{"id":6490,"date":"2026-02-06T10:33:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T10:33:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=6490"},"modified":"2026-02-04T08:17:54","modified_gmt":"2026-02-04T08:17:54","slug":"kdy-presne-bitcoin-vytvori-cenove-dno-halving-cyklus-napovi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/kdy-presne-bitcoin-vytvori-cenove-dno-halving-cyklus-napovi\/","title":{"rendered":"Kdy p\u0159esn\u011b bitcoin vytvo\u0159\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno? Halving cyklus napov\u00ed!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hodn\u011b bitcoin <\/a>nad\u0161enc\u016f bere halvingov\u00e9 cykly<\/strong> jako n\u011bco, co se prost\u011b d\u011bje. Skoro jako placen\u00ed dan\u00ed. Jednou za \u010das se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed tempo, jak\u00fdm do ob\u011bhu p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed nov\u00e9 bitcoiny, a trh si to d\u0159\u00edv nebo pozd\u011bji prop\u00ed\u0161e do cen. <\/p>

Tahle logika je sv\u016fdn\u00e1, proto\u017ee d\u00e1v\u00e1 chaosu jednoduch\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d<\/strong>: nejd\u0159\u00edv euforie, pak vyst\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bn\u00ed, potom dlouh\u00e9 tr\u00e1pen\u00ed a nakonec nov\u00fd r\u016fst. Jen\u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b tady za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 b\u00fdt zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 (a trochu nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9) p\u0159iznat si jednu v\u011bc: Bitcoin halving<\/a> je jen mechanika nab\u00eddky. Zbytek d\u011bl\u00e1 psychologie a likvidita. A ty se um\u00ed zm\u011bnit mnohem rychleji.<\/p>

Investujte do Bitcoinu bez ov\u011b\u0159en\u00ed identity!<\/a>\n\n\n\n<\/p>

Kde by m\u011bl bitcoin podle cyklu tvo\u0159it cenov\u00e9 dno?<\/h2><\/span>

Kdy\u017e halvingovou teorii znovu aplikujeme na sou\u010dasn\u00fd trh, vych\u00e1z\u00ed z n\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee cenov\u00e9 dno medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu by se mohlo za\u010d\u00edt tvo\u0159it ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b leto\u0161n\u00edho roku<\/strong>, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b n\u011bkdy na podzim. <\/p>

Lid\u00e9 si \u010dasto p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed dno jako jeden velmi dramatick\u00fd den, kdy cena hluboce spadne, n\u011bkdo panicky prod\u00e1 a pak u\u017e to jde jen nahoru. Realita b\u00fdv\u00e1 jin\u00e1 a psychologicky vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed: tvorba je toti\u017e proces<\/strong>. Trv\u00e1 t\u00fddny a\u017e m\u011bs\u00edce a v\u011bt\u0161inou vypad\u00e1 tak, \u017ee trh opakovan\u011b zkou\u0161\u00ed, kolik bolesti je\u0161t\u011b unese.<\/p>

\"Teorie
Teorie halvingov\u00fdch cykl\u016f: Kde bitcoin vytvo\u0159\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno? <\/figcaption><\/figure>

Dno nen\u00ed okam\u017eik, ale maraton<\/h2><\/span>

Z graf\u016f minul\u00fdch cykl\u016f je obvykle vid\u011bt, \u017ee trh se po v\u00fdrazn\u00e9m propadu \u010dasto nejd\u0159\u00edv \u201erozpadne\u201c, pak se zvedne, zase spadne, dlouho se mot\u00e1 do strany a teprve potom za\u010dne pomalu budovat nov\u00fd trend. Ten nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed trik medv\u011bd\u00edho trhu je, \u017ee netrest\u00e1 jen ztr\u00e1tou. <\/p>

