{"id":6393,"date":"2026-02-02T13:21:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T13:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=6393"},"modified":"2026-02-02T08:06:03","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T08:06:03","slug":"proc-se-na-kryptomenovem-trhu-behem-vikendu-vyparilo-250-miliard-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/proc-se-na-kryptomenovem-trhu-behem-vikendu-vyparilo-250-miliard-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d se na kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9m trhu b\u011bhem v\u00edkendu vypa\u0159ilo 250 miliard USD?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9 trhy o v\u00edkendu odepsaly zhruba 250 miliard dolar\u016f<\/strong> na celkov\u00e9 kapitalizaci. P\u0159irozen\u00e1 reakce internetu? \u201eBitcoin <\/a>je rozbit\u00fd. Cyklus skon\u010dil. Hotovo.\u201c Jen\u017ee p\u0159esn\u011b tenhle p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh ozna\u010duje Raoul Pal, zakladatel a CEO Global Macro Investor, za hloup\u011b pohodlnou zkratku. <\/p>

Podle n\u011bj nejde o \u017e\u00e1dnou krypto-specifickou poruchu, ale o prost\u00fd fakt, \u017ee americk\u00e9mu finan\u010dn\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu do\u010dasn\u011b chyb\u00ed likvidita<\/strong>. A kdy\u017e likvidita chyb\u00ed, trp\u00ed nejd\u0159\u00edv to, co je nejcitliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed na finan\u010dn\u00ed podm\u00ednky: dlouhodob\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a aktiva s vysokou volatilitou.<\/p>

\u0160okuj\u00edc\u00ed (a z\u00e1rove\u0148 analyticky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9) je, \u017ee stejn\u00fd pohyb nevid\u00edme jen v kryptom\u011bn\u00e1ch. Pal p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee v tandemu padaj\u00ed i akcie typu Software as a Service \u2014 tedy segment, kter\u00fd by na prvn\u00ed pohled nem\u011bl m\u00edt s bitcoinem nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho. <\/p>

A pr\u00e1v\u011b to je jeho hlavn\u00ed argument proti tezi \u201ekrypto je mrtv\u00e9\u201c: pokud by byl probl\u00e9m skute\u010dn\u011b pouze v kryptom\u011bn\u00e1ch, pro\u010d by sou\u010dasn\u011b krv\u00e1cely i SaaS tituly? Pal to shrnuje ost\u0159e: narativ \u201ecrypto is broken\u201c ned\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl, kdy\u017e se vedle toho sype i druh\u00e1, \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st trhu.<\/p>

<\/p>

\"btc
Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div>

Pro\u010d bitcoin kop\u00edruje SaaS: \u201elong-duration\u201c aktiva reaguj\u00ed na stejn\u00e9 p\u00e1ky<\/h2><\/span>

Podle Pala maj\u00ed bitcoin i SaaS akcie jednu spole\u010dnou vlastnost: jsou to \u201elong-duration assets\u201c<\/strong> \u2014 aktiva, jejich\u017e hodnota je do velk\u00e9 m\u00edry postaven\u00e1 na budouc\u00edch o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edch (adopce, cash flow, r\u016fst). A pr\u00e1v\u011b takov\u00e1 aktiva b\u00fdvaj\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u011b citliv\u00e1 na dv\u011b prom\u011bnn\u00e9: likviditu<\/strong> a \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby<\/a><\/strong>. <\/p>

Jakmile se finan\u010dn\u00ed podm\u00ednky utahuj\u00ed a pen\u00edze v syst\u00e9mu jsou \u201edra\u017e\u0161\u00ed\u201c, trh za\u010dne rychle p\u0159ece\u0148ovat budoucnost do p\u0159\u00edtomnosti. To se navenek projev\u00ed ban\u00e1ln\u011b: prod\u00e1v\u00e1 se to, co je nejv\u00edc \u201eo budoucnu\u201c.<\/p>

\"Cena
Cena bitcoinu koreluje s akciemi softwarov\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed. Zdroj: Bloomberg<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Proto Pal upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee se te\u010f recykluje stejn\u00fd typ sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e ve dvou sv\u011btech z\u00e1rove\u0148: u krypta se \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 \u201ecrypto is dead\u201c, u softwaru se zase objevuje zkratka, \u017ee \u201eAI nahrad\u00ed software firmy\u201c. <\/p>

Dv\u011b odli\u0161n\u00e9 t\u0159\u00eddy aktiv, podobn\u00e1 panika, podobn\u00e9 \u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed. Z jeho pohledu to nen\u00ed n\u00e1hoda: kdy\u017e se dv\u011b r\u016fzn\u00e9 v\u011bci h\u00fdbou vedle sebe, \u010dasto to ukazuje na jeden spole\u010dn\u00fd d\u016fvod \u2014 makro likviditu<\/strong> \u2014 nikoliv na specifick\u00fd probl\u00e9m v jednom sektoru.<\/p>

