{"id":2746,"date":"2025-08-27T13:55:31","date_gmt":"2025-08-27T13:55:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=2746"},"modified":"2025-08-27T13:55:31","modified_gmt":"2025-08-27T13:55:31","slug":"co-ceka-bitcoin-v-zari-2025-historie-a-aktualni-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/co-ceka-bitcoin-v-zari-2025-historie-a-aktualni-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Co \u010dek\u00e1 bitcoin v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025? Historie a aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed data"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin se v dob\u011b psan\u00ed tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku obchoduje za 111 000 USD a po n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch r\u016fstu vykazuje zn\u00e1mky ochlazen\u00ed.<\/strong> Trh prov\u00e1z\u00ed slab\u0161\u00ed aktivita investor\u016f i zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fd tlak na realizaci zisk\u016f ze strany dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f. <\/p>

Z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed p\u0159itom historicky pat\u0159\u00ed mezi nejslab\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce pro bitcoin, kdy pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1porn\u00e9 v\u00fdnosy.<\/strong> Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek se proto zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na to, co m\u016f\u017eeme v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch t\u00fddnech o\u010dek\u00e1vat, jak\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed historick\u00e1 data a jak situaci hodnot\u00ed analytici i odborn\u00edci z krypto trhu.<\/p>

Slab\u00fd v\u00fdkon a korekce po rekordech<\/h2><\/span>

V srpnu 2025 se bitcoin dostal na sv\u00e9 dosavadn\u00ed historick\u00e9 maximum, kdy\u017e p\u0159ekonal hranici 124 000 USD<\/strong>. Tento prudk\u00fd r\u016fst ale nevydr\u017eel dlouho a rychle n\u00e1sledovala korekce, kter\u00e1 st\u00e1hla cenu zp\u011bt pod 111 000 USD. Trh tak uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee i po siln\u00e9m r\u016fstov\u00e9m obdob\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 n\u00e1chyln\u00fd k n\u00e1hl\u00fdm v\u00fdkyv\u016fm a \u017ee vysok\u00e9 ceny vyb\u00edzej\u00ed investory k realizaci zisk\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>

\"Graf
Graf BTC za posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc Zdroj: Tradingview.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 je to \u010dtvrt\u00fd rok po sob\u011b co byl bitcoin <\/a>v m\u00ednusu v tenhle m\u011bs\u00edc. Opakuj\u00edc\u00ed se \u010derven\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla ukazuj\u00ed na sez\u00f3nn\u00ed slabost, kter\u00e1 se v kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b pravideln\u011b vrac\u00ed. Pro investory je to p\u0159ipom\u00ednka, \u017ee i v dob\u011b, kdy sentiment na trhu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 dlouhodob\u011b pozitivn\u00ed, kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 korekce jsou b\u011b\u017enou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed cyklu.<\/p>

Sez\u00f3nn\u00ed slabiny bitcoinu v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed<\/h2><\/span>

Historick\u00e1 data ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed pat\u0159\u00ed k nejslab\u0161\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edc\u016fm pro bitcoin, kdy se pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 v\u00fdnosy pohybuj\u00ed mezi -3 a\u017e -5 %. Analytici z CoinGlass i Bitwise proto upozor\u0148uj\u00ed na tzv. \u201esez\u00f3nn\u00ed protiv\u011btry\u201d, kter\u00e9 sni\u017euj\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho r\u016fstu v tomto obdob\u00ed. V kryptokomunit\u011b se dokonce v\u017eil pojem \u201eSendtember<\/strong>\u201d \u2013 m\u011bs\u00edc pokles\u016f, kter\u00fd v\u0161ak b\u00fdv\u00e1 p\u0159edzv\u011bst\u00ed siln\u00e9ho \u0159\u00edjna, \u010dasto ozna\u010dovan\u00e9ho jako \u201eUptober<\/strong>\u201d.<\/p>

Slab\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00fd v\u00fdkon p\u0159itom nen\u00ed jen ot\u00e1zkou sez\u00f3nnosti, ale odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed se i v samotn\u00e9 aktivit\u011b s\u00edt\u011b. Podle dat spole\u010dnosti Glassnode klesl objem zm\u011bnami o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch transakc\u00ed v srpnu o 13 %, co\u017e nazna\u010duje \u00fatlum spekulativn\u00edho z\u00e1jmu. Tento trend se nav\u00edc shoduje s vyb\u00edr\u00e1n\u00edm zisk\u016f ze strany dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed tradi\u010dn\u011b p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed stabiliza\u010dn\u00ed prvek trhu, ale v obdob\u00edch nejistoty zvy\u0161uj\u00ed prodejn\u00ed tlak.<\/p>

Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div><\/code><\/p>

Dal\u0161\u00edm faktorem jsou odlivy z bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF, kter\u00e9 ukazuj\u00ed na zdr\u017eenlivost institucion\u00e1ln\u00edch investor\u016f p\u0159i vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch cenov\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch<\/strong>. Spole\u010dn\u011b s makroekonomickou nejistotou tak vznik\u00e1 prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kde p\u0159eva\u017euje opatrnost nad eufori\u00ed. I kdy\u017e dlouhodob\u00fd sentiment z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b pozitivn\u00ed, kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 fundamenty i historick\u00e1 zku\u0161enost nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pro bitcoin obdob\u00edm dal\u0161\u00edho ochlazen\u00ed.<\/p>

N\u00e1zory analytik\u016f na bitcoin<\/h2><\/span>

Podle zn\u00e1m\u00e9ho analytika Benjamina Cowena je na m\u00edst\u011b po\u010d\u00edtat s t\u00edm, \u017ee bitcoin projde korekc\u00ed sm\u011brem k tzv. bull market support band, tedy podp\u016frn\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b, kter\u00e1 se aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nach\u00e1z\u00ed t\u011bsn\u011b pod hranic\u00ed 110 tis\u00edc USD. Cowen p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee podobn\u00e9 n\u00e1vraty k dlouhodob\u00fdm kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm pr\u016fm\u011br\u016fm se opakovaly i v minul\u00fdch cyklech a byly zdravou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed trhu.<\/p>

Bitwise naopak upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm faktorem m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed americk\u00e9 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky o sazb\u00e1ch. Pokud dojde k jejich sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed, mohlo by to poslou\u017eit jako impuls pro obnoven\u00ed r\u016fstu.<\/p>

Ethereum (ETH)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div><\/code> <\/p>

Do debaty vstoupila tak\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed spole\u010dnost Standard Chartered, podle n\u00ed\u017e je pro firmy v sou\u010dasnosti atraktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ethereum <\/a>ne\u017e bitcoin<\/strong>, a to zejm\u00e9na d\u00edky mo\u017enosti generovat dodate\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdnos prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm stakingu. Tento faktor by mohl ovlivnit rozlo\u017een\u00ed institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed popt\u00e1vky mezi ob\u011bma hlavn\u00edmi kryptom\u011bnami.<\/p>

\"Ethereum
Ethereum graf za posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc Zdroj: Tradingview.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>

Opatrn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je Georgii Verbitskii, zakladatel platformy TYMIO, kter\u00fd varuje p\u0159ed mo\u017en\u00fdm propadem a\u017e k psychologick\u00e9 hranici 100 000 USD. Podle n\u011bj d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl s nov\u00fdmi pozicemi vy\u010dk\u00e1vat, dokud se cena neudr\u017e\u00ed stabiln\u011b nad 118 000 USD. To podle n\u011bj p\u0159edstavuje hranici, p\u0159i jej\u00edm\u017e p\u0159ekro\u010den\u00ed by b\u00fdci znovu p\u0159evzali kontrolu.<\/p>

Makroekonomick\u00e9 faktory<\/h2><\/span>

V\u00fdznamn\u00fdm prvkem, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee v nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed dob\u011b ovlivnit cenu bitcoinu, je rozhodnut\u00ed americk\u00e9ho Fedu o \u00farokov\u00fdch sazb\u00e1ch. Podle ukazatele CME FedWatch existuje v\u00edce ne\u017e 88 % pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee u\u017e na z\u00e1\u0159ijov\u00e9m zased\u00e1n\u00ed dojde k jejich sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed<\/strong>. Takov\u00fd krok by mohl zv\u00fd\u0161it ochotu investor\u016f podstupovat riziko a p\u0159in\u00e9st kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9mu trhu kr\u00e1tkodobou podporu.<\/p>

Dal\u0161\u00ed zaj\u00edmavou zpr\u00e1vou je postupuj\u00edc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed adopce bitcoinu<\/strong>. Braz\u00edlie zva\u017euje, \u017ee by a\u017e 5 % sv\u00fdch devizov\u00fdch rezerv mohla alokovat pr\u00e1v\u011b do kryptom\u011bn<\/a>. V p\u0159epo\u010dtu by \u0161lo o n\u00e1kup v hodnot\u011b zhruba 19 miliard dolar\u016f, co\u017e by znamenalo p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 173 tis\u00edc minc\u00ed a v\u00fdrazn\u00fd impuls pro celosv\u011btovou popt\u00e1vku. Tento krok by z\u00e1rove\u0148 mohl p\u0159im\u011bt i dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b k rychlej\u0161\u00edmu rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed o podobn\u00fdch strategi\u00edch.<\/p>

