{"id":2546,"date":"2025-08-13T09:43:07","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T09:43:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=2546"},"modified":"2025-08-13T09:43:07","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T09:43:07","slug":"inflacni-statistiky-z-usa-zvysuji-pravdepodobnost-snizeni-sazeb-fedu-na-94-a-posouvaji-bitcoin-k-cilove-cene-137-000-usd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/inflacni-statistiky-z-usa-zvysuji-pravdepodobnost-snizeni-sazeb-fedu-na-94-a-posouvaji-bitcoin-k-cilove-cene-137-000-usd\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby, co\u017e posouv\u00e1 bitcoin k c\u00edlov\u00e9 cen\u011b 137 000 USD"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (<\/strong>BTC<\/strong><\/a>)<\/strong> m\u00e1 podle analytik\u016f po zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed \u010dervencov\u00fdch dat o americk\u00e9 inflaci (CPI) prostor k dal\u0161\u00edmu r\u016fstu. Meziro\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen<\/strong> z\u016fstal<\/strong><\/a> na \u00farovni 2,7 %<\/strong>, tedy stejn\u011b jako v \u010dervnu a pod odhadem 2,8 %. J\u00e1drov\u00e1 inflace<\/strong> (CPI bez potravin a energi\u00ed) vzrostla meziro\u010dn\u011b o 3,1 %<\/strong>, co\u017e p\u0159esn\u011b odpov\u00eddalo o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm trhu.<\/p>

V porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s p\u0159edchoz\u00edm m\u011bs\u00edcem stoupl index spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen o<\/strong> 0,2 %<\/strong> (v \u010dervnu to bylo 0,3 %), zat\u00edmco j\u00e1drov\u00fd index p\u0159idal<\/strong> 0,3 %<\/strong> oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edm 0,2 %. <\/p>

Tento v\u00fdvoj potvrzuje, \u017ee infla\u010dn\u00ed tlaky v USA m\u00edrn\u011b sl\u00e1bnou, co\u017e zvy\u0161uje pravd\u011bpodobnost uvoln\u011bn\u00ed m\u011bnov\u00e9 politiky.<\/strong> <\/p>

Pro bitcoin a dal\u0161\u00ed rizikov\u00e1 aktiva je to pozitivn\u00ed zpr\u00e1va. Pokud klesaj\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby, je pro investory m\u00e9n\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 dr\u017eet pen\u00edze na spo\u0159ic\u00edch \u00fa\u010dtech nebo v jin\u00fdch n\u00edzkorizikov\u00fdch n\u00e1stroj\u00edch<\/strong>. Proto mohou rad\u011bji p\u0159esunout sv\u016fj kapit\u00e1l do rizikov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch aktiv<\/strong>, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161it jejich cenu.<\/p>

\u0160ance na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb Fed rostou<\/h2><\/span>

Po zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed \u010dervencov\u00fdch infla\u010dn\u00edch statistik se podle<\/a> FedWatch Tool<\/strong> od CME Group zv\u00fd\u0161ila pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee Fed 17. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed sazby, na 93,9 %<\/strong>. Trh tak nyn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011bji zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1v\u00e1 mo\u017enost, \u017ee americk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka uvoln\u00ed m\u011bnovou politiku.<\/p>

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\"Pravd\u011bpodobnost
Pravd\u011bpodobnost sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb v USA 17. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Zdroj: CME FedWatch Tool<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>

Na druhou stranu, skute\u010dnost, \u017ee j\u00e1drov\u00e1 inflace byla v souladu s o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm<\/strong>, nazna\u010duje, \u017ee ur\u010dit\u00e9 cenov\u00e9 tlaky st\u00e1le p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00ed<\/strong>. Fed proto m\u016f\u017ee cht\u00edt p\u0159ed z\u00e1sadn\u00edm krokem vid\u011bt i dal\u0161\u00ed sign\u00e1ly<\/strong>. <\/p>

D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 proto budou p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed t\u00fdden data indexu cen v\u00fdrobc\u016f (PPI,<\/strong> odhad 2,3 %) a Core PPI (odhad 2,5 %)<\/strong>. Pokud budou slab\u0161\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee to pro bitcoin znamenat potvrzen\u00ed b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho makro sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e<\/strong> a pos\u00edlen\u00ed popt\u00e1vky po rizikov\u00fdch aktivech<\/strong>.<\/p>

Technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza: Bitcoin m\u00e1 prostor k r\u016fstu a\u017e na 130 000 USD<\/h2><\/span>

Po siln\u00e9m v\u00edkendu vysko\u010dil bitcoin v pond\u011bl\u00ed a\u017e na 122 190 USD<\/strong>. Av\u0161ak rychle oslabil o 3 % na 118 500 USD<\/strong>, kdy\u017e nezvl\u00e1dl denn\u00ed uzav\u0159en\u00ed nad psychologickou hranic\u00ed 120 000 USD.<\/strong><\/p>

Po zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed dat CPI se BTC<\/a> odrazil na 119 500 USD<\/strong>, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e uzav\u0159en\u00ed nad 119 982 USD je podle analytik\u016f z\u00e1sadn\u00ed<\/strong> pro potvrzen\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edho r\u016fstu. Denn\u00ed close nad 120 000 USD by byl historicky prvn\u00ed a mohl by odstartovat dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1zi bull runu<\/strong>.<\/p>

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\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin pror\u00e1\u017e\u00ed bull flag formaci s c\u00edlem nad 130 000 USD. Zdroj: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>

Denn\u00ed graf nav\u00edc ukazuje, \u017ee ned\u00e1vno do\u0161lo k pr\u016frazu formace b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed vlajky sm\u011brem vzh\u016fru<\/strong>. Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00edrn\u00fd pokles m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pouze retestem p\u0159ed pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00edm r\u016fstu sm\u011brem k hlavn\u00edmu c\u00edli 130 000 USD<\/strong>. <\/p>

Technick\u00fd analytik Titan of Crypto<\/strong> vid\u00ed<\/a> je\u0161t\u011b optimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159. Podle n\u011bj by bitcoin po pr\u016frazu sestupn\u00e9 trendov\u00e9 linie z minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne mohl zam\u00ed\u0159it a\u017e na 137 000 USD<\/strong>.<\/p>

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#Bitcoin<\/a> BREAKOUT \ud83d\ude80

AB = CD pattern targets $137K \ud83c\udfaf\ud83d\udcc8 pic.twitter.com\/GejNlTf8tq<\/a><\/p>— Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) August 10, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote>