{"id":5927,"date":"2025-12-24T07:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-24T07:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=5927"},"modified":"2025-12-22T16:33:27","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T16:33:27","slug":"bitcoin-ztratil-100-000-a-mozna-tim-ztratil-i-pribeh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/bitcoin-ztratil-100-000-a-mozna-tim-ztratil-i-pribeh\/","title":{"rendered":"Kdy se bitcoin odraz\u00ed od cenov\u00e9ho dna?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin <\/a>m\u011bl m\u00edt na konci roku 2025 jasno. Podle star\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f m\u011blo p\u0159ij\u00edt z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 vyvrcholen\u00ed r\u016fstu ceny, tradi\u010dn\u00ed \u201eSanta rally\u201c a potvrzen\u00ed toho, \u017ee halving bitcoinu<\/a> op\u011bt funguje jako spolehliv\u00fd motor r\u016fstu. Jen\u017ee realita je jin\u00e1. Bitcoin kon\u010d\u00ed rok pod hranic\u00ed 100 000 USD \u2013 a bez jasn\u00e9ho sm\u011bru.<\/strong><\/p>

To samo o sob\u011b by je\u0161t\u011b nebylo dramatick\u00e9. Skute\u010dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m je jinde: trh p\u0159estal v\u011bd\u011bt, jak\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh vlastn\u011b vypr\u00e1v\u00ed<\/strong>.<\/p>

Rok historick\u00e9ho cenov\u00e9ho rekordu BTC\u2026 kter\u00fd nikam nevedl<\/h2><\/span>

V roce 2025 Bitcoin n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t p\u0159epsal historick\u00e1 maxima. Cena se dostala nad 126 000<\/strong> USD, ale psychologicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 hranice 130 000<\/strong> USD z\u016fstala nedosa\u017eena. Na opa\u010dn\u00e9 stran\u011b spektra se vytvo\u0159ilo lok\u00e1ln\u00ed minimum kolem 74 000<\/strong> USD.<\/p>

\"Cena
Cena bitcoinu v roce 2025 nad propast\u00ed: P\u016fjdeme na 74 000 nebo 126 000 USD? <\/figcaption><\/figure>

Dnes se kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka net\u00fdk\u00e1 toho, zda Bitcoin dok\u00e1\u017ee znovu r\u016fst, ale zda si v\u016fbec dok\u00e1\u017ee udr\u017eet z\u00e1klad nad 80 000<\/strong> USD, nebo zda se znovu p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed \u00farovn\u00edm, kter\u00e9 by je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed p\u00e1r m\u011bs\u00edci p\u016fsobily nep\u0159edstaviteln\u011b.<\/p>

Sign\u00e1ly jsou hodn\u011b sm\u00ed\u0161en\u00e9, jsou hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u0161patn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy<\/h2><\/span>

Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 cenov\u00e1 akce neposkytuje jasn\u00e9 vod\u00edtko. Nevid\u00edme agresivn\u00ed dominanci medv\u011bd\u016f, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 b\u00fdci zjevn\u011b ztratili momentum<\/strong>. Trh se pohybuje v lok\u00e1ln\u00edm downtrendu, kter\u00fd v\u0161ak nem\u00e1 s\u00edlu p\u0159er\u016fst v plnohodnotn\u00fd v\u00fdprodej.<\/p>

Jak to shrnuje Abbass Abdul Sater<\/strong>, v\u00fdvoj Bitcoinu se v roce 2025 stal mnohem komplexn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm:<\/p>

\n

O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ohledn\u011b roku 2026 z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d trhem sm\u00ed\u0161en\u00e1 a jsou siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na \u0161ir\u0161\u00edch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch, nikoli na jednom dominantn\u00edm narativu.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

Jin\u00fdmi slovy: \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd jednoduch\u00fd bull case u\u017e neexistuje<\/strong>.<\/p>

Cyklus p\u0159estal b\u00fdt svat\u00fdm gr\u00e1lem<\/h2><\/span>

\u010c\u00e1st analytik\u016f st\u00e1le v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee Bitcoin m\u016f\u017ee v roce 2026 znovu atakovat nebo p\u0159ekonat p\u0159edchoz\u00ed maxima \u2013 za p\u0159edpokladu pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed adopce, stabiln\u00edch p\u0159\u00edliv\u016f do spotov\u00fdch ETF a hlub\u0161\u00ed integrace krypta do tradi\u010dn\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu.<\/p>

Sou\u010dasn\u011b ale s\u00edl\u00ed konzervativn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pohled. Ten po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 sp\u00ed\u0161e s konsolidac\u00ed nebo zpomalen\u00edm r\u016fstu<\/strong>, a to kv\u016fli:<\/p>