Nelze opomenout ani politick\u00fd rozm\u011br. Larry Fink, \u0161\u00e9f nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho spr\u00e1vce aktiv na sv\u011bte BlackRock, se stal prozat\u00edmn\u00edm spolup\u0159edsedou Sv\u011btov\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra. Jeho dlouhodob\u011b pozitivn\u00ed postoj k bitcoinu a tokenizaci aktiv m\u016f\u017ee pos\u00edlit legitimitu kryptom\u011bn v glob\u00e1ln\u00edch politick\u00fdch a ekonomick\u00fdch debat\u00e1ch. Tyto faktory dohromady vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed, v n\u011bm\u017e se kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 riziko korekce m\u00eds\u00ed s dlouhodob\u011b rostouc\u00edm potenci\u00e1lem adopce.<\/p>

Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd a dlouhodob\u00fd v\u00fdhled bitcoinu<\/h2><\/span>

V kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 situace pro bitcoin pom\u011brn\u011b napjat\u00e1.<\/strong> Trh je i nad\u00e1le velmi volatiln\u00ed a mo\u017enost poklesu pod psychologickou hranici nelze vylou\u010dit. Sez\u00f3nn\u00ed slabost, odlivy z ETF a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fd prodejn\u00ed tlak dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed bude sp\u00ed\u0161e obdob\u00edm opatrnosti ne\u017e prudk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu. Investo\u0159i proto \u010del\u00ed obdob\u00ed, kdy vy\u010dk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed rizik nab\u00fdvaj\u00ed na v\u00fdznamu.<\/p>

Z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 fundament\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh bitcoinu p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fd. Institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed adopce se postupn\u011b roz\u0161i\u0159uje a historick\u00e1 zku\u0161enost ukazuje, \u017ee po slab\u00e9m z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u010dasto p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed siln\u00fd \u010dtvrt\u00fd kvart\u00e1l.<\/p>

Vyznamnou roli p\u0159itom hraje i konkurence etherea, kter\u00e9 d\u00edky mo\u017enosti stakingu <\/a>l\u00e1k\u00e1 n\u011bkter\u00e9 firmy jako vhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed aktivum pro rezervy<\/strong>. Dynamika mezi ob\u011bma nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi kryptom\u011bnami tak bude kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 pro dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj cel\u00e9ho trhu.<\/p>

Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/h2><\/span>

Bitcoin se v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025 nach\u00e1z\u00ed v citliv\u00e9 f\u00e1zi, kdy se kombinuje historick\u00e1 sez\u00f3nn\u00ed slabost s fundament\u00e1ln\u00edmi i makroekonomick\u00fdmi vlivy. P\u0159esto\u017ee dlouhodob\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed pozitivn\u00ed, kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b je na m\u00edst\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 opatrnost. Je pot\u0159eba myslet na to, \u017ee kryptom\u011bny jsou vysoce volatiln\u00ed a mohou b\u011bhem kr\u00e1tke doby p\u0159in\u00e9st jak v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 zisky, tak i zna\u010dn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. Ka\u017ed\u00fd investor by m\u011bl proto k investic\u00edm p\u0159istupovat s rozvahou, diverzifikovat sv\u00e9 portfolio a nikdy neriskovat v\u00edce, ne\u017e si m\u016f\u017ee dovolit ztratit.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin se v dob\u011b psan\u00ed tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku obchoduje za 111 000 USD a po n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch r\u016fstu vykazuje zn\u00e1mky ochlazen\u00ed. Trh prov\u00e1z\u00ed slab\u0161\u00ed aktivita investor\u016f i zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fd tlak na realizaci zisk\u016f ze strany dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f. Z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed p\u0159itom historicky pat\u0159\u00ed mezi nejslab\u0161\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce pro bitcoin, kdy pr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1porn\u00e9 v\u00fdnosy. Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek se proto zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed na […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":704,"featured_media":2608,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[16,17,35,36,33,73,34,18],"editors":[346],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-2746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-byci-trh","tag-etf","tag-ethereum","tag-instituce","tag-krypto","tag-kryptomeny","editors-jakub-ondruska"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCo \u010dek\u00e1 bitcoin v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025? Historie a aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed data<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Co \u010dek\u00e1 bitcoin v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025? Anal\u00fdza historick\u00fdch dat, n\u00e1zor\u016f analytik\u016f a makroekonomick\u00fdch faktor\u016f. 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