{"id":2435,"date":"2025-08-08T10:00:29","date_gmt":"2025-08-08T10:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=2435"},"modified":"2025-08-08T10:00:29","modified_gmt":"2025-08-08T10:00:29","slug":"futures-kontrakty-lamou-rekordy-bitcoin-na-hrane-obrovskeho-pohybu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/futures-kontrakty-lamou-rekordy-bitcoin-na-hrane-obrovskeho-pohybu\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin na hran\u011b obrovsk\u00e9ho pohybu nahoru!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bitcoin (<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/kryptomeny\/co-je-bitcoin\/\"><strong>BTC<\/strong><\/a><strong>)<\/strong> se znovu nadechuje k dal\u0161\u00edmu z\u00e1sadn\u00edmu cenov\u00e9mu pohybu. Ve \u010dtvrtek se mu poda\u0159ilo vy\u0161plhat zp\u011bt nad <strong>116 000 USD<\/strong> po kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m poklesu, a to d\u00edky <strong>masivn\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu aktivity na trhu s deriv\u00e1ty<\/strong>. <\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p><div class=\"cpp-crypto-chart cpp-crypto-chart-btc\" data-coin-symbol=\"btc\" data-price-usd=\"BTC Price (USD)\" data-main-color=\"#7a2197\" data-watermark-image=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/20161447\/logologo_white.png\" data-chart-style=\"cryptonews\"><div class=\"cpp-chart-header-wrapper\"><div class=\"cpp-chart-header\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"cpp-chart-header-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/26205235\/btc.svg\" alt=\"btc logo\"><div class=\"cpp-chart-coin-info\"><div class=\"cpp-chart-coin-name\">Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div><div class=\"cpp-chart-price-row\"><span class=\"cpp-chart-price\"><\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-change\"><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"cpp-chart-selectors\"><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"24h\">24h<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"7d\">7d<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"30d\">30d<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"1y\">1y<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"all_time\">All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><canvas id=\"cpp-chart-6a48c2866734f\" class=\"cpp-chart-container\"><\/canvas><\/div><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Podle <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AltcoinDaily\/status\/1953153258031382820\">dat<\/a> z Coinglass vzrostl <strong>open Interest na bitcoinov\u00fdch futures<\/strong> nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d hlavn\u00edmi burzami, v\u010detn\u011b <strong>CME, <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/reviews\/binance-recenze\/\">Binance<\/a> a Bybit<\/strong>, na ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch <strong>79 miliard dolar\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Takto v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 koncentrace kapit\u00e1lu ve futures kontraktech obvykle nazna\u010duje, \u017ee se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed <strong>v\u00fdrazn\u00fd pohyb<\/strong> \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e sm\u011brem vzh\u016fru, nebo dol\u016f. A p\u0159esto\u017ee trh z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159ipraven na ob\u011b varianty, <strong>p\u0159eva\u017euje optimismus a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u016flomu na sever<\/strong>.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Nears $79B<br><br>Expect volatility \ud83d\udc40 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6I7JGaG5lB\">pic.twitter.com\/6I7JGaG5lB<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Altcoin Daily (@AltcoinDaily) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AltcoinDaily\/status\/1953153258031382820?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 6, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dal\u0161\u00ed optimismus dod\u00e1v\u00e1 i <strong>Crypto Fear &#038; Greed Index<\/strong>, kter\u00fd se posunul na hodnotu <strong>62<\/strong> \u2013 tedy <strong>z \u201eneutr\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c z\u00f3ny do oblasti<\/strong> <strong>chamtivosti<\/strong>. To signalizuje, \u017ee jak institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed investo\u0159i, tak retailov\u00ed obchodn\u00edci se p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na mo\u017en\u00fd r\u016fst.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bitcoin na deriv\u00e1tov\u00e9m trhu: Call opce m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed a\u017e k 200 000 USD<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Podobn\u00fd obr\u00e1zek vid\u00edme i na <strong>trhu s opcemi<\/strong>, kde <strong>open interest<\/strong> narostl t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 na <strong>60 miliard dolar\u016f<\/strong>. P\u0159evahu zde maj\u00ed <strong>call opce<\/strong>, tedy s\u00e1zky na r\u016fst bitcoinu.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na burze Deribit, kter\u00e1 op\u010dn\u00edmu trhu dominuje, sahaj\u00ed c\u00edlov\u00e9 ceny kontrakt\u016f a\u017e k <strong>140 000 USD<\/strong> na konci roku.<strong> <\/strong>N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed odv\u00e1\u017elivci c\u00edl\u00ed dokonce a\u017e na<strong> 200 000 USD.<\/strong><\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Read more here &#8211;<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/OYdvOlrGCe\">https:\/\/t.co\/OYdvOlrGCe<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bitcoin.com News (@BTCTN) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BTCTN\/status\/1953111855544594873?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 6, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ne v\u0161ichni investo\u0159i v\u0161ak s\u00e1zej\u00ed v\u0161e na jednu kartu. <strong>B\u011bhem posledn\u00edch 24 hodin vzrostl i z\u00e1jem o<\/strong> <strong>put opce<\/strong> \u2013 tedy n\u00e1stroje, kter\u00e9 slou\u017e\u00ed jako <strong>zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed proti p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9mu poklesu<\/strong>.