{"id":6518,"date":"2026-02-09T07:49:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-09T07:49:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=6518"},"modified":"2026-02-08T20:51:14","modified_gmt":"2026-02-08T20:51:14","slug":"historie-bitcoinu-v-medvedim-trhu-76-az-pres-90-dolu-neni-vyjimka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/historie-bitcoinu-v-medvedim-trhu-76-az-pres-90-dolu-neni-vyjimka\/","title":{"rendered":"Historie bitcoinu v medv\u011bd\u00edm trhu: 76 % a\u017e p\u0159es 90 % dol\u016f nen\u00ed v\u00fdjimka"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin <\/a>m\u00e1 jednu vlastnost, kter\u00e1 se v ka\u017ed\u00e9m cyklu vrac\u00ed jako bumerang: kdy\u017e p\u0159ijde opravdov\u00fd medv\u011bd\u00ed trh, um\u00ed smazat v\u011bt\u0161inu p\u0159edchoz\u00edho r\u016fstu. V minul\u00fdch cyklech se propady b\u011bhem medv\u011bd\u00ed f\u00e1ze pohybovaly zhruba mezi -76 % a\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e -90 %<\/strong> od historick\u00e9ho maxima (ATH). <\/p>

Pro nov\u00e9 investory to zn\u00ed jako extr\u00e9m, pro veter\u00e1ny je to sp\u00ed\u0161 p\u0159ipom\u00ednka, \u017ee \u201evolatilita\u201c nen\u00ed marketingov\u00e9 slovo, ale realita. A pr\u00e1v\u011b proto se \u010d\u00e1st trhu sna\u017e\u00ed odhadovat, jak hluboko m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt sou\u010dasn\u00fd pokles, pokud bude bitcoin op\u011bt kop\u00edrovat historick\u00e9 vzorce.<\/p>

<\/p>

\"btc
Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div>

Jestli se ztr\u00e1ty v cyklech zmen\u0161uj\u00ed, vych\u00e1z\u00ed dno kolem -70 % od ATH<\/h2><\/span>

V posledn\u00edm cyklu bitcoin podle tohoto r\u00e1mce klesl z vrcholu zhruba o -76 %<\/strong>. Pokud by trh pokra\u010doval ve vzorci, kdy jsou ztr\u00e1ty v ka\u017ed\u00e9m dal\u0161\u00edm cyklu \u201eo n\u011bco ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed\u201c, vych\u00e1z\u00ed hypot\u00e9za, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dno by se mohlo formovat zhruba p\u0159i -70 % od ATH<\/strong>. <\/p>

To nen\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f ve smyslu jistoty, ale sp\u00ed\u0161 \u201ehrub\u00fd orienta\u010dn\u00ed bod\u201c, kter\u00fd vych\u00e1z\u00ed z jednoduch\u00e9 \u00favahy: jak roste velikost trhu a likvidita, extr\u00e9my mohou b\u00fdt m\u00e9n\u011b divok\u00e9 ne\u017e v \u00fapln\u00fdch za\u010d\u00e1tc\u00edch. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale plat\u00ed, \u017ee medv\u011bd\u00ed trh um\u00ed b\u00fdt nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011b kreativn\u00ed a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd historick\u00fd vzorec nen\u00ed jistota.<\/p>

\"Cena
Cena bitcoinu by mohla ud\u011blat dno kolem 38 000 USD. Zdroj: BitBo<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Co to znamen\u00e1 v cen\u011b: 38 000 USD a z aktu\u00e1ln\u00edch 66 000 USD je\u0161t\u011b -40 %<\/h2><\/span>

Pokud bychom orienta\u010dn\u011b vzali sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 -70 % od ATH<\/strong>, odpov\u00edd\u00e1 to cen\u011b zhruba 38 000 USD<\/strong>. A to je ten moment, kdy se z \u201eteorie\u201c st\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u011bco, co u\u017e bol\u00ed i p\u0159i \u010dten\u00ed: p\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9 cen\u011b kolem 70 000 USD<\/strong> a n\u00ed\u017ee by takov\u00fd pohyb znamenal je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b -35 a\u017e 40 %<\/strong> dol\u016f. <\/p>

