{"id":2864,"date":"2025-09-04T05:21:28","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T05:21:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=2864"},"modified":"2025-09-04T05:21:28","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T05:21:28","slug":"altcoinov-sezona","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/altcoinov-sezona\/","title":{"rendered":"Altcoinov\u00e1 sez\u00f3na u\u017e v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed? Sign\u00e1ly, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a rizika"},"content":{"rendered":"

Kryptom\u011bnov\u00fd trh se na za\u010d\u00e1tku podzimu nach\u00e1z\u00ed ve f\u00e1zi, kdy rostouc\u00ed z\u00e1jem investor\u016f a pokles dominance bitcoinu spole\u010dn\u011b otev\u00edraj\u00ed prostor pro spekulace o bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se altcoinov\u00e9 sez\u00f3n\u011b. Z dat, kter\u00e9 produkuje trh s opcemi a aktivity kolem hlavn\u00edch ekosyst\u00e9m\u016f vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st obchodn\u00edk\u016f do konce roku o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst altcoin\u016f<\/strong>. <\/p>

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se ale oz\u00fdvaj\u00ed i hlasy skeptik\u016f, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00ed historick\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti i mo\u017en\u00e9 dopady m\u011bnov\u00e9 politiky USA. Nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce tak mohou definitivn\u011b rozhodnout, zda se altcoiny <\/a>skute\u010dn\u011b dostanou do pop\u0159ed\u00ed \u2013 a jestli se tam udr\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>

Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed situace trhu<\/h2><\/span>

Ethereum se v dob\u011b psan\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nku obchoduje za 4 468 USD, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje r\u016fst o 3 % b\u011bhem posledn\u00edch 24 hodin. Tento v\u00fdvoj potvrzuje, \u017ee druh\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kryptom\u011bna si udr\u017euje stabiln\u00ed pozici i p\u0159es celkovou volatilitu krypto trhu. <\/p>

Bitcoin se nach\u00e1z\u00ed na \u00farovni 111 200 USD<\/strong>, tedy pobl\u00ed\u017e sv\u00fdch letn\u00edch hodnot. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale jeho dominance klesla na 57 % tr\u017en\u00edho pod\u00edlu, co\u017e nazna\u010duje postupn\u00e9 uvol\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed prostoru pro altcoiny. Tento trend je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b bedliv\u011b sledov\u00e1n investory, kte\u0159\u00ed hledaj\u00ed prvn\u00ed jasn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly mo\u017en\u00e9ho v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho obratu.<\/p>

\"Graf
Graf ETH za posledn\u00edch 24 hodin Zdroj: Tradingview.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Pokles dominance bitcoinu je pro mnoh\u00e9 analytiky kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm ukazatelem. V minul\u00fdch cyklech se toti\u017e altcoinov\u00e1 sez\u00f3na rozb\u011bhla v\u017edy tehdy, kdy\u017e se dominance BTC p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eila hranici 50 %<\/strong>. <\/p>

Aktu\u00e1ln\u00edch 57 % proto n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed vn\u00edmaj\u00ed jako p\u0159edzv\u011bst siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rotace kapit\u00e1lu, zat\u00edmco jin\u00ed upozor\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee podobn\u00e9 situace v minulosti skon\u010dily pouze kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdm posko\u010den\u00edm hodnoty altcoin\u016f. Trh je tak moment\u00e1ln\u011b v p\u0159echodov\u00e9 f\u00e1zi, kdy se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 potvrzen\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edho sm\u011bru.<\/p>

Krom\u011b \u010d\u00edsel hraje roli tak\u00e9 n\u00e1lada investor\u016f, kterou tvo\u0159\u00ed sm\u011bsice optimismu a opatrnosti. \u010c\u00e1st trhu s\u00e1z\u00ed na to, \u017ee altcoiny z\u00edskaj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pozornost u\u017e v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch t\u00fddnech<\/strong> a dominance BTC bude d\u00e1le klesat. Druh\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st ale varuje, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed makroekonomick\u00e9 podm\u00ednky mohou tento proces zna\u010dn\u011b zpomalit<\/strong>, nebo i obr\u00e1tit. V\u00fdsledkem je zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 volatilita a \u010dast\u00e9 zm\u011bny sentimentu, co\u017e z altcoinov\u00e9 sez\u00f3ny \u010din\u00ed t\u00e9ma, kter\u00e9 rozd\u011bluje laiky, analytiky i investory.<\/p>

