{"id":2613,"date":"2025-08-19T10:13:29","date_gmt":"2025-08-19T10:13:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=2613"},"modified":"2025-08-19T10:13:29","modified_gmt":"2025-08-19T10:13:29","slug":"dosahl-bitcoin-dna-na-114-700-usd-data-naznacuji-obrat-trendu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/dosahl-bitcoin-dna-na-114-700-usd-data-naznacuji-obrat-trendu\/","title":{"rendered":"Dos\u00e1hl bitcoin dna na 114 700 USD? Data nazna\u010duj\u00ed obrat trendu sm\u011brem nahoru!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (<\/strong>BTC<\/strong><\/a>)<\/strong> se v pond\u011bl\u00ed propadl na nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed hodnotu za posledn\u00edch 11 dn\u00ed \u2013 114 755 USD<\/strong>. Tento pokles okam\u017eit\u011b rozpoutal diskusi, zda \u010dtvrte\u010dn\u00ed historick\u00e9 maximum neznamenalo konec sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho bull runu<\/strong>. <\/p>

<\/p>

\"btc
Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div>

\u010cty\u0159i kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 ukazatele v\u0161ak nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee jde sp\u00ed\u0161e o kr\u00e1tkodobou korekci a \u017ee BTC m\u016f\u017ee brzy znovu z\u00edskat \u00farove\u0148 120 000 USD<\/strong>.<\/p>

Bitcoin a sign\u00e1ly z trhu opc\u00ed<\/h2><\/span>

Prvn\u00edm sign\u00e1lem je delta<\/strong> skew u bitcoinov\u00fdch opc\u00ed<\/strong>, kter\u00fd vysko\u010dil na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed hodnotu za posledn\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce<\/strong>. Tento indik\u00e1tor ukazuje na zv\u00fd\u0161enou popt\u00e1vku po ochrann\u00fdch put opc\u00edch<\/strong> a tedy na p\u0159ehnan\u00fd strach investor\u016f<\/strong>. <\/p>

\n
\"30denn\u00ed
30denn\u00ed delta skew u bitcoinov\u00fdch opc\u00ed (put-call). Zdroj: Laevitas.ch<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Historie p\u0159itom ukazuje, \u017ee podobn\u00e9 extr\u00e9my \u010dasto p\u0159edch\u00e1zely siln\u00fdm r\u016fst\u016fm<\/strong>. Nap\u0159\u00edklad 5. srpna po skokov\u00e9m n\u00e1r\u016fstu skew p\u0159i\u0161la b\u011bhem \u0161esti dn\u016f rally o 9 657 USD<\/strong>. Stejn\u011b tak dubnov\u00fd propad k 74 587 USD skon\u010dil dvojit\u00fdm dnem a odrazu o v\u00edce ne\u017e 11 000 USD<\/strong> b\u011bhem \u010dty\u0159 dn\u016f.<\/p>

Odlivy z ETF nejsou d\u016fvodem k panice<\/h2><\/span>

Dal\u0161\u00edm faktorem, kter\u00fd vyvolal obavy, jsou mo\u017en\u00e9 pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed odlivy ze spotov\u00fdch bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF<\/strong>. Po sedmi dnech p\u0159\u00edliv\u016f toti\u017e v p\u00e1tek s\u00e9rie skon\u010dila<\/strong>. <\/p>

Nen\u00ed to v\u0161ak d\u016fvod k panice. Mezi 31. \u010dervencem a 5. srpnem<\/strong> ETF zaznamenaly \u010dist\u00fd odliv 1,45 miliardy USD<\/strong> a to zp\u016fsobilo pouze 6% korekci ceny BTC k 112 000 USD<\/strong>. <\/p>

\n
\"\u010cist\u00e9
\u010cist\u00e9 toky spotov\u00fdch bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF. Zdroj: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee trh se spotov\u00fdmi bitcoinov\u00fdmi ETF m\u00e1 hodnotu<\/strong> 152 miliard USD<\/strong>, podobn\u00e9 kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy kolem 1 % jsou b\u011b\u017en\u00e9. Likvidita z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e1<\/strong> na to, aby podobn\u00e9 pohyby ust\u00e1la.<\/p>

