{"id":7139,"date":"2026-03-05T10:58:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T10:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=7139"},"modified":"2026-03-02T16:33:38","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T16:33:38","slug":"medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/","title":{"rendered":"Medv\u011bd\u00ed trh na bitcoinu \u010dasto trv\u00e1 zhruba rok, tak\u017ee odraz ceny BTC je bl\u00edzko"},"content":{"rendered":"

P\u0159i pohledu na v\u00fdvoj bitcoinu se investo\u0159i pravideln\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed naj\u00edt opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se vzorce<\/strong>. N\u011bkoho to uklid\u0148uje, jin\u00e9ho to dr\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed, proto\u017ee trhy se m\u011bn\u00ed a nic nen\u00ed zaru\u010den\u00e9. P\u0159esto existuj\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 rytmy, kter\u00e9 se na bitcoinu u\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t uk\u00e1zaly. <\/p>

Jeden z nich se t\u00fdk\u00e1 d\u00e9lky medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu. Je to hodn\u011b velk\u00e9 zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed, ale v obou p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fdch cyklech trval medv\u011bd\u00ed trh na bitcoinu <\/a>zhruba jeden rok<\/strong>. A v tuto chv\u00edli nevid\u00edm p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00fd d\u016fvod, pro\u010d by to tentokr\u00e1t m\u011blo b\u00fdt z\u00e1sadn\u011b jin\u00e9.<\/p>

Tento pohled nen\u00ed o slep\u00e9 v\u00ed\u0159e v historick\u00e9 analogie. Je to sp\u00ed\u0161 praktick\u00e1 pr\u00e1ce s t\u00edm, co trh v minulosti opakovan\u011b p\u0159edvedl. Pokud se ur\u010dit\u00fd model projevil v\u00edcekr\u00e1t, nen\u00ed rozumn\u00e9 ho automaticky zahodit jen proto, \u017ee je pohodln\u00e9 v\u011b\u0159it v \u00faplnou v\u00fdjimku. Trh samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ekvapit. Neznamen\u00e1 to ale, \u017ee by m\u011bl investor ignorovat to, co doposud fungovalo.<\/p>

<\/p>

\"btc
Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div>

Je odraz ceny bitcoinu bl\u00edzko? <\/h2><\/span>

Investi\u010dn\u00ed uva\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dasto sklouz\u00e1v\u00e1 do extr\u00e9m\u016f<\/strong>. Bu\u010f se v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee historie se zopakuje do detailu, nebo se naopak tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee tentokr\u00e1t je v\u0161e \u00fapln\u011b jinak. Realita b\u00fdv\u00e1 n\u011bkde uprost\u0159ed. <\/strong>Historie se neopakuje p\u0159esn\u011b. \u010casto se ale r\u00fdmuje. A v prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kde se emoce a psychologie opakuj\u00ed po\u0159\u00e1d dokola, je to d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd rozd\u00edl.<\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

Proto d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl nezavrhovat p\u0159\u00edstup, kter\u00fd doposud fungoval. Pokud medv\u011bd\u00ed trh v minulosti trval zhruba jeden rok, je rozumn\u00e9 s touto mo\u017enost\u00ed pracovat i dnes. Ne jako s jistotou, ale jako s r\u00e1mcem, kter\u00fd pom\u00e1h\u00e1 nastavit o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed<\/strong>. Investo\u0159i pak nejsou p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed, kdy\u017e se trh neto\u010d\u00ed b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f. Sou\u010dasn\u011b se vyhnou un\u00e1hlen\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm v dob\u011b, kdy je n\u00e1lada nejhor\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>

Optikou minul\u00fdch cykl\u016f m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt trh teprve v polovin\u011b<\/h2><\/span>

Kdy\u017e na situaci aplikujeme tento zjednodu\u0161en\u00fd r\u00e1mec, vych\u00e1z\u00ed z n\u011bj, \u017ee m\u00e1me teprve zhruba polovinu medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu za sebou<\/strong>. To je pro \u0159adu lid\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1 p\u0159edstava, proto\u017ee znamen\u00e1 del\u0161\u00ed obdob\u00ed nejistoty. Medv\u011bd\u00ed f\u00e1ze neb\u00fdv\u00e1 jen o jednom velk\u00e9m propadu. \u010casto je to kombinace pokles\u016f, bo\u010dn\u00edch pohyb\u016f, fale\u0161n\u00fdch nad\u011bj\u00ed a dlouh\u00e9 \u00fanavy.<\/p>