Ethereum a Solana jako hlavn\u00ed ekosyst\u00e9my<\/h2><\/span>

Ethereum si i nad\u00e1le udr\u017euje roli kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 platformy pro institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed kapit\u00e1l. Nejv\u00edce aktivit spojen\u00fdch s tokenizac\u00ed aktiv prob\u00edh\u00e1 pr\u00e1v\u011b na t\u00e9to s\u00edti<\/strong>, co\u017e z n\u00ed d\u011bl\u00e1 magnet na dlouhodob\u00e9 investory. <\/p>

Projekty jako Lido \u010di Aave potvrzuj\u00ed svou stabiln\u00ed pozici, zat\u00edmco nov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di typu Ethena p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed inovace v oblasti syntetick\u00fdch aktiv a v\u00fdnosov\u00fdch model\u016f. D\u00edky tomu je Ethereum st\u00e1le pova\u017eov\u00e1no za hlavn\u00ed pil\u00ed\u0159, na kter\u00e9m stoj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161ina decentralizovan\u00fdch financ\u00ed.<\/p>

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b stoj\u00ed Solana, kter\u00e1 se etablovala jako rychl\u00e1 a levn\u00e1 alternativa<\/strong>. 1. srpen p\u0159inesl jej\u00edmu ekosyst\u00e9mu viditeln\u00fd r\u016fst, a to zejm\u00e9na d\u00edky projekt\u016fm Raydium a Marinade. Raydium pos\u00edlilo svou pozici d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 decentralizovan\u00e9 burzy, zat\u00edmco Marinade upevnilo svou roli v oblasti likvidn\u00edho stakingu<\/a>. Tyto \u00fasp\u011bchy dok\u00e1zali p\u0159il\u00e1kat nov\u00e9 u\u017eivatele i kapit\u00e1l, co\u017e do zna\u010dn\u00e9 zvy\u0161uje konkurenceschopnost Solany ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s dal\u0161\u00edmi blockchainy.<\/p>

\"Solana
Solana graf za posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc Zdroj: Tradingview.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>

V r\u00e1mci takzvan\u00fdch \u201eLayer 2 v\u00e1lek\u201d si Ethereum <\/a>st\u00e1le dr\u017e\u00ed zlatou medaili. Zat\u00edmco platforma z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 hlavn\u00ed volbou pro instituce, Solana se stala popul\u00e1rn\u00ed mezi v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159i i u\u017eivateli d\u00edky sv\u00e9 rychlosti a n\u00edzk\u00fdm poplatk\u016fm. Tato kombinace p\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 k tomu, \u017ee oba ekosyst\u00e9my tvo\u0159\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd tandem, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee sehr\u00e1t rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed roli p\u0159i p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9m n\u00e1stupu altcoinov\u00e9 sez\u00f3ny<\/strong>.<\/p>

Sign\u00e1ly z trhu opc\u00ed<\/h2><\/span>

Platforma PowerTrade v srpnu zaznamenala obchodn\u00ed objem p\u0159es 1 miliardu USD, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e 68 % tvo\u0159ily call opce. Tento pom\u011br ukazuje na v\u00fdraznou p\u0159evahu b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho sentimentu mezi obchodn\u00edky, kte\u0159\u00ed spekuluj\u00ed na r\u016fst cen vybran\u00fdch kryptom\u011bn. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1jem se soust\u0159edil na solanu, XRP a tak\u00e9 TRUMP token<\/strong>, jeho\u017e vysok\u00e1 volatilita p\u0159itahuje st\u00e1le v\u00edce spekulativn\u00edho kapit\u00e1lu.<\/p>

