{"id":6670,"date":"2026-02-14T10:09:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-14T10:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=6670"},"modified":"2026-02-13T12:04:11","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T12:04:11","slug":"cenove-dno-bitcoinu-neni-okamzik-ale-proces","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/cenove-dno-bitcoinu-neni-okamzik-ale-proces\/","title":{"rendered":"Cenov\u00e9 dno Bitcoinu je bl\u00edzko? Tohle n\u00e1m napov\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"

Na trhu s bitcoinem se nevypl\u00e1c\u00ed \u010dekat na jeden magick\u00fd \u201ebod obratu\u201c, po kter\u00e9m u\u017e cena jen poroste. Historie opakovan\u011b ukazuje, \u017ee tvorba cenov\u00e9ho dna je v\u017edy proces, kter\u00fd se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z v\u00edce f\u00e1z\u00ed: od prvn\u00edho zlomu sentimentu p\u0159es postupn\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed prodejc\u016f a\u017e po obdob\u00ed, kdy trh za\u010dne absorbovat nab\u00eddku bez toho, aby se okam\u017eit\u011b vr\u00e1til do euforie. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto je hled\u00e1n\u00ed dna sp\u00ed\u0161 sledov\u00e1n\u00ed sign\u00e1l\u016f ne\u017e h\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed jedn\u00e9 konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed ceny.<\/p>

Jedn\u00edm z nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch sign\u00e1l\u016f v tomto procesu byl v minulosti vztah mezi tr\u017en\u00ed cenou a pr\u016fm\u011brnou n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cenou dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f, tedy skupiny ozna\u010dovan\u00e9 jako LTH (Long-Term Holders)<\/strong>.<\/p>

Opakovan\u011b platilo, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00e1 \u201emedv\u011bd\u00ed\u201c f\u00e1ze, ve kter\u00e9 se dno za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 formovat, nast\u00e1v\u00e1 a\u017e tehdy, kdy\u017e tr\u017en\u00ed cena klesne pod jejich pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd n\u00e1kup<\/strong>. Jin\u00fdmi slovy: dokud ani dlouhodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 nejsou pod tlakem a trh jim je\u0161t\u011b \u201enebere v\u00edru\u201c, \u010dasto nejde je\u0161t\u011b o fin\u00e1ln\u00ed f\u00e1zi v\u00fdplachu. A\u010dkoliv jsme u\u0161li hodn\u011b cesty a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b se brzy dna do\u010dk\u00e1me.<\/p>

LTH lehce nad 40 000 USD: pro\u010d se za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 mluvit o 30 000 USD<\/h2><\/span>

Podle aktu\u00e1ln\u00edho nastaven\u00ed je pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cena dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f (LTH) nyn\u00ed lehce nad 40 000 USD<\/strong>. Pokud by se trh dr\u017eel historick\u00e9ho vzorce, znamenalo by to, \u017ee Bitcoin za\u010dne teprve ve chv\u00edli propadu pod tuto hranici skute\u010dn\u011b budovat cenov\u00e9 dno. A z minul\u00fdch cykl\u016f vych\u00e1z\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br: dno se obvykle netvo\u0159\u00ed \u201et\u011bsn\u011b pod\u201c pr\u016fm\u011brem LTH, ale a\u017e s v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm odstupem.<\/p>

\"Bitcoin:
Bitcoin: pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cena dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f BTC<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Z toho logicky vych\u00e1z\u00ed odhad, \u017ee pokud se typick\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed trhu zopakuje, dno by se mohlo za\u010d\u00edt formovat n\u011bkde kolem 30 000 USD<\/strong> \u2013 jsme tud\u00ed\u017e opravdu velmi bl\u00edzko<\/strong>. Nejde o p\u0159esnou p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f jednoho bodu, sp\u00ed\u0161 o oblast, kde by se podle historick\u00e9 logiky za\u010dala skl\u00e1dat mozaika: postupn\u00e9 zpomalov\u00e1n\u00ed propad\u016f, del\u0161\u00ed konsolidace a st\u0159\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdprodej\u016f s odrazy, kter\u00e9 je\u0161t\u011b nebud\u00ed dojem, \u017ee bull market u\u017e je zp\u011bt. V t\u00e9to f\u00e1zi se trh \u010dasto \u201eunav\u00ed\u201c \u2013 a pr\u00e1v\u011b ta \u00fanava b\u00fdv\u00e1 pro dlouh\u00e9 dno typick\u00e1.<\/p>

Co to znamen\u00e1 pro cenu: minim\u00e1ln\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch 50 % dol\u016f<\/h2><\/span>

