{"id":187053,"date":"2024-10-21T09:25:23","date_gmt":"2024-10-21T09:25:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kr.cryptonews.com\/news\/donald-trumps-odds-surge-ahead-of-kamala-harris-on-polymarket-prompting-manipulation-concerns\/"},"modified":"2024-10-21T09:25:23","modified_gmt":"2024-10-21T09:25:23","slug":"donald-trumps-odds-surge-ahead-of-kamala-harris-on-polymarket-prompting-manipulation-concerns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/kr\/news\/donald-trumps-odds-surge-ahead-of-kamala-harris-on-polymarket-prompting-manipulation-concerns\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud3f4\ub9ac\ub9c8\ucf13\uc5d0\uc11c \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc2b9\ub960 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc791 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc99d\uac00"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#52572;&#44540; &#46020;&#45328;&#46300; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#44032; &#54260;&#47532;&#47560;&#53011; &#48120;&#44397; &#45824;&#49440; &#49849;&#47532; &#54869;&#47456;&#50640;&#49436; &#52852;&#47680;&#46972; &#54644;&#47532;&#49828;&#47484; &#53360; &#52264;&#51060;&#47196; &#52628;&#50900;&#54616;&#47728; &#48120;&#44397; &#45824;&#49440;&#51012; &#50526;&#46160;&#44256; &#49884;&#51109; &#51312;&#51089;&#50640; &#44288;&#54620; &#50864;&#47140;&#44032; &#51613;&#44032;&#54616;&#44256; &#51080;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#48120;&#44397; &#44277;&#54868;&#45817; &#45824;&#49440; &#54980;&#48372; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#44032; &#49345;&#45817;&#54620; &#44201;&#52264;&#47196; &#53448;&#51473;&#50521; &#50696;&#52769; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268;&#51032; &#49849;&#47532; &#54869;&#47456; &#49440;&#46160;&#47484; &#45804;&#47532;&#44172; &#46104;&#47728; &#50696;&#52769; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268;&#51032; &#49888;&#47280;&#49457;&#50640; &#44288;&#54620; &#51032;&#47928;&#51060; &#51228;&#44592;&#46104;&#44256; &#51080;&#45796;. <\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-&#46020;&#45328;&#46300;-&#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#51032;-&#51032;&#47928;&#49828;&#47084;&#50868;-&#49849;&#47532;-&#54869;&#47456;-&#44553;&#46321;\">&#46020;&#45328;&#46300; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#51032; &#51032;&#47928;&#49828;&#47084;&#50868; &#49849;&#47532; &#54869;&#47456; &#44553;&#46321;<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1729259915689\">&#54260;&#47532;&#47560;&#53011; &#44277;&#49885; &ldquo;&#48120;&#44397; &#45824;&#49440; &#49849;&#51088; 2024&rdquo; &#50696;&#52769;<\/a>&#50640;&#49436; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532; &#54980;&#48372;&#44032; 62.1%&#47484; &#44592;&#47197;&#54616;&#47728; &#54644;&#47532;&#49828; &#54980;&#48372;&#51032; 37.9%&#47484; &#53360; &#52264;&#51060;&#47196; &#46384;&#46028;&#47160;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#44537;&#51201;&#51064; &#52264;&#51060;&#44032; &#54620; &#49324;&#50857;&#51088;&#51032; &#48288;&#54021; &#52280;&#50668;&#47196; &#51064;&#54644; &#48156;&#49373;&#54616;&#47728; &#47566;&#51008; &#51060;&#46308;&#51060; &#45440;&#46992;&#45796;.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Polymarket\u2019s real-time odds are starting to price in a Trump win, which could explain the recent rally in stocks and crypto. Markets are reacting\u2014who do you think takes it? <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/I3yy8cXRg8\">pic.twitter.com\/I3yy8cXRg8<\/a><\/p>&mdash; HZ (@MFHoz) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MFHoz\/status\/1847306898099568887?