Trest\u00e1 \u00fanavou. Pokud je tenhle cyklick\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 spr\u00e1vn\u00fd, m\u016f\u017ee to znamenat, \u017ee bitcoin bude je\u0161t\u011b zhruba p\u016fl roku \u201ekrv\u00e1cet\u201c<\/strong> (tedy bu\u010f klesat, nebo d\u011blat ostr\u00e9 v\u00fdplachy), a n\u00e1sledn\u011b se m\u016f\u017ee dal\u0161\u00edho p\u016fl roku pohybovat zhruba na podobn\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch. Pro investory je to \u010dasto hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e p\u00e1d, proto\u017ee v bo\u010dn\u00edm trhu miz\u00ed motivace, miz\u00ed pozornost m\u00e9di\u00ed a v\u0161e p\u016fsob\u00ed, jako by se nic ned\u011blo.<\/p>

Jak hluboko cena BTC spadne ? 50 000 USD zn\u00ed rozumn\u011b<\/h2><\/span>

Dal\u0161\u00ed \u00favaha je, jak hluboko by se takov\u00e9 dno mohlo v\u016fbec posunout. Pokud po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me s t\u00edm, \u017ee cenov\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty b\u00fdvaj\u00ed v ka\u017ed\u00e9m dal\u0161\u00edm cyklu v relativn\u00edm vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed<\/strong>, d\u00e1v\u00e1 ur\u010ditou vnit\u0159n\u00ed logiku p\u0159edpoklad, \u017ee bitcoin neza\u010dne dno tvo\u0159it d\u0159\u00edv ne\u017e n\u011bkde kolem 50 000 USD<\/strong>. <\/p>

\"Cenov\u00e9
Cenov\u00e9 dno bitcoinu se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude nach\u00e1zet n\u011bkde kolem 50 000 USD<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je f\u00e9r p\u0159iznat, \u017ee trh m\u00e1 v\u017edy i extr\u00e9mn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed medv\u011bdi dok\u00e1\u017eou mluvit i o cen\u00e1ch pod 20 000 USD<\/strong>. Tyhle odhady \u010dasto funguj\u00ed jako psychologick\u00fd protip\u00f3l euforie: p\u0159ipom\u00ednka, \u017ee i nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed a nejlikvidn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed krypto aktivum um\u00ed b\u00fdt brut\u00e1ln\u011b volatiln\u00ed a \u017ee historie je sice vod\u00edtko, ale ne jistota.<\/p>

<\/p>

Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div>

Trp\u011blivost jako konkuren\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdhoda<\/h2><\/span>

Pokud existuje jedna vlastnost, kter\u00e1 v podobn\u00fdch f\u00e1z\u00edch rozhoduje v\u00edc ne\u017e sofistikovan\u00e9 indik\u00e1tory, je to trp\u011blivost<\/strong>. Medv\u011bd\u00ed trh je test discipl\u00edny, ne test schopnosti trefit p\u0159esn\u00e9 dno. P\u0159esn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je uva\u017eovat v tom, \u017ee dno je del\u0161\u00ed interval<\/strong>, ne bod. A \u017ee \u201evysed\u011bt\u201c pozice n\u011bkdy znamen\u00e1 sn\u00e9st i velmi dlouh\u00e9 obdob\u00ed, kdy se cena nikam neposouv\u00e1, a p\u0159esto je pot\u0159eba nepropadnout dojmu, \u017ee je konec. <\/p>

Pro n\u011bkoho nen\u00ed probl\u00e9m vysed\u011bt pozice i n\u011bkolik let, tak\u017ee vyhl\u00eddka necel\u00e9ho roku relativn\u00edho tr\u00e1pen\u00ed p\u016fsob\u00ed zvl\u00e1dnuteln\u011b<\/strong>. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale plat\u00ed, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd cyklus m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ekvapit. Halvingov\u00fd r\u00e1mec m\u016f\u017ee pom\u00e1hat s orientac\u00ed, ale je rozumn\u00e9 po\u010d\u00edtat i s t\u00edm, \u017ee makro, regulace nebo likvidita um\u00ed tr\u017en\u00ed rytmus zm\u011bnit.<\/p>

