{"id":182707,"date":"2026-08-18T17:34:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T17:34:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/news\/polymarket-clarity-act-odds-fall-senate-crypto-legislation\/"},"modified":"2026-08-14T12:36:44","modified_gmt":"2026-08-14T12:36:44","slug":"loi-clarity-les-chances-dadoption-chutent-sous-les-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/news\/loi-clarity-les-chances-dadoption-chutent-sous-les-20\/","title":{"rendered":"Loi Clarity : Les chances d&rsquo;adoption chutent sous les 20%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les probabilit\u00e9s de voir le <strong>Clarity Act<\/strong> promulgu\u00e9 cette ann\u00e9e sur Polymarket sont <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanbanker.com\/opinion\/the-clarity-acts-long-stay-in-legislative-limbo-needs-to-end\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">tomb\u00e9es sous la barre des 20 % en d\u00e9but de semaine<\/a>. Ce d\u00e9clin fait suite \u00e0 des mois d&rsquo;incertitude quant \u00e0 la capacit\u00e9 du S\u00e9nat \u00e0 faire progresser cette l\u00e9gislation sur la structure du march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cotes du Clarity Act sur Polymarket : le cong\u00e9 parlementaire qui change la donne<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le S\u00e9nat a suspendu ses travaux pour les cong\u00e9s d&rsquo;ao\u00fbt sans avoir vot\u00e9 sur le projet de loi. Avant le d\u00e9part des l\u00e9gislateurs, le chef de la majorit\u00e9 au S\u00e9nat, <strong>Thune<\/strong>, a n\u00e9anmoins <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanbanker.com\/opinion\/the-clarity-acts-long-stay-in-legislative-limbo-needs-to-end\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">programm\u00e9 un vote pour le 15 septembre<\/a>, selon les informations d&rsquo;American Banker.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le m\u00e9dia American Banker a d\u00e9sign\u00e9 le 30 septembre comme la derni\u00e8re \u00e9ch\u00e9ance claire avant que le Congr\u00e8s ne se consacre pleinement aux campagnes \u00e9lectorales et aux clivages partisans.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">JUST IN: \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 American Bankers Association CEO tells CNBC &quot;There&#39;s a lot of good in the Clarity Act&quot; \ud83d\udc40<br><br>&quot;I do think that the crypto and the banking sectors can coexist. I think we can be the crypto capital of the world.&quot;<br><br>&quot;We&#39;re working with the Senators&quot; on this bill. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/3SldlEBEOS\">pic.twitter.com\/3SldlEBEOS<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BitcoinMagazine\/status\/2082455693907374556?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 29, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bien que le vote pr\u00e9vu en septembre maintienne le projet de loi en vie, les n\u00e9gociations sur les dispositions restantes n&rsquo;ont pas encore abouti \u00e0 un r\u00e9sultat final.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Les raisons de cette baisse de confiance<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les traders de <strong>Polymarket<\/strong> n&rsquo;accordent d\u00e9sormais qu&rsquo;une chance de 20 % au projet de loi d&rsquo;\u00eatre adopt\u00e9 d&rsquo;ici la fin de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e, marquant un recul significatif par rapport au sommet de 82 % atteint le 19 f\u00e9vrier.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ces probabilit\u00e9s ont commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 chuter d\u00e8s le d\u00e9but du mois de mai, \u00e0 mesure que le calendrier du S\u00e9nat se resserrait et que les l\u00e9gislateurs s&rsquo;interrogeaient sur la possibilit\u00e9 d&rsquo;obtenir un soutien bipartisan.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2026\/08\/14123400\/content-inline-1-14.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/figure><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Polymarket<\/figcaption><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les n\u00e9gociations au S\u00e9nat restent bloqu\u00e9es sur des clauses d&rsquo;\u00e9thique non r\u00e9solues. CoinDesk a soulign\u00e9 que l&rsquo;absence d&rsquo;un langage bipartisan sur l&rsquo;\u00e9thique constitue l&rsquo;un des obstacles majeurs, tandis qu&rsquo;American Banker a not\u00e9 qu&rsquo;un <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanbanker.com\/opinion\/the-clarity-acts-long-stay-in-legislative-limbo-needs-to-end\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">texte fusionnant les versions des comit\u00e9s de la Banque et de l&rsquo;Agriculture a r\u00e9cemment \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9<\/a>.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Les enjeux du projet de loi<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S&rsquo;il est adopt\u00e9, le <strong>Clarity Act<\/strong> instaurerait un cadre f\u00e9d\u00e9ral pour les march\u00e9s d&rsquo;actifs num\u00e9riques. Il permettrait de tracer une ligne de d\u00e9marcation plus nette entre les actifs r\u00e9gul\u00e9s par la <strong>SEC<\/strong> (Securities and Exchange Commission) et ceux supervis\u00e9s par la <strong>CFTC<\/strong> (Commodity Futures Trading Commission).<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les partisans de cette mesure soutiennent que des r\u00e8gles statutaires plus claires r\u00e9duiraient l&rsquo;incertitude r\u00e9glementaire et favoriseraient le rapatriement des activit\u00e9s crypto sur le sol am\u00e9ricain. Ils affirment \u00e9galement que cette l\u00e9gislation offrirait des r\u00e8gles p\u00e9rennes, plut\u00f4t que de laisser l&rsquo;industrie d\u00e9pendre des directives changeantes des agences.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le vote du 15 septembre constitue la prochaine \u00e9tape cruciale pour cette l\u00e9gislation. American Banker insiste sur le fait que le <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanbanker.com\/opinion\/the-clarity-acts-long-stay-in-legislative-limbo-needs-to-end\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">30 septembre repr\u00e9sente la derni\u00e8re \u00e9ch\u00e9ance r\u00e9aliste<\/a> avant que les enjeux \u00e9lectoraux ne compliquent toute avanc\u00e9e suppl\u00e9mentaire.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour l&rsquo;heure, le score de Polymarket sous les 20 % traduit un scepticisme r\u00e9el quant \u00e0 la capacit\u00e9 du S\u00e9nat \u00e0 r\u00e9soudre les points de friction restants. <\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Si le passage \u00e0 la Chambre, l&rsquo;approbation en comit\u00e9 s\u00e9natorial et le vote de septembre montrent que le projet est toujours actif, les clauses d&rsquo;\u00e9thique en suspens continuent de peser lourdement sur ses perspectives de r\u00e9ussite.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les probabilit\u00e9s de voir le Clarity Act promulgu\u00e9 cette ann\u00e9e sur Polymarket sont tomb\u00e9es sous la barre des 20 % en d\u00e9but de semaine. Ce d\u00e9clin fait suite \u00e0 des mois d&rsquo;incertitude quant \u00e0 la capacit\u00e9 du S\u00e9nat \u00e0 faire progresser cette l\u00e9gislation sur la structure du march\u00e9 des cryptomonnaies.Cotes du Clarity Act sur Polymarket [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":759,"featured_media":182704,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"editors":[2551],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-182707","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","editors-julien-leroy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Loi Clarity : Les chances d&#039;adoption chutent sous les 20%<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les parieurs de Polymarket sont sceptiques sur le passage du Clarity Act. 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