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 18, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>&#54532;&#47112;&#46356;9999&#47196; &#50508;&#47140;&#51652; &#51060; &#49324;&#50857;&#51088;&#44032; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532; &#45817;&#49440;&#50640; &#47924;&#47140; 2,000&#47564; &#45804;&#47084;(&#50557; 275&#50613;&#50896;)&#47484; &#48288;&#54021;&#54616;&#47728; &#49884;&#51109;&#51060; &#50780;&#44257;&#46104;&#50632;&#44256; &#44208;&#44397; &#54260;&#46972;&#47560;&#53011; &#49849;&#47456;&#51032; &#50976;&#54952;&#49457;&#50640; &#45824;&#54620; &#51032;&#47928;&#51060; &#51228;&#44592;&#46104;&#44256; &#51080;&#45796;.<\/p><p>&#51060;&#50640; &#48152;&#54644; &#51204;&#44397;&#50668;&#47200;&#51312;&#49324;&#50640;&#49436;&#45716; &#54644;&#47532;&#49828; &#54980;&#48372;&#44032; &#45817;&#49440; &#54869;&#47456; 48.5%&#47196; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#51032; 46.2%&#47484; &#50526;&#49436;&#44256; &#51080;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#49440;&#44144;&#51068;&#51060; &#45796;&#44032;&#50724;&#47732;&#49436; &#51221;&#52824; &#50696;&#52769; &#49884;&#51109;&#51012; &#46168;&#47084;&#49916; &#45436;&#51137;&#51060; &#49900;&#54868;&#46104;&#44256; &#51080;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#50613;&#47564;&#51109;&#51088;&#51060;&#51088; &#49548;&#49500; &#48120;&#46356;&#50612; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268; &#50641;&#49828;(X) CEO &#51068;&#47200; &#47672;&#49828;&#53356;&#45716; &#52572;&#44540;, &#48708;&#47197; &#49324;&#49892;&#44284; &#45796;&#47476;&#51648;&#47564; &#51060;&#50752; &#44057;&#51008; &#50696;&#52769; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268;&#51060; &ldquo;&#49892;&#51228; &#46024;&#51060; &#44152;&#47140;&#51080;&#44592; &#46412;&#47928;&#50640; &#50668;&#47200;&#51312;&#49324;&#48372;&#45796; &#51221;&#54869;&rdquo;&#54616;&#45796;&#44256; &#51452;&#51109;&#54620; &#48148; &#51080;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#44536;&#47084;&#45208; &#48708;&#54217;&#44032;&#46308;&#51008; &#53360; &#44508;&#47784;&#51032; &#48288;&#54021;&#51060; &#44208;&#44284;&#47484; &#50780;&#44257;&#54624; &#49688; &#51080;&#45796;&#44256; &#51452;&#51109;&#54620;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#48120;&#44397; &#51032;&#54924;&#46020; &#51221;&#52824; &#50696;&#52769; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268;&#50640; &#48152;&#45824;&#54616;&#45716; &#47785;&#49548;&#47532;&#47484; &#45256;&#45796;.<\/p><p>2024&#45380; 8&#50900;&#50640; &#49345;&#50896; &#51032;&#50896; &#50648;&#47532;&#51088;&#48288;&#49828; &#50892;&#47116;(Elizabeth Warren), &#47532;&#52376;&#46300; &#48660;&#47336;&#47676;&#49556;(Richard Blumenthal), &#51228;&#54532; &#47672;&#53364;&#47532;(Jeff Merkley)&#47484; &#48708;&#47215;&#54620; &#50668;&#47084; &#51032;&#50896;&#46308;&#51060; <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/kr\/news\/ben-bitboy-armstrongs-former-company-subpoenaed-in-cftc-fraud-probe\/\">&#49345;&#54408;&#49440;&#47932;&#44144;&#47000;&#50948;&#50896;&#54924;(CFTC)<\/a>&#50640; &#49436;&#54620;&#51012; &#48372;&#45236; &#45824;&#44508;&#47784; &#48288;&#54021;&#51008; &#49440;&#44144; &#44208;&#44284;&#50640; &#50689;&#54693;&#51012; &#48120;&#52832; &#49688; &#51080;&#45796;&#45716; &#50864;&#47140;&#47484; &#54364;&#54788;&#54664;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#44536;&#46308;&#51008; &ldquo;&#49440;&#44144; &#48288;&#54021;&#51008; &#50864;&#47532;&#51032; &#48124;&#51452;&#51201; &#51208;&#52264;&#51032; &#49888;&#49457;&#54620; &#44032;&#52824;&#47484; &#44540;&#48376;&#51201;&#51004;&#47196; &#46504;&#50612;&#46888;&#47536;&#45796;.