Pokud vezmeme uvedenou logiku doslova, tak p\u0159echod do oblasti kolem 30 000 USD by p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed cen\u011b implikoval pokles o dal\u0161\u00edch minim\u00e1ln\u011b 50 %<\/strong>. To je \u010d\u00edslo, kter\u00e9 um\u00ed \u0161okovat, proto\u017ee v b\u011b\u017en\u00e9m investi\u010dn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b by takov\u00e1 ztr\u00e1ta p\u016fsobila jako ud\u00e1lost typu \u201ekrize\u201c. V kryptu je to bohu\u017eel st\u00e1le sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd se v minulosti opakoval a kter\u00fd zapad\u00e1 do psychologick\u00e9 struktury cykl\u016f.<\/p>

<\/p>

Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div>

A tady je pot\u0159eba zd\u016fraznit jednu v\u011bc: i kdyby se trh skute\u010dn\u011b dostal do t\u00e9to z\u00f3ny, neznamen\u00e1 to automaticky okam\u017eit\u00fd n\u00e1vrat nahoru. Dno je proces<\/strong>, tak\u017ee i \u201espr\u00e1vn\u00e1\u201c cenov\u00e1 oblast m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jen za\u010d\u00e1tek del\u0161\u00edho obdob\u00ed, kdy se trh stabilizuje a postupn\u011b p\u0159ekl\u00e1p\u00ed z paniky do apatie. Pr\u00e1v\u011b apatie je \u010dasto posledn\u00ed f\u00e1ze p\u0159ed t\u00edm, ne\u017e se znovu za\u010dne rodit r\u016fst \u2013 ne euforie, ale tich\u00e1, unaven\u00e1 normalizace.<\/p>

Sign\u00e1l z re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho sv\u011bta: kdy\u017e hype zmiz\u00ed, b\u00fdv\u00e1 to paradoxn\u011b dobr\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va!<\/h2><\/span>

V cel\u00e9 t\u00e9hle debat\u011b existuje i jeden m\u011bk\u010d\u00ed, ale prakticky velmi v\u00fdmluvn\u00fd indik\u00e1tor: spole\u010densk\u00fd sentiment. Dobrou zpr\u00e1vou podle t\u00e9to logiky je, \u017ee u\u017e se vytratila \u010d\u00e1st toho mainstreamov\u00e9ho nad\u0161en\u00ed kolem investov\u00e1n\u00ed do BTC. Obrazn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno: pokud p\u0159estaly nab\u00edzet BTC jako skv\u011blou investici u\u017e \u00fapln\u011b ka\u017ed\u00fd, znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee velkou \u010d\u00e1st medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu m\u00e1me za sebou<\/strong>.<\/p>

\"Trh
Trh s BTC je v naprost\u00e9 depresi, co\u017e je pr\u00e1v\u011b b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed sign\u00e1l. Zdroj: alternative.me<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Tento typ sign\u00e1lu funguje jednodu\u0161e. V pozdn\u00edch f\u00e1z\u00edch r\u016fstu se k aktivu p\u0159id\u00e1vaj\u00ed lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed ho d\u0159\u00edv ignorovali, proto\u017ee se boj\u00ed, \u017ee jim ujede vlak. Naopak v pozdn\u00edch f\u00e1z\u00edch poklesu tihle lid\u00e9 z trhu miz\u00ed, proto\u017ee u\u017e to nen\u00ed spole\u010densky atraktivn\u00ed t\u00e9ma, na kter\u00e9m se d\u00e1 snadno z\u00edskat pozornost. Kdy\u017e hype odejde, \u010dasto se vy\u010dist\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st \u201eturistick\u00e9ho\u201c kapit\u00e1lu \u2013 a to b\u00fdv\u00e1 pro tvorbu dna nezbytn\u00e1 ingredience.<\/p>

Shrnut\u00ed: dno se rod\u00ed v bolesti, ale ne ve v\u011b\u010dn\u00e9 panice<\/h2><\/span>

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 sd\u011blen\u00ed je jasn\u00e9: tvorba dna u Bitcoinu je proces a historicky se \u010dasto rozb\u00edh\u00e1 a\u017e ve chv\u00edli, kdy tr\u017en\u00ed cena klesne pod pr\u016fm\u011brnou n\u00e1kupn\u00ed cenu dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f (LTH). Pokud je LTH nyn\u00ed lehce nad 40 000 USD<\/strong>, historick\u00fd vzorec by mohl nazna\u010dovat, \u017ee dno se za\u010dne formovat a\u017e kolem 30 000 USD<\/strong>, co\u017e by p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch znamenalo propad o minim\u00e1ln\u011b 50 %<\/strong>.<\/p>

