{"id":174462,"date":"2025-11-15T18:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-15T18:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/?p=174462"},"modified":"2025-11-15T17:35:40","modified_gmt":"2025-11-15T17:35:40","slug":"bitcoin-supports-cles-bull-ou-bear-consolidation-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-supports-cles-bull-ou-bear-consolidation-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin dans les limbes de la consolidation : voici les supports cl\u00e9s du prochain Bull ou Bear"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le moins que l\u2019on puisse dire aujourd\u2019hui, est le Bitcoin avance comme un funambule dans une semaine enti\u00e8re de grisaille. Enferm\u00e9 dans une sorte de couloir o\u00f9 les forces en pr\u00e9sence s\u2019annulent beaucoup y voient les <strong>signes d\u2019un essoufflement<\/strong>. D\u2019autres, au contraire, parlent d\u2019une simple respiration au c\u0153ur d\u2019un cycle plus vaste. Une chose est s\u00fbre : le prochain mouvement d\u00e9pendra de quelques niveaux cl\u00e9s que le march\u00e9 surveille de pr\u00e8s.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coinc\u00e9 dans une consolidation qui s\u2019\u00e9tire<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un march\u00e9 en situation de peur extr\u00eame et une baisse qui semble s\u2019enliser dans un mouvement lat\u00e9ral qui n\u2019en finit par d\u2019user les nerfs de tous. Bref, le Bitcoin est aujourd\u2019hui dans les limbes de la consolidation.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pourtant les experts continuent de d\u2019affirmer qu\u2019il n\u2019y a aucune faiblesse structurelle \u00e0 d\u00e9plorer. Le r\u00e9seau reste solide, et les flux d\u2019ETF tendent \u00e0 se stabiliser. Ce qui manque, en revanche, c\u2019est l\u2019impulsion. Une force suffisamment puissante pour sortir du range et trancher la direction du cycle.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">90 000 dollars : une ligne fragile mais d\u00e9cisive<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/cryptonews-2025-11-15T184110.429-1-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-174470\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/cryptonews-2025-11-15T184110.429-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/cryptonews-2025-11-15T184110.429-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/cryptonews-2025-11-15T184110.429-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/cryptonews-2025-11-15T184110.429-1-450x300.jpg 450w, https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/cryptonews-2025-11-15T184110.429-1.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\"><\/figure>\n<\/div><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le Bitcoin tient encore pour l\u2019instant m\u00eame si la marge de man\u0153uvre reste plut\u00f4t fine. Les mod\u00e8les techniques convergent vers trois zones qui serviront d\u2019ancrage si la correction s\u2019intensifie.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Premier cas (92 000 \u2013 95 000 dollars) : le <strong>premier rempart<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cette zone repr\u00e9sente le point d\u2019\u00e9quilibre des derniers flux entrants dans les ETF. Les investisseurs y ont renforc\u00e9 leurs positions. Un rebond ici indiquerait que les institutionnels d\u00e9fendent d\u00e9j\u00e0 leurs niveaux.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Deuxi\u00e8me sc\u00e9nario (85 000 \u2013 90 000 dollars) : le <strong>repli classique<\/strong> du milieu de cycle<\/li>\n<\/ul><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Durant les pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents cycles haussiers, le Bitcoin a souvent effectu\u00e9 des retracements compris entre 25 % et 40 % avant de repartir. Si le sommet de 2025 \u00e0 126 198 dollars fait foi, alors cette zone constitue un retracement tout \u00e0 fait normal. Elle n\u2019indiquerait aucune rupture de tendance.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Troisi\u00e8me cas : (75 000 \u2013 82 000 dollars) : le sc\u00e9nario <strong>stress-test<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Une descente vers cette zone ne surviendrait qu\u2019en cas d\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de sorties d\u2019ETF ou de nouveau choc macro important. Il s\u2019agirait d\u2019une <strong>correction profonde<\/strong>, mais encore coh\u00e9rente avec la structure d\u2019un march\u00e9 haussier. En revanche, une descente sous les 70 000 dollars resterait hautement improbable sans un \u00e9v\u00e9nement de liquidit\u00e9 majeur.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">La kill zone entre 106 000 et 118 000 dollars<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">M\u00eame si Bitcoin parvient \u00e0 rebondir, une autre bataille l\u2019attend plus haut. Glassnode identifie un \u00e9pais <a href=\"https:\/\/insights.glassnode.com\/the-week-onchain-week-45-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">mur de r\u00e9sistance entre 106 000 et 118 000 dollars<\/a>. Dans cette zone, de nombreux investisseurs cherchent simplement \u00e0 <strong>sortir \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9quilibre<\/strong> apr\u00e8s avoir achet\u00e9 trop haut.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cette concentration d\u2019offres agit comme un plafond. Pour le franchir, il faudra un <strong>catalyseur capable<\/strong> d\u2019absorber cette pression :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Un afflux massif dans les ETF ;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Une d\u00e9tente macro\u00e9conomique ;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ou une hausse coordonn\u00e9e du march\u00e9 des stablecoins.<\/li>\n<\/ul><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Autrement, chaque tentative de rebond risque d\u2019\u00eatre vendue.