To je p\u0159esn\u011b ten typ \u010d\u00edsel, kter\u00fd vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d je bitcoin pro jedny magnetem (asymetrie <\/strong>a tedy velk\u00fd potenci\u00e1l zisk\u016f) a pro druh\u00e9 aktivem, kter\u00e9 se ned\u00e1 dr\u017eet, pokud \u010dlov\u011bk nem\u00e1 nastaven\u00fd dlouhodob\u00fd horizont a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed realit\u011b trhu.<\/p>

Je to nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9, ale konec poklesu m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt bl\u00ed\u017e, ne\u017e to vypad\u00e1<\/h2><\/span>

I kdyby tenhle sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 vy\u0161el, nen\u00ed to d\u016fvod k panice ani k euforii \u2013 je to jen p\u0159ipom\u00ednka, \u017ee medv\u011bd\u00ed trh m\u016f\u017ee bolet d\u00e9le, ne\u017e si v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed p\u0159eje. Sou\u010dasn\u011b ale d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl p\u0159ipustit i opa\u010dnou mo\u017enost: \u017ee jsme ke konci poklesu u\u017e relativn\u011b bl\u00edzko, proto\u017ee -70 % nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jistota<\/strong>. <\/p>

Trh nemus\u00ed \u201eposlu\u0161n\u011b\u201c dodr\u017eet historick\u00fd vzorec chov\u00e1n\u00ed a dno se m\u016f\u017ee proto vytvo\u0159it v\u00fd\u0161, zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 pokud se zm\u011bnily podm\u00ednky likvidity, struktura dr\u017eitel\u016f nebo chov\u00e1n\u00ed institucion\u00e1ln\u00edho kapit\u00e1lu. <\/p>

Z pohledu cyklick\u00e9 logiky tedy plat\u00ed jednoduch\u00e9 shrnut\u00ed: ano, m\u016f\u017ee to je\u0161t\u011b bolet \u2013 ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 u\u017e se pohybujeme v \u00fazem\u00ed, kde se dno historicky \u010dasto za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 v\u016fbec r\u00fdsovat.<\/p>

Investujte do Bitcoinu bez ov\u011b\u0159en\u00ed identity!<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin m\u00e1 jednu vlastnost, kter\u00e1 se v ka\u017ed\u00e9m cyklu vrac\u00ed jako bumerang: kdy\u017e p\u0159ijde opravdov\u00fd medv\u011bd\u00ed trh, um\u00ed smazat v\u011bt\u0161inu p\u0159edchoz\u00edho r\u016fstu. V minul\u00fdch cyklech se propady b\u011bhem medv\u011bd\u00ed f\u00e1ze pohybovaly zhruba mezi -76 % a\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e -90 % od historick\u00e9ho maxima (ATH). Pro nov\u00e9 investory to zn\u00ed jako extr\u00e9m, pro veter\u00e1ny je to […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":635,"featured_media":4739,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[16,17,34,18],"editors":[524],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-6518","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-krypto","tag-kryptomeny","editors-pavel-navratil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHistorie bitcoinu v medv\u011bd\u00edm trhu: 76 % a\u017e p\u0159es 90 % dol\u016f nen\u00ed v\u00fdjimka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/historie-bitcoinu-v-medvedim-trhu-76-az-pres-90-dolu-neni-vyjimka\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Historie bitcoinu v medv\u011bd\u00edm trhu: 76 % a\u017e p\u0159es 90 % dol\u016f nen\u00ed v\u00fdjimka\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin m\u00e1 jednu vlastnost, kter\u00e1 se v ka\u017ed\u00e9m cyklu vrac\u00ed jako bumerang: kdy\u017e p\u0159ijde opravdov\u00fd medv\u011bd\u00ed trh, um\u00ed smazat v\u011bt\u0161inu p\u0159edchoz\u00edho r\u016fstu. V minul\u00fdch cyklech se propady b\u011bhem medv\u011bd\u00ed f\u00e1ze pohybovaly zhruba mezi -76 % a\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e -90 % od historick\u00e9ho maxima (ATH). 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V minul\u00fdch cyklech se propady b\u011bhem medv\u011bd\u00ed f\u00e1ze pohybovaly zhruba mezi -76 % a\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e -90 % od historick\u00e9ho maxima (ATH). Pro nov\u00e9 investory to zn\u00ed jako extr\u00e9m, pro veter\u00e1ny je to […]","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/historie-bitcoinu-v-medvedim-trhu-76-az-pres-90-dolu-neni-vyjimka\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews 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