Investujte do Bitcoinu bez ov\u011b\u0159en\u00ed identity!<\/a>\n\n\n\n<\/p>

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hodn\u011b bitcoin nad\u0161enc\u016f bere halvingov\u00e9 cykly jako n\u011bco, co se prost\u011b d\u011bje. Skoro jako placen\u00ed dan\u00ed. Jednou za \u010das se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed tempo, jak\u00fdm do ob\u011bhu p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed nov\u00e9 bitcoiny, a trh si to d\u0159\u00edv nebo pozd\u011bji prop\u00ed\u0161e do cen. Tahle logika je sv\u016fdn\u00e1, proto\u017ee d\u00e1v\u00e1 chaosu jednoduch\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d: nejd\u0159\u00edv euforie, pak vyst\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bn\u00ed, potom dlouh\u00e9 tr\u00e1pen\u00ed a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":635,"featured_media":5684,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[16,17,192,34,18],"editors":[524],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-6490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-halving-bitcoinu","tag-krypto","tag-kryptomeny","editors-pavel-navratil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nKdy p\u0159esn\u011b bitcoin vytvo\u0159\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno? Halving cyklus napov\u00ed!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/kdy-presne-bitcoin-vytvori-cenove-dno-halving-cyklus-napovi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kdy p\u0159esn\u011b bitcoin vytvo\u0159\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno? Halving cyklus napov\u00ed!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Hodn\u011b bitcoin nad\u0161enc\u016f bere halvingov\u00e9 cykly jako n\u011bco, co se prost\u011b d\u011bje. Skoro jako placen\u00ed dan\u00ed. Jednou za \u010das se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed tempo, jak\u00fdm do ob\u011bhu p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed nov\u00e9 bitcoiny, a trh si to d\u0159\u00edv nebo pozd\u011bji prop\u00ed\u0161e do cen. Tahle logika je sv\u016fdn\u00e1, proto\u017ee d\u00e1v\u00e1 chaosu jednoduch\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d: nejd\u0159\u00edv euforie, pak vyst\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bn\u00ed, potom dlouh\u00e9 tr\u00e1pen\u00ed a […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/kdy-presne-bitcoin-vytvori-cenove-dno-halving-cyklus-napovi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Cryptonews CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-02-06T10:33:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/12\/10121027\/1765368626-1757494176-academy-depth-charts.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1456\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"816\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/12\/10121027\/1765368626-1757494176-academy-depth-charts.webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptonews\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptonews\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Kdy p\u0159esn\u011b bitcoin vytvo\u0159\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno? Halving cyklus napov\u00ed!","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/kdy-presne-bitcoin-vytvori-cenove-dno-halving-cyklus-napovi\/","og_locale":"cs_CZ","og_type":"article","og_title":"Kdy p\u0159esn\u011b bitcoin vytvo\u0159\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno? Halving cyklus napov\u00ed!","og_description":"Hodn\u011b bitcoin nad\u0161enc\u016f bere halvingov\u00e9 cykly jako n\u011bco, co se prost\u011b d\u011bje. Skoro jako placen\u00ed dan\u00ed. Jednou za \u010das se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed tempo, jak\u00fdm do ob\u011bhu p\u0159ib\u00fdvaj\u00ed nov\u00e9 bitcoiny, a trh si to d\u0159\u00edv nebo pozd\u011bji prop\u00ed\u0161e do cen. Tahle logika je sv\u016fdn\u00e1, proto\u017ee d\u00e1v\u00e1 chaosu jednoduch\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d: nejd\u0159\u00edv euforie, pak vyst\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bn\u00ed, potom dlouh\u00e9 tr\u00e1pen\u00ed a […]","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/kdy-presne-bitcoin-vytvori-cenove-dno-halving-cyklus-napovi\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews CZ","article_published_time":"2026-02-06T10:33:00+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1456,"height":816,"url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/12\/10121027\/1765368626-1757494176-academy-depth-charts.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/12\/10121027\/1765368626-1757494176-academy-depth-charts.webp","twitter_creator":"@cryptonews","twitter_site":"@cryptonews","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/kdy-presne-bitcoin-vytvori-cenove-dno-halving-cyklus-napovi\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/kdy-presne-bitcoin-vytvori-cenove-dno-halving-cyklus-napovi\/"},"author":{"name":"jaroslav","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/#\/schema\/person\/fd8a426bbd9efd4af9cdf8ec6b8c4a59"},"headline":"Kdy p\u0159esn\u011b bitcoin vytvo\u0159\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno? 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