\u201eZlato vys\u00e1lo posledn\u00ed kapku\u201c: kdy\u017e nen\u00ed likvidita pro v\u0161echny, nejrizikov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dostane r\u00e1nu<\/h2><\/span>

Palova nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed teze je skoro nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u011b prost\u00e1: rally na zlat\u011b vys\u00e1la z trhu v\u0161echnu likviditu<\/strong>, kter\u00e1 by jinak tekla do rizikov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch aktiv, jako je bitcoin a SaaS. \u201eNebyla dostate\u010dn\u00e1 likvidita, aby u\u017eivila v\u0161echny tyhle trhy, tak\u017ee nejrizikov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed byl zasa\u017een,\u201c je pointa jeho vysv\u011btlen\u00ed (v duchu jeho v\u00fdroku, \u017ee zlato \u201esucked all marginal liquidity out of the system\u201c).<\/p>

\"Dlouhodob\u00fd
Dlouhodob\u00fd cenov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj ceny zlata<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Tahle my\u0161lenka je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 i psychologicky: lid\u00e9 \u010dasto \u010dekaj\u00ed, \u017ee kdy\u017e \u201eroste zlato\u201c, je to jen dobr\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va pro \u201ehedge\u201c. Jen\u017ee v prost\u0159ed\u00ed omezen\u00e9 likvidity m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zlato z\u00e1rove\u0148 konkurentem o kapit\u00e1l<\/strong>. Ne v teoretick\u00e9m smyslu, ale v \u010dist\u011b praktick\u00e9m: pen\u00edze nejsou nekone\u010dn\u00e9 a portfolia maj\u00ed limity. <\/p>

Pokud do \u201ebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho\u201c aktiva proud\u00ed kapit\u00e1l, n\u011bkde jinde ten kapit\u00e1l chyb\u00ed. A trhy, kter\u00e9 pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed v\u00edc likvidity k udr\u017een\u00ed r\u016fstu (proto\u017ee jsou volatiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed), to poc\u00edt\u00ed jako prvn\u00ed.<\/p>

Dv\u011b shutdown epizody a probl\u00e9m v toc\u00edch: co znamen\u00e1, \u017ee USA maj\u00ed probl\u00e9m s likviditou<\/h2><\/span>

Pal z\u00e1rove\u0148 poukazuje na to, \u017ee do\u010dasn\u00fd odliv likvidity zhor\u0161ily dv\u011b epizody government shutdownu <\/strong>a obecn\u011b probl\u00e9my v toc\u00edch pen\u011bz \u2014 tedy technick\u00e9 a institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed mechanismy, jak v syst\u00e9mu proud\u00ed hotovost. Zmi\u0148uje i to, \u017ee tzv. Reverse Repo<\/strong> odliv likvidity byl v podstat\u011b dokon\u010den v roce 2024<\/strong>. Fed provozuje Reverse Repo Facility jako n\u00e1stroj, kde banky a fondy pen\u011b\u017en\u00edho trhu \u201eparkuj\u00ed\u201c hotovost p\u0159es noc.<\/p>

D\u0159\u00edv to podle Pala fungovalo tak, \u017ee kdy\u017e americk\u00e9 ministerstvo financ\u00ed obnovovalo sv\u016fj hotovostn\u00ed \u00fa\u010det (TGA), negativn\u00ed dopad na likviditu se \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b kompenzoval t\u00edm, \u017ee se sou\u010dasn\u011b \u201evypou\u0161t\u011bla\u201c hotovost z RRP. Jen\u017ee te\u010f m\u00e1 b\u00fdt probl\u00e9m v tom, \u017ee RRP je vy\u010derpan\u00e9<\/strong> \u2014 a kdy\u017e nen\u00ed z \u010deho \u201euvol\u0148ovat\u201c, ka\u017ed\u00e9 znovu napln\u011bn\u00ed TGA se st\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010dist\u00fdm odtokem likvidity<\/strong>. Pro trhy je to z\u00e1sadn\u00ed detail: najednou miz\u00ed tlumi\u010d, kter\u00fd d\u0159\u00edv n\u00e1razy vyhlazoval.<\/p>

Z\u00e1v\u011br, kter\u00fd zn\u00ed a\u017e podez\u0159ele optimisticky: \u201eodtok likvidity je skoro za n\u00e1mi\u201c<\/h2><\/span>

Pal uzav\u00edr\u00e1 p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b b\u00fd\u010d\u00edm t\u00f3nem: tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee likviditn\u00ed odtok je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 u konce<\/strong>. P\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee nejde trefit ka\u017edou prom\u011bnnou dokonale (\u201ewe just can\u2019t get every moving part right\u201c), ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee dnes u\u017e trh l\u00e9pe ch\u00e1pe, co se d\u011bje. A proto z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 na trhy velmi b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed pro rok 2026<\/strong>, proto\u017ee podle n\u011bj zn\u00e1 playbook Trumpa a Bessenta.<\/p>

