to seven spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that have been introduced in Canada since 2021.

The largest of these ETFs is the Purpose Bitcoin ETF, with $819.1 million in assets. The c which has assets of about $1.2 billion, is one of the exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that have been allowed by US authorities to be linked to Bitcoin futures contracts.

Ten proposals for Bitcoin ETFs based on spot prices are presently being examined by the SEC in the United States. With these ETFs available, investors will have an easier time watching the performance of Bitcoin in an exchange-traded fund, which might affect the price of Bitcoin.

From Classroom to Crypto: China’s School Adds 220 Mining Machines


Formerly a chain of English schools in China, BTC Digital has added 220 more mining units to its portfolio, increasing its ability to mine Bitcoin to 2,174 machines with a processing power of around 230  (PH/s).

By the end of the month, the extra units should be up and running. The transaction was completed in return for $968,800 worth of business shares from unaffiliated third parties.

In 2021, BTC Digital made the switch from the education industry to the Bitcoin mining business, concentrating on US mining operations.

The company’s dedication to expanding its mining operations is demonstrated by this development, which might affect the price of Bitcoin via increasing mining activity.

Bitcoin Price Prediction


The 4-hour Bitcoin chart highlights critical levels shaping its direction. The pivotal point is $33,965, acting as a key marker for price swings.

Resistance is first met at $35,255, with further challenges at $36,040 and $36,995. Conversely, support lies at $33,095, $32,400, and $31,800, offering a buffer against declines.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates neutrality at 48, showing an equilibrium in market forces. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $34,150 is a short-term trend barometer. Bitcoin’s current hovering around this EMA suggests market indecision.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Chart – Source: Tradingview

Technical patterns, like the upward trendline at $34,200 and the alignment with the 50-day EMA, hint at a buying trend and potential market consolidation.

In summary, Bitcoin shows a slight bullish tilt, especially if it remains over $34,150. The blend of indicators and patterns suggests cautious optimism, with a possible push towards $35,255 if the current support holds.

Given crypto’s inherent volatility, it’s crucial to monitor these key levels and indicators for informed trading and investment decisions.

Top 15 Cryptocurrencies to Watch in 2023


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