Je dobr\u00e9 p\u0159ipomenout je\u0161t\u011b jednu v\u011bc. Posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce poklesu nemus\u00ed nutn\u011b znamenat hlubok\u00fd propad. Trh m\u016f\u017ee d\u00e1l klesat, ale tak\u00e9 se m\u016f\u017ee sp\u00ed\u0161 vy\u010derp\u00e1vat do strany. M\u016f\u017ee j\u00edt o obdob\u00ed, kdy cena postupn\u011b hled\u00e1 stabilitu a volatilita se postupn\u011b zklid\u0148uje. Pro investory to b\u00fdv\u00e1 paradoxn\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e prudk\u00fd v\u00fdplach. Prudk\u00fd pohyb alespo\u0148 p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed jasn\u00fd emocion\u00e1ln\u00ed vrchol. Dlouh\u00e9 t\u00e1hl\u00e9 obdob\u00ed ale testuje trp\u011blivost.<\/p>

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u0159i pohledu na v\u00fdvoj bitcoinu se investo\u0159i pravideln\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed naj\u00edt opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se vzorce. N\u011bkoho to uklid\u0148uje, jin\u00e9ho to dr\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed, proto\u017ee trhy se m\u011bn\u00ed a nic nen\u00ed zaru\u010den\u00e9. P\u0159esto existuj\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 rytmy, kter\u00e9 se na bitcoinu u\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t uk\u00e1zaly. Jeden z nich se t\u00fdk\u00e1 d\u00e9lky medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu. Je to hodn\u011b velk\u00e9 zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed, ale v obou p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fdch […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":635,"featured_media":5220,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[16,17,34,18],"editors":[524],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-7139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-krypto","tag-kryptomeny","editors-pavel-navratil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMedv\u011bd\u00ed trh na bitcoinu \u010dasto trv\u00e1 zhruba rok, tak\u017ee odraz ceny BTC je bl\u00edzko<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Medv\u011bd\u00ed trh na bitcoinu \u010dasto trv\u00e1 zhruba rok, tak\u017ee odraz ceny BTC je bl\u00edzko\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"P\u0159i pohledu na v\u00fdvoj bitcoinu se investo\u0159i pravideln\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed naj\u00edt opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se vzorce. N\u011bkoho to uklid\u0148uje, jin\u00e9ho to dr\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed, proto\u017ee trhy se m\u011bn\u00ed a nic nen\u00ed zaru\u010den\u00e9. P\u0159esto existuj\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 rytmy, kter\u00e9 se na bitcoinu u\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t uk\u00e1zaly. Jeden z nich se t\u00fdk\u00e1 d\u00e9lky medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu. 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N\u011bkoho to uklid\u0148uje, jin\u00e9ho to dr\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed, proto\u017ee trhy se m\u011bn\u00ed a nic nen\u00ed zaru\u010den\u00e9. P\u0159esto existuj\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00e9 rytmy, kter\u00e9 se na bitcoinu u\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t uk\u00e1zaly. Jeden z nich se t\u00fdk\u00e1 d\u00e9lky medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu. Je to hodn\u011b velk\u00e9 zjednodu\u0161en\u00ed, ale v obou p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fdch […]","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews CZ","article_published_time":"2026-03-05T10:58:00+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":673,"url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/26101015\/1764151815-1764135532-image-1752652223413_optimized-2.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/26101015\/1764151815-1764135532-image-1752652223413_optimized-2.jpg","twitter_creator":"@cryptonews","twitter_site":"@cryptonews","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/"},"author":{"name":"jaroslav","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/87a232bc78471cd4e19cb874e6608412"},"headline":"Medv\u011bd\u00ed trh na bitcoinu \u010dasto trv\u00e1 zhruba rok, tak\u017ee odraz ceny BTC je bl\u00edzko","datePublished":"2026-03-05T10:58:00+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/"},"wordCount":528,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/26101015\/1764151815-1764135532-image-1752652223413_optimized-2.jpg","keywords":["bitcoin","BTC","krypto","kryptom\u011bny"],"articleSection":["Bitcoin","Novinky"],"inLanguage":"cs","copyrightYear":"2026","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/","name":"Medv\u011bd\u00ed trh na bitcoinu \u010dasto trv\u00e1 zhruba rok, tak\u017ee odraz ceny BTC je bl\u00edzko","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/26101015\/1764151815-1764135532-image-1752652223413_optimized-2.jpg","datePublished":"2026-03-05T10:58:00+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"cs","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/"]}],"author":[]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"cs","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/medvedi-trh-na-bitcoinu-casto-trva-zhruba-rok-takze-odraz-ceny-btc-je-blizko\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/26101015\/1764151815-1764135532-image-1752652223413_optimized-2.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/26101015\/1764151815-1764135532-image-1752652223413_optimized-2.jpg","width":1200,"height":673,"caption":"Bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed se p\u0159\u00edliv americk\u00e9ho kapit\u00e1lu do krypta. 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