Po v\u00edkendu, kdy se \u201eodpa\u0159ilo\u201c 250 miliard dolar\u016f, p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed n\u011bkdo a tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee probl\u00e9m nen\u00ed vylo\u017een\u011b v kryptom\u011bn\u00e1ch, ale probl\u00e9m je v do\u010dasn\u00e9m nedostatku likvidity. A \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b proto m\u016f\u017ee dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze p\u0159ij\u00edt rychleji, ne\u017e se dnes zd\u00e1. Jestli m\u00e1 pravdu, uk\u00e1\u017ee \u010das. Ale jeho r\u00e1mec je analyticky tvrd\u00fd: kdy\u017e se dv\u011b r\u016fzn\u00e9 t\u0159\u00eddy aktiv (SaaS a bitcoin) pohybuj\u00ed spole\u010dn\u011b, hledej p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinu v makru, ne v poh\u00e1dk\u00e1ch o konci t\u011bchto trh\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>

<\/p>

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9 trhy o v\u00edkendu odepsaly zhruba 250 miliard dolar\u016f na celkov\u00e9 kapitalizaci. P\u0159irozen\u00e1 reakce internetu? \u201eBitcoin je rozbit\u00fd. Cyklus skon\u010dil. Hotovo.\u201c Jen\u017ee p\u0159esn\u011b tenhle p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh ozna\u010duje Raoul Pal, zakladatel a CEO Global Macro Investor, za hloup\u011b pohodlnou zkratku. Podle n\u011bj nejde o \u017e\u00e1dnou krypto-specifickou poruchu, ale o prost\u00fd fakt, \u017ee americk\u00e9mu finan\u010dn\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu do\u010dasn\u011b chyb\u00ed […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":635,"featured_media":6135,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[16,17,24,34,18,253,483,21],"editors":[524],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-6393","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-fed","tag-krypto","tag-kryptomeny","tag-likvidita","tag-medvedi-trh","tag-zlato","editors-pavel-navratil"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPro\u010d se na kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9m trhu b\u011bhem v\u00edkendu vypa\u0159ilo 250 miliard USD?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/proc-se-na-kryptomenovem-trhu-behem-vikendu-vyparilo-250-miliard-usd\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pro\u010d se na kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9m trhu b\u011bhem v\u00edkendu vypa\u0159ilo 250 miliard USD?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9 trhy o v\u00edkendu odepsaly zhruba 250 miliard dolar\u016f na celkov\u00e9 kapitalizaci. P\u0159irozen\u00e1 reakce internetu? \u201eBitcoin je rozbit\u00fd. Cyklus skon\u010dil. Hotovo.\u201c Jen\u017ee p\u0159esn\u011b tenhle p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh ozna\u010duje Raoul Pal, zakladatel a CEO Global Macro Investor, za hloup\u011b pohodlnou zkratku. Podle n\u011bj nejde o \u017e\u00e1dnou krypto-specifickou poruchu, ale o prost\u00fd fakt, \u017ee americk\u00e9mu finan\u010dn\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu do\u010dasn\u011b chyb\u00ed […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/proc-se-na-kryptomenovem-trhu-behem-vikendu-vyparilo-250-miliard-usd\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Cryptonews CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-02-02T13:21:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2026\/01\/14081430\/obrazek-13-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"673\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2026\/01\/14081430\/obrazek-13-1.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptonews\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptonews\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Pro\u010d se na kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9m trhu b\u011bhem v\u00edkendu vypa\u0159ilo 250 miliard USD?","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/proc-se-na-kryptomenovem-trhu-behem-vikendu-vyparilo-250-miliard-usd\/","og_locale":"cs_CZ","og_type":"article","og_title":"Pro\u010d se na kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9m trhu b\u011bhem v\u00edkendu vypa\u0159ilo 250 miliard USD?","og_description":"Kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9 trhy o v\u00edkendu odepsaly zhruba 250 miliard dolar\u016f na celkov\u00e9 kapitalizaci. P\u0159irozen\u00e1 reakce internetu? \u201eBitcoin je rozbit\u00fd. Cyklus skon\u010dil. Hotovo.\u201c Jen\u017ee p\u0159esn\u011b tenhle p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh ozna\u010duje Raoul Pal, zakladatel a CEO Global Macro Investor, za hloup\u011b pohodlnou zkratku. Podle n\u011bj nejde o \u017e\u00e1dnou krypto-specifickou poruchu, ale o prost\u00fd fakt, \u017ee americk\u00e9mu finan\u010dn\u00edmu syst\u00e9mu do\u010dasn\u011b chyb\u00ed […]","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/proc-se-na-kryptomenovem-trhu-behem-vikendu-vyparilo-250-miliard-usd\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews 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