    \n
  • uta\u017een\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed likvidit\u011b,<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • regulatorn\u00edmu tlaku,<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed spekulativn\u00ed chuti ne\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch cyklech.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

    Abdul Sater z\u00e1rove\u0148 varuje p\u0159ed slepou v\u00edrou v halvingov\u00fd model:<\/p>

    \n

    Pokud se zhor\u0161\u00ed makroekonomick\u00e9 podm\u00ednky nebo oslab\u00ed ochota podstupovat riziko, Bitcoin m\u016f\u017ee \u010delit dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00edm korekc\u00edm \u2013 a to i n\u011bkolik let po halvingu.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

    On-chain realita: dlouhodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 neakumuluj\u00ed<\/h2><\/span>

    Data z blockchainu potvrzuj\u00ed, \u017ee trh je opatrn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e se m\u016f\u017ee zd\u00e1t. Od podzimu 2025 z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed dlouhodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 (LTH)<\/strong> v re\u017eimu \u010dist\u00e9 distribuce<\/strong>. I po cenov\u00e9m poklesu se jejich \u010dist\u00e1 pozice nevr\u00e1tila do pozitivn\u00edch hodnot.<\/p>

    \"Aktivita
    Aktivita dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f bitcoinu zna\u010d\u00ed distribuci<\/figcaption><\/figure>

    To je kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd detail: nejde o paniku, ale ani o p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee je \u010das znovu masivn\u011b nakupovat<\/strong>.<\/p>

    \u201eM\u011bkk\u00fd\u201c medv\u011bd\u00ed trh na BTC?<\/h2><\/span>

    Analytici z CryptoQuant se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee po \u0159\u00edjnov\u00e9m propadu Bitcoin vstoupil do medv\u011bd\u00ed f\u00e1ze \u2013 ov\u0161em bez klasick\u00e9 kapitulace<\/strong>. Jeden z hlavn\u00edch sign\u00e1l\u016f je pokles kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edtok\u016f.<\/p>

    Institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed popt\u00e1vka, kter\u00e1 d\u0159\u00edve t\u00e1hla trh (ETF, firemn\u00ed treasury, politick\u00fd hype kolem americk\u00fdch voleb), po \u0159\u00edjnu oslabila<\/strong>. Toky do bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF se dostaly do z\u00e1porn\u00fdch hodnot, podobn\u011b jako v \u00fanoru a b\u0159eznu \u2013 tentokr\u00e1t v\u0161ak v kombinaci se slab\u0161\u00edmi makrodaty a nejistotou kolem \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb.<\/p>

    \"\u010cist\u00e9
    \u010cist\u00e9 odlivy kapit\u00e1lu ze spotov\u00fdch ETF pro bitcoin<\/figcaption><\/figure>

    Jak upozor\u0148uje Leo Fan<\/strong>:<\/p>

    \n

    Investo\u0159i podcenili, jak citliv\u00fd se kryptotrh stal na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed makroekonomick\u00e9 faktory. Krypto u\u017e nefunguje mimo tradi\u010dn\u00ed cykly likvidity a sazeb.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

    Velc\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di nezmizeli. Jen nehraj\u00ed hlasit\u011b<\/h2><\/span>

    Zaj\u00edmav\u00fd kontrast p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed data o pen\u011b\u017eenk\u00e1ch dr\u017e\u00edc\u00edch 100 a\u017e 1 000 BTC<\/strong>. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato skupina po \u0159\u00edjnov\u00e9m poklesu v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ila akumulaci<\/strong>, co\u017e pat\u0159\u00ed k nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1kupn\u00edm vln\u00e1m roku.<\/p>

    \"Tzv.
    Tzv. \u017eraloci, co\u017e jsou dr\u017eitel\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho mno\u017estv\u00ed bitcoin\u016f, ve velk\u00e9m nakupovali. <\/figcaption><\/figure>

    To ale neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee je obrat za dve\u0159mi. Sp\u00ed\u0161e to nazna\u010duje dlouhou f\u00e1zi absorpce trhu<\/strong>, nikoli rychlou rally. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 je, \u017ee data nenazna\u010duj\u00ed fin\u00e1ln\u00ed distribu\u010dn\u00ed f\u00e1zi ani kapitulaci<\/strong>.<\/p>

    Jak shrnuje Abdul Sater:<\/p>

    \n

    Rok 2026 je sp\u00ed\u0161e pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00edm, nebo pozdn\u00ed f\u00e1z\u00ed post-halvingov\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed, nikoli za\u010d\u00e1tkem nov\u00e9ho cyklu.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