&rdquo;&#46972;&#44256; &#54616;&#47728; &ldquo;&#51221;&#52824; &#48288;&#54021;&#51008; &#53804;&#54364;&#51032; &#46041;&#44592;&#47484; &#51221;&#52824;&#51201; &#49888;&#45392;&#50640;&#49436; &#44552;&#51204;&#51201; &#44228;&#49328;&#51004;&#47196; &#48148;&#44992; &#49688; &#51080;&#45796;.&rdquo;&#46972;&#44256; &#47568;&#54664;&#45796;. <\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-&#49440;&#44144;&#51068;-&#51204;&#50640;-&#53944;&#47100;&#54532;-&#54260;&#47532;&#47560;&#53011;-&#45817;&#49440;-&#54869;&#47456;&#51060;-&#51312;&#51089;&#46112;-&#44032;&#45733;&#49457;\">&#49440;&#44144;&#51068; &#51204;&#50640; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532; &#54260;&#47532;&#47560;&#53011; &#45817;&#49440; &#54869;&#47456;&#51060; &#51312;&#51089;&#46112; &#44032;&#45733;&#49457;<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p>&#51648;&#45212; &#45804; &#50696;&#52769; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268; &#52860;&#49884;(Kalshi)&#45716; &#50668;&#47200;&#51032; &#53360; &#51452;&#47785;&#51012; &#48155;&#50520;&#45912; &#49548;&#49569;&#50640;&#49436; &#49849;&#49548;&#54616;&#47728; &#51221;&#52824; &#49324;&#44148; &#44592;&#48152; &#44228;&#50557;&#51012; &#54032;&#47588;&#54624; &#49688; &#51080;&#44172; &#46104;&#50632;&#45796;. &#54616;&#51648;&#47564; &#51060;&#54980; &#50672;&#48169;&#54637;&#49548;&#48277;&#50896;&#51060; &#54032;&#44208;&#50640; &#45824;&#54620; &#48277;&#47456; &#44160;&#53664;&#47484; &#49888;&#49549; &#52376;&#47532;&#54664;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#47784;&#45789; &#48652;&#47336;&#50640; &#51032;&#54616;&#47732; &#52860;&#49884;&#44032; &#54644;&#47532;&#49828;&#50752; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532; &#44288;&#47144; &#44228;&#50557; &#49345;&#54408;&#51004;&#47196; 1,200&#47564; &#45804;&#47084; &#45336;&#44172; &#48268;&#50612;&#46308;&#50688;&#45796;. <\/p><p>&#52860;&#49884; &#50696;&#52769; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268;&#50640;&#49436; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#45716; &#45817;&#49440; &#54869;&#47456; 57%&#47196; &#54644;&#47532;&#49828;&#51032; 43%&#47484; &#50526;&#49440;&#45796;. &#51204;&#47928;&#44032;&#46308;&#51008; &#51060;&#50752; &#44057;&#51008; &#53685;&#44228;&#44032; &#54788;&#49892;&#51012; &#48152;&#50689;&#54616;&#51648; &#50506;&#51012; &#49688; &#51080;&#45796;&#47728; &#44221;&#44256;&#54664;&#45796;. &#49828;&#47560;&#49884;(Smarsh) AI &#48143; &#51204;&#47029; &#52293;&#51076;&#51088; <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/brandonjcarl\/status\/1846867263410082036?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1846867263410082036%7Ctwgr%5E8f8bdb9fa8d17da9b514acd47c7eab9b3f56ed2c%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fcryptonews.com%2Fwp-admin%2Fpost.php%3Fpost%3D296653action%3Dedit\">&#48652;&#47004;&#45912; &#52860;<\/a>(Brandon Carl)&#51008; &#51060;&#44057;&#51008; &#50696;&#52769; &#49884;&#51109;&#51060; &#46041;&#51312;&#54788;&#49345;(herd behavior)&#47484; &#50976;&#48156;&#54624; &#49688; &#51080;&#45796;&#44256; &#44221;&#44256;&#54664;&#45796;. &#49324;&#46988;&#46308;&#51008; &#51652;&#51221;&#54620; &#54869;&#47456;&#48372;&#45796; &#49849;&#51088;&#47196; &#48372;&#51060;&#45716; &#54980;&#48372;&#47484; &#51648;&#51648;&#54616;&#45716; &#44221;&#54693;&#51060; &#51080;&#44592; &#46412;&#47928;&#51060;&#45796;.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">All political views aside\u2026<br><br>I worry that betting markets like Polymarket end up used to influence stock markets as well as political outcomes.<br><br>There were reportedly two whale bets totaling $4 million betting on Donald Trump. It moved the betting markets.