Rostouc\u00ed aktivita se nav\u00edc soust\u0159e\u010fuje na prosincov\u00e9 expirace, co\u017e poukazuje na o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed siln\u00e9ho z\u00e1v\u011bru roku. Trade\u0159i evidentn\u011b po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed s t\u00edm, \u017ee altcoiny mohou v posledn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed z\u00edskat z\u00e1sadn\u00ed momentum<\/strong>. Takov\u00fd v\u00fdvoj by odpov\u00eddal vzorc\u016fm minul\u00fdch cykl\u016f, kdy se altcoinov\u00e1 sez\u00f3na \u010dasto rozb\u00edhala pr\u00e1v\u011b ke konci roku. Zda se v\u0161ak tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 skute\u010dn\u011b zopakuje, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159enou ot\u00e1zkou.<\/p>

R\u016fzn\u00e9 pohledy na altcoinovou sez\u00f3nu<\/h2><\/span>

Eneko Knorr, zakladatel projektu Stabolut, vid\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00fd trh jako p\u0159ipraven\u00fd na mo\u017enou altcoinovou sez\u00f3nu, jeliko\u017e po r\u016fstu bitcoinu obvykle doch\u00e1z\u00ed k rotaci kapit\u00e1lu do alt\u016f. P\u0159esto upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee historie nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou z\u00e1rukou a leto\u0161n\u00ed cyklus m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt odli\u0161n\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh. Podle n\u011bj ale na rozd\u00edl od minulosti hraje roli pevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1klad \u2013 spotov\u00e9 ETF, zapojen\u00ed bank i rostouc\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159ka adopce<\/strong>.<\/p>

Leo Zhao, investi\u010dn\u00ed \u0159editel MEXC Ventures, upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed by mohlo b\u00fdt bodem zlomu, pokud bitcoin i nad\u00e1le z\u016fstane v konsolidaci<\/strong>. Vid\u00ed v tom \u0161anci, aby ethereum a solana udr\u017eely kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b a umo\u017enily \u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu trhu altcoin\u016f r\u016fst. Podle n\u011bj nebude cesta zcela line\u00e1rn\u00ed, ale podm\u00ednky pro siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a diverzifikovan\u00fd cyklus se postupn\u011b vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>

Spoluzakladatel projektu Dogecoin Billy Markus se stav\u00ed k situaci skepticky a prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm meme p\u0159irovnal leto\u0161n\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed k mal\u00e9mu kot\u011bti, zat\u00edmco rok 2021 ozna\u010dil za siln\u00e9ho rysa. Podle n\u011bj investo\u0159i p\u0159ece\u0148uj\u00ed historick\u00e9 paralely a kryptotrh z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fd<\/strong>. Jeho postoj odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed obavy, \u017ee rok 2025 nep\u0159inese tak v\u00fdrazn\u00fd boom altcoin\u016f, jak mnoz\u00ed doufaj\u00ed.<\/p>

\"Fotka
Fotka tweetu od Billyho Markusa Zdroj: X.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>

\u010c\u00e1st konverzativn\u00edch analytik\u016f tak\u00e9 p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed sazeb Fedu sice m\u016f\u017ee pos\u00edlit kryptotrh, ale historicky z nich prioritn\u011b t\u011b\u017eil hlavn\u011b bitcoin<\/strong>. Altcoiny tak mohou z\u016fstat pozadu a \u010dekat na druhou vlnu likvidity. Index altcoinov\u00e9 sez\u00f3ny je nav\u00edc zat\u00edm na hodnot\u011b 51, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e potvrzen\u00ed cyklu p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed a\u017e nad 75, tak\u017ee optimismus zat\u00edm nen\u00ed na z\u00e1klad\u011b dat zcela podlo\u017een\u00fd.<\/p>