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Une redistribution, pas un effondrement<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En d\u00e9pit des secousses, il y a encore un \u00e9l\u00e9ment rassurant. L\u2019activit\u00e9 on-chain reste importante sans d\u00e9versement anormal des portefeuilles g\u00e9ants. En effet, plus de <strong>7 millions de BTC<\/strong> ont circul\u00e9 en 2025. Un volume de transaction principalement issu d\u2019achats r\u00e9cents.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Certes quelques d\u00e9tenteurs historiques ont progressivement all\u00e9g\u00e9 leurs positions dans un <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-baleines-16-5-milliards-pression-support-110k\/\">mouvement de prise de b\u00e9n\u00e9fice<\/a>. Mais pour l\u2019heure, aucun \u00e9l\u00e9ment concluant ne permet de parler d\u2019un \u201c<strong>whale dump<\/strong>\u201d. L\u2019offre se redistribue, ce qui arrive souvent en milieu de cycle. Le march\u00e9 respire, mais ne s\u2019effondre pas.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Le r\u00f4le crucial de la moyenne mobile annuelle<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/themes\/cryptonews\/images\/p\/no_image.svg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-174398 lazyload\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/1763124801-log-1024x683.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/1763124801-log-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/1763124801-log-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/1763124801-log-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/1763124801-log-450x300.jpg 450w, https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/1763124801-log.jpg 1200w\"><\/figure>\n<\/div><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour beaucoup d\u2019analystes, une importante part du mouvement futur du BTC se joue sur cet indicateur. En effet, le jeton a crois\u00e9 cette moyenne \u00e0 la baisse un peu plus t\u00f4t cette semaine. Par cons\u00e9quent, un rebond rapide au-dessus de cette courbe <strong>redonnerait confiance<\/strong> au march\u00e9 et diminuerait fortement le risque d\u2019une descente sous les 90 000 dollars.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Par contre, en cas de prolongement de la faiblesse, les de voir les supports inf\u00e9rieurs subir des tests, augmentent drastiquement. En attendant des tendances plus claires ; une certaine partie du captal d\u00e9sengag\u00e9 est r\u00e9orient\u00e9 vers des projet alternatifs comme <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/ext\/maxidoge\/\" rel=\" sponsored nofollow\">Maxidoge<\/a>. Un jeton hautement sp\u00e9culatif et dont le narratif le positionne \u00e9trangement bien pour un <strong>x100<\/strong> sur la prochaine altsaison.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p><div style=\"background: #920047;margin: auto;width: 50%;text-align: center;padding: 8px;border-radius: 5px;background-image: linear-gradient(107deg,#930046,#59008a);color: white;padding-left: 1em;padding-right: 1em;font-size: 16px\"><a style=\"text-decoration:none;color:white\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/ext\/maxidoge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noindex\">D\u00e9couvrez Maxidoge<\/a><\/div><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p><p class=\"disclaimer-rw\" style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Les crypto-actifs repr\u00e9sentent un investissement risqu\u00e9.<\/em><\/p><hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"><p class=\"disclaimer-rw wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Les informations pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es dans cet article ne constituent en aucun cas un conseil en investissement. Elles sont fournies \u00e0 des fins exclusivement informatives. Le march\u00e9 des crypto-actifs demeure hautement volatil et comporte des risques significatifs de pertes. Il est recommand\u00e9 aux lecteurs de n\u2019investir que les montants qu\u2019ils peuvent se permettre de perdre, et de proc\u00e9der \u00e0 leurs propres recherches avant toute prise de position sur les march\u00e9s.<\/em><\/p><hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pour aller plus loin sur le sujet : <\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/news\/strategy-diminution-de-la-reserve-en-bitcoin-saylor-dement-toute-vente\/\">Strategy : Diminution de la r\u00e9serve en Bitcoin, Saylor d\u00e9ment toute vente<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/news\/pourquoi-le-bitcoin-passe-a-nouveau-sous-100-000\/\">Pourquoi le Bitcoin passe \u00e0 nouveau sous 100 000 $<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-250000-catastrophe-analyste\/\">Un Bitcoin \u00e0 250 000 $ serait \u201cl\u2019un des pires sc\u00e9narios\u201d, selon cet analyste<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le moins que l\u2019on puisse dire aujourd\u2019hui, est le Bitcoin avance comme un funambule dans une semaine enti\u00e8re de grisaille. Enferm\u00e9 dans une sorte de couloir o\u00f9 les forces en pr\u00e9sence s\u2019annulent beaucoup y voient les signes d\u2019un essoufflement. D\u2019autres, au contraire, parlent d\u2019une simple respiration au c\u0153ur d\u2019un cycle plus vaste. Une chose est [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":663,"featured_media":174465,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2106],"tags":[],"editors":[2554],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-174462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-price-predictions","editors-ronan-gaillard"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin bloqu\u00e9 en range : ces niveaux d\u00e9cideront du bull ou du bear<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin stagne dans une zone de consolidation. 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