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale plat\u00ed, \u017ee ur\u010dit\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky \u201evy\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed\u201c sentimentu u\u017e vid\u011bt jsou \u2013 a pr\u00e1v\u011b to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt paradoxn\u011b pozitivn\u00ed. Ne proto, \u017ee by to zaru\u010dovalo obrat, ale proto, \u017ee trh bez vyprch\u00e1n\u00ed hype obvykle dno netvo\u0159\u00ed. A jestli je v kryptu n\u011bco konstantn\u00ed, pak to, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00e9 dno nevznik\u00e1 tehdy, kdy\u017e se o n\u011bm mluv\u00ed s nad\u0161en\u00edm, ale tehdy, kdy u\u017e o n\u011bm nechce mluvit skoro nikdo.<\/p>

Investujte do Bitcoinu bez ov\u011b\u0159en\u00ed identity!<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Na trhu s bitcoinem se nevypl\u00e1c\u00ed \u010dekat na jeden magick\u00fd \u201ebod obratu\u201c, po kter\u00e9m u\u017e cena jen poroste. Historie opakovan\u011b ukazuje, \u017ee tvorba cenov\u00e9ho dna je v\u017edy proces, kter\u00fd se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z v\u00edce f\u00e1z\u00ed: od prvn\u00edho zlomu sentimentu p\u0159es postupn\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed prodejc\u016f a\u017e po obdob\u00ed, kdy trh za\u010dne absorbovat nab\u00eddku bez toho, aby se okam\u017eit\u011b […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":635,"featured_media":5108,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[16,17,34,18],"editors":[524],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-6670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-krypto","tag-kryptomeny","editors-pavel-navratil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCenov\u00e9 dno Bitcoinu je bl\u00edzko? Tohle n\u00e1m napov\u00ed<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/cenove-dno-bitcoinu-neni-okamzik-ale-proces\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cenov\u00e9 dno Bitcoinu je bl\u00edzko? Tohle n\u00e1m napov\u00ed\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Na trhu s bitcoinem se nevypl\u00e1c\u00ed \u010dekat na jeden magick\u00fd \u201ebod obratu\u201c, po kter\u00e9m u\u017e cena jen poroste. Historie opakovan\u011b ukazuje, \u017ee tvorba cenov\u00e9ho dna je v\u017edy proces, kter\u00fd se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z v\u00edce f\u00e1z\u00ed: od prvn\u00edho zlomu sentimentu p\u0159es postupn\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed prodejc\u016f a\u017e po obdob\u00ed, kdy trh za\u010dne absorbovat nab\u00eddku bez toho, aby se okam\u017eit\u011b […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/cenove-dno-bitcoinu-neni-okamzik-ale-proces\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Cryptonews CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-02-14T10:09:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/21054054\/1763703653-1763636452-image-1763636422183_optimized.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1456\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"816\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/21054054\/1763703653-1763636452-image-1763636422183_optimized.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptonews\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptonews\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Cenov\u00e9 dno Bitcoinu je bl\u00edzko? Tohle n\u00e1m napov\u00ed","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/cenove-dno-bitcoinu-neni-okamzik-ale-proces\/","og_locale":"cs_CZ","og_type":"article","og_title":"Cenov\u00e9 dno Bitcoinu je bl\u00edzko? Tohle n\u00e1m napov\u00ed","og_description":"Na trhu s bitcoinem se nevypl\u00e1c\u00ed \u010dekat na jeden magick\u00fd \u201ebod obratu\u201c, po kter\u00e9m u\u017e cena jen poroste. Historie opakovan\u011b ukazuje, \u017ee tvorba cenov\u00e9ho dna je v\u017edy proces, kter\u00fd se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z v\u00edce f\u00e1z\u00ed: od prvn\u00edho zlomu sentimentu p\u0159es postupn\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed prodejc\u016f a\u017e po obdob\u00ed, kdy trh za\u010dne absorbovat nab\u00eddku bez toho, aby se okam\u017eit\u011b […]","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/cenove-dno-bitcoinu-neni-okamzik-ale-proces\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews CZ","article_published_time":"2026-02-14T10:09:00+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1456,"height":816,"url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/21054054\/1763703653-1763636452-image-1763636422183_optimized.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/11\/21054054\/1763703653-1763636452-image-1763636422183_optimized.jpg","twitter_creator":"@cryptonews","twitter_site":"@cryptonews","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/cenove-dno-bitcoinu-neni-okamzik-ale-proces\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/cenove-dno-bitcoinu-neni-okamzik-ale-proces\/"},"author":{"name":"jaroslav","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/87a232bc78471cd4e19cb874e6608412"},"headline":"Cenov\u00e9 dno Bitcoinu je bl\u00edzko? 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