Index altcoinov\u00e9 sez\u00f3ny a vliv Fedu<\/h2><\/span>

Celkov\u00e1 kapitalizace altcoin\u016f, sledovan\u00e1 p\u0159es ukazatel TOTAL3, se dr\u017e\u00ed kolem 1 bilionu USD, co\u017e nazna\u010duje pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed silnou podporu trhu. Trh se tak pohybuje v p\u0159echodov\u00e9 f\u00e1zi, kdy altcoiny postupn\u011b s\u00edl\u00ed, ale zat\u00edm se nejedn\u00e1 o jednozna\u010dn\u00fd sign\u00e1l za\u010d\u00e1tku sez\u00f3ny<\/strong>.<\/p>

\"Graf
Graf TOTAL3 za posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc Zdroj: Tradingview.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Historie z\u00e1rove\u0148 ukazuje, \u017ee sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb Fedu nemus\u00ed automaticky znamenat okam\u017eit\u00fd r\u016fst altcoin\u016f. V minul\u00fdch cyklech se \u010dasto stalo, \u017ee prvn\u00ed vlna likvidity sm\u011b\u0159ovala p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm do bitcoinu, zat\u00edmco altcoiny reagovali se zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm<\/strong>. I proto n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici varuj\u00ed, \u017ee i kdy\u017e z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed Fedu m\u016f\u017ee nastartovat trh s kryptem, altcoinov\u00e1 sez\u00f3na se m\u016f\u017ee rozb\u011bhnout pozd\u011bji.<\/p>Nakupujte altcoiny bez KYC na Best Wallet!<\/a>

Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/h2><\/span>

Sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj na trhu nazna\u010duje, \u017ee podm\u00ednky pro altcoinovou sez\u00f3nu se postupn\u011b zlep\u0161uj\u00ed. Pokles dominance bitcoinu, rostouc\u00ed aktivita v ekosyst\u00e9mech Etherea a Solany a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fd z\u00e1jem obchodn\u00edk\u016f o opce vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed prostor pro siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zapojen\u00ed altcoin\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159en\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 \u010d\u00e1st trhu s\u00e1z\u00ed na z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00fd zlom, jin\u00ed upozor\u0148uj\u00ed na historick\u00e9 vzorce a mo\u017en\u00e9 zpomalen\u00ed po sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed sazeb Fedu<\/strong>.<\/p>

Pro investory je proto i nad\u00e1le d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pe\u010dliv\u011b sledovat kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 ukazatele a p\u0159istupovat k trhu selektivn\u011b. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 te\u010f bude hlavn\u011b trp\u011blivost, kter\u00e1 bude jist\u011b odm\u011bn\u011bna. Kryptom\u011bny jsou vysoce volatiln\u00ed a obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s nimi je spojeno s rizikem ztr\u00e1ty kapit\u00e1lu.<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kryptom\u011bnov\u00fd trh se na za\u010d\u00e1tku podzimu nach\u00e1z\u00ed ve f\u00e1zi, kdy rostouc\u00ed z\u00e1jem investor\u016f a pokles dominance bitcoinu spole\u010dn\u011b otev\u00edraj\u00ed prostor pro spekulace o bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se altcoinov\u00e9 sez\u00f3n\u011b. Z dat, kter\u00e9 produkuje trh s opcemi a aktivity kolem hlavn\u00edch ekosyst\u00e9m\u016f vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st obchodn\u00edk\u016f do konce roku o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst altcoin\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se ale oz\u00fdvaj\u00ed […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":704,"featured_media":2876,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,28],"tags":[31,352,52,16,17,83,33,34,18,80,20],"editors":[346],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-2864","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoiny","category-news","tag-altcoin","tag-altcoin-season","tag-altcoiny","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-eth","tag-ethereum","tag-krypto","tag-kryptomeny","tag-solana","tag-usa","editors-jakub-ondruska"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAltcoinov\u00e1 sez\u00f3na u\u017e v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed? Sign\u00e1ly, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a rizika<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pokles dominance bitcoinu a rostouc\u00ed aktivita altcoinu zvy\u0161uj\u00ed \u0161ance na altcoinovou sez\u00f3nu. 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