<br><br>Subsequently stocks\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/yzNfZLsiud\">pic.twitter.com\/yzNfZLsiud<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Brandon Carl (@brandonjcarl) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/brandonjcarl\/status\/1846867263410082036?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 17, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p>&#52860;&#51008; &ldquo;&#45908; &#53360; &#50948;&#54744;&#49457;&#51008; &#49324;&#46988;&#46308;&#51060; &#48288;&#54021; &#49884;&#51109;&#51060; &#54788;&#49892;&#51012; &#48152;&#50689;&#54620;&#45796;&#44256; &#52628;&#52769;&#54616;&#45716; &#45936;&#50640; &#51080;&#45796;. &#54616;&#51648;&#47564; &#50696;&#52769; &#49884;&#51109;&#51008; &#50668;&#51204;&#55176; &#49884;&#51109;&#51060;&#47728; &#46384;&#46972;&#49436; &#50780;&#44257; &#44032;&#45733;&#49457;&#51060; &#51080;&#45796;. &#44536;&#47084;&#54624; &#46041;&#44592;&#44032; &#48516;&#47749; &#51316;&#51116;&#54620;&#45796;.&rdquo;&#46972;&#44256; &#47568;&#54664;&#45796;. <\/p><p>2024 &#48120;&#44397; &#45824;&#49440;&#51060; &#45796;&#44032;&#50724;&#47728; &#54260;&#47532;&#47560;&#53011;&#51060;&#45208; &#52860;&#49884; &#44057;&#51008; &#50696;&#52769; &#49884;&#51109;&#51032; &#51652;&#49892;&#49457;&#50640; &#45824;&#54620; &#51032;&#47928;&#51008; &#50668;&#51204;&#55176; &#54644;&#44208;&#46104;&#51648; &#50506;&#44256; &#51080;&#50612; &#47566;&#51008; &#51060;&#46308;&#51060; &#44284;&#50672; &#51060;&#47084;&#54620; &#45824;&#44508;&#47784; &#48288;&#54021;&#51060; &#49892;&#51228; &#49440;&#44144; &#44208;&#44284;&#50640; &#50612;&#46496;&#54620; &#50689;&#54693;&#51012; &#48120;&#52832;&#51648; &#44417;&#44552;&#54644;&#54616;&#44256; &#51080;&#45796;.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#52572;&#44540; &#46020;&#45328;&#46300; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#44032; &#54260;&#47532;&#47560;&#53011; &#48120;&#44397; &#45824;&#49440; &#49849;&#47532; &#54869;&#47456;&#50640;&#49436; &#52852;&#47680;&#46972; &#54644;&#47532;&#49828;&#47484; &#53360; &#52264;&#51060;&#47196; &#52628;&#50900;&#54616;&#47728; &#48120;&#44397; &#45824;&#49440;&#51012; &#50526;&#46160;&#44256; &#49884;&#51109; &#51312;&#51089;&#50640; &#44288;&#54620; &#50864;&#47140;&#44032; &#51613;&#44032;&#54616;&#44256; &#51080;&#45796;. &#48120;&#44397; &#44277;&#54868;&#45817; &#45824;&#49440; &#54980;&#48372; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#44032; &#49345;&#45817;&#54620; &#44201;&#52264;&#47196; &#53448;&#51473;&#50521; &#50696;&#52769; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268;&#51032; &#49849;&#47532; &#54869;&#47456; &#49440;&#46160;&#47484; &#45804;&#47532;&#44172; &#46104;&#47728; &#50696;&#52769; &#54540;&#47019;&#54268;&#51032; &#49888;&#47280;&#49457;&#50640; &#44288;&#54620; &#51032;&#47928;&#51060; &#51228;&#44592;&#46104;&#44256; &#51080;&#45796;. &#46020;&#45328;&#46300; &#53944;&#47100;&#54532;&#51032; &#51032;&#47928;&#49828;&#47084;&#50868; &#49849;&#47532; &#54869;&#47456; &#44553;&#46321;&#54260;&#47532;&#47560;&#53011; &#44277;&#49885; &ldquo;&#48120;&#44397; &#45824;&#49440; &#49849;&#51088; 2024&rdquo; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":253,"featured_media":187054,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,9],"tags":[],"editors":[],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-187053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-blockchain-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\ud3f4\ub9ac\ub9c8\ucf13\uc5d0\uc11c \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc2b9\ub960 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc791 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc99d\uac00<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 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