Profesion\u00e1ln\u00ed trade\u0159i dr\u017e\u00ed sv\u00e9 pozice<\/h2><\/span>

Data z burz OKX<\/a> a Binance<\/a><\/strong> ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159edn\u00ed trade\u0159i sv\u00e9<\/strong> dlouh\u00e9 pozice v\u00fdrazn\u011b nesni\u017euj\u00ed<\/strong>. A\u010dkoli do\u0161lo k m\u00edrn\u00e9mu poklesu mezi \u010dtvrtkem a p\u00e1tkem, pom\u011br long\/short se n\u00e1sledn\u011b stabilizoval. <\/p>

\n
\"Pom\u011br
Pom\u011br long\/short pozic top trader\u016f na BTC na OKX a Binance. Zdroj: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

To nazna\u010duje, \u017ee velc\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di vy\u010dk\u00e1vaj\u00ed, zda bitcoin je\u0161t\u011b otestuje hranici 112 000 USD, ne\u017e nasad\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed kapit\u00e1l<\/strong>. Rozhodn\u011b ale nelze mluvit o panick\u00e9m v\u00fdprodeji, sp\u00ed\u0161e taktick\u00e9 vy\u010dk\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed<\/p>

Popt\u00e1vka po stablecoinech v \u010c\u00edn\u011b<\/h2><\/span>

Dal\u0161\u00ed zaj\u00edmav\u00fd pohled p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed trh se stablecoiny v \u010c\u00edn\u011b<\/strong>. Obvykle retailov\u00e1 aktivita \u017eene jejich cenu a\u017e o 2 % nad ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed kurz dolaru. Naopak pokles o v\u00edce ne\u017e 0,5 % obvykle ukazuje na strach. <\/p>

\n
\"V\u00fdvoj
V\u00fdvoj kurzu tetheru (USDT) v\u016f\u010di \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9mu juanu. Zdroj: OKX<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

V sou\u010dasnosti se tether (USDT)<\/strong> obchoduje s diskontem 0,8 %, co\u017e ukazuje na ur\u010ditou nervozitu, ale hodnota je stabiln\u00ed a neprohlubuje se<\/strong>.<\/p>

Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/h2><\/span>

Na z\u00e1klad\u011b t\u011bchto \u010dty\u0159 ukazatel\u016f \u2013 op\u010dn\u00ed skew, ETF toky, long\/short ratio a popt\u00e1vka po stablecoinech<\/strong> \u2013 se zd\u00e1, \u017ee propad k 114 755 USD byl sp\u00ed\u0161e do\u010dasn\u00fdm v\u00fdkyvem<\/strong>. V\u0161e nasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b na t\u00e9to \u00farovni cena na\u0161la sv\u00e9 dno a bitcoin<\/strong> m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed prostor k tomu, aby se vr\u00e1til zp\u011bt nad<\/strong> 120 000 USD<\/strong>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC) se v pond\u011bl\u00ed propadl na nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed hodnotu za posledn\u00edch 11 dn\u00ed \u2013 114 755 USD. Tento pokles okam\u017eit\u011b rozpoutal diskusi, zda \u010dtvrte\u010dn\u00ed historick\u00e9 maximum neznamenalo konec sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho bull runu. \u010cty\u0159i kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 ukazatele v\u0161ak nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee jde sp\u00ed\u0161e o kr\u00e1tkodobou korekci a \u017ee BTC m\u016f\u017ee brzy znovu z\u00edskat \u00farove\u0148 120 000 USD.Bitcoin a sign\u00e1ly […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":638,"featured_media":1983,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[121,16,17,35,96,36,73,267],"editors":[],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-2613","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-binance","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-byci-trh","tag-cina","tag-etf","tag-instituce","tag-okx"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDos\u00e1hl bitcoin dna na 114 700 USD? 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