    Z\u00e1v\u011br: Bitcoin dosp\u00edv\u00e1 a to bol\u00ed<\/h2><\/span>

    Bitcoin na konci roku 2025 nep\u016fsob\u00ed slab\u011b \u2013 ale p\u016fsob\u00ed unaven\u011b<\/strong>. Trh nen\u00ed ani jednozna\u010dn\u011b b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed, ani pln\u011b medv\u011bd\u00ed. Neexistuje jeden dominantn\u00ed trend, kter\u00fd by p\u0159eb\u00edjel ostatn\u00ed.<\/p>

    M\u00edsto exploze vid\u00edme p\u0159izp\u016fsobov\u00e1n\u00ed se realit\u011b<\/strong>. M\u00edsto rychl\u00fdch narrativ\u016f p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed obdob\u00ed, kdy cenu st\u00e1le v\u00edce ovliv\u0148uje:<\/p>

      \n
    • makroekonomika,<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • glob\u00e1ln\u00ed rizikov\u00e1 chu\u0165,<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed chov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

      Jak \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Abdul Sater na z\u00e1v\u011br:<\/p>

      \n

      Rok 2026 bude m\u00e9n\u011b o explozivn\u00edm r\u016fstu a v\u00edce o tom, jak se Bitcoin etabluje jako zral\u00e9 aktivum. V\u00fdsledky budou \u0161irok\u00e9 \u2013 a sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e jedn\u00edm sm\u011brem se budou pohybovat v rovnov\u00e1ze mezi adopc\u00ed a ekonomickou realitou.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

      A pr\u00e1v\u011b to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pro \u010d\u00e1st trhu nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0161ok.<\/strong><\/p>

      <\/p>

      <\/p>

      <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Bitcoin m\u011bl m\u00edt na konci roku 2025 jasno. Podle star\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f m\u011blo p\u0159ij\u00edt z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 vyvrcholen\u00ed r\u016fstu ceny, tradi\u010dn\u00ed \u201eSanta rally\u201c a potvrzen\u00ed toho, \u017ee halving bitcoinu op\u011bt funguje jako spolehliv\u00fd motor r\u016fstu. Jen\u017ee realita je jin\u00e1. Bitcoin kon\u010d\u00ed rok pod hranic\u00ed 100 000 USD \u2013 a bez jasn\u00e9ho sm\u011bru.To samo o sob\u011b by je\u0161t\u011b nebylo […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":635,"featured_media":5928,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[16,17,34,18],"editors":[51],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-5927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-krypto","tag-kryptomeny","editors-roman-blecha"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nKdy se bitcoin odraz\u00ed od cenov\u00e9ho dna?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/bitcoin-ztratil-100-000-a-mozna-tim-ztratil-i-pribeh\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kdy se bitcoin odraz\u00ed od cenov\u00e9ho dna?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin m\u011bl m\u00edt na konci roku 2025 jasno. Podle star\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f m\u011blo p\u0159ij\u00edt z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 vyvrcholen\u00ed r\u016fstu ceny, tradi\u010dn\u00ed \u201eSanta rally\u201c a potvrzen\u00ed toho, \u017ee halving bitcoinu op\u011bt funguje jako spolehliv\u00fd motor r\u016fstu. Jen\u017ee realita je jin\u00e1. Bitcoin kon\u010d\u00ed rok pod hranic\u00ed 100 000 USD \u2013 a bez jasn\u00e9ho sm\u011bru.To samo o sob\u011b by je\u0161t\u011b nebylo […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/bitcoin-ztratil-100-000-a-mozna-tim-ztratil-i-pribeh\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Cryptonews CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-12-24T07:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/12\/22163052\/obrazek-2.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1396\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/12\/22163052\/obrazek-2.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@cryptonews\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@cryptonews\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Kdy se bitcoin odraz\u00ed od cenov\u00e9ho dna?","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/bitcoin-ztratil-100-000-a-mozna-tim-ztratil-i-pribeh\/","og_locale":"cs_CZ","og_type":"article","og_title":"Kdy se bitcoin odraz\u00ed od cenov\u00e9ho dna?","og_description":"Bitcoin m\u011bl m\u00edt na konci roku 2025 jasno. Podle star\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f m\u011blo p\u0159ij\u00edt z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 vyvrcholen\u00ed r\u016fstu ceny, tradi\u010dn\u00ed \u201eSanta rally\u201c a potvrzen\u00ed toho, \u017ee halving bitcoinu op\u011bt funguje jako spolehliv\u00fd motor r\u016fstu. Jen\u017ee realita je jin\u00e1. Bitcoin kon\u010d\u00ed rok pod hranic\u00ed 100 000 USD \u2013 a bez jasn\u00e9ho sm\u011bru.To samo o sob\u011b by je\u0161t\u011b nebylo […]","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/bitcoin-ztratil-100-000-a-mozna-tim-ztratil-i-pribeh\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews 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