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi daty expirace jsou <strong>29. srpen<\/strong> a <strong>26. prosinec<\/strong>, kdy m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt <strong>zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e1 volatilita<\/strong>. Trh tak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159ipraven na prudk\u00fd pohyb v obou sm\u011brech.<\/p><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Makroekonomick\u00e9 faktory: Sazby, cla a ETF<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vedle technick\u00fdch graf\u016f hraj\u00ed v\u00fdznamnou roli i <strong>makroekonomick\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti<\/strong>. Tento t\u00fdden vstoupila v platnost <strong>nov\u00e1 vlna celn\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed prezidenta Donalda Trumpa<\/strong>, co\u017e zvy\u0161uje nap\u011bt\u00ed na poli mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho obchodu. <\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tyto geopolitick\u00e9 tlaky mohou bu\u010f vyvolat odliv kapit\u00e1lu z rizikov\u00fdch aktiv, nebo naopak pos\u00edlit z\u00e1jem o <strong>nesuver\u00e9nn\u00ed aktiva, jako je bitcoin<\/strong>.<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Trump announces reciprocal tariffs take effect at midnight tonight<br><br>\u201cBillions of dollars will start flowing into the USA\u201d<br><br>This could be massive for <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> as a hedge against currency devaluation and trade wars<br><br>USD weakness = Bitcoin strength <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/JJjfEHt8bW\">pic.twitter.com\/JJjfEHt8bW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Budhil Vyas (@BudhilVyas) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BudhilVyas\/status\/1953305529763103128?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm faktorem je i o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed <strong>sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb<\/strong>. N\u00e1stroj od CME Group <strong>FedWatch Tool<\/strong> aktu\u00e1ln\u011b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\">ukazuje<\/a> v\u00edce ne\u017e <strong>90% pravd\u011bpodobnost<\/strong> <strong>jejich sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed u\u017e v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed<\/strong>. Historie ukazuje, \u017ee uvoln\u011bn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed m\u011bnov\u00e1 politika \u010dasto nahr\u00e1v\u00e1 aktiv\u016fm typu bitcoin, proto\u017ee \u010dasto vede k oslaben\u00ed dolaru, co\u017e <strong>zvy\u0161uje popt\u00e1vku po alternativn\u00edch uchovatel\u00edch hodnoty<\/strong>.<\/p><div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1262\" height=\"593\" src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/p\/no_image.svg\" alt=\"Graf ukazuje 91,4% \u0161anci na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed sazeb Fedu v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Zdroj: CME Group\" class=\"wp-image-2436 lazyload\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1262px) 100vw, 1262px\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070509\/1754636709-1.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070509\/1754636709-1.jpg 1262w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070509\/1754636709-1-300x141.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070509\/1754636709-1-1024x481.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070509\/1754636709-1-768x361.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070509\/1754636709-1-450x211.jpg 450w\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Graf ukazuje 91,4% \u0161anci na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed sazeb Fedu v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Zdroj: CME Group<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zlep\u0161uje se tak\u00e9 situace u <strong>americk\u00fdch spotov\u00fdch bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 po \u010dty\u0159ech dnech odliv\u016f <a href=\"https:\/\/sosovalue.com\/assets\/etf\/Total_Crypto_Spot_ETF_Fund_Flow\">zaznamenaly<\/a> ve st\u0159edu \u010dist\u00fd p\u0159\u00edliv <strong>91,55 milionu USD a den pot\u00e9 280 milion\u016f USD<\/strong>.  I kdy\u017e nejde o rekordn\u00ed objemy z \u010dervence, kdy BTC dos\u00e1hl <strong>123 218 USD<\/strong>, jde o jasn\u00fd sign\u00e1l n\u00e1vratu institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed popt\u00e1vky.<\/p><div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1765\" height=\"472\" src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/p\/no_image.svg\" alt=\"Po p\u0159edchoz\u00edch odlivech zaznamenaly bitcoinov\u00e9 ETF op\u011bt p\u0159\u00edlivy.\" class=\"wp-image-2437 lazyload\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1765px) 100vw, 1765px\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070721\/1754636841-2-spglobal.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070721\/1754636841-2-spglobal.jpg 1765w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070721\/1754636841-2-spglobal-300x80.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070721\/1754636841-2-spglobal-1024x274.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070721\/1754636841-2-spglobal-768x205.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070721\/1754636841-2-spglobal-1536x411.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070721\/1754636841-2-spglobal-450x120.jpg 450w\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Po p\u0159edchoz\u00edch odlivech zaznamenaly bitcoinov\u00e9 ETF op\u011bt p\u0159\u00edlivy. Zdroj. SoSoValue<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza bitcoinu: Breakout nad 123 000 USD na dohled<\/h2><span class=\"replacer\"><\/span><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Z technick\u00e9ho pohledu m\u00e1 bitcoin <strong>pevnou p\u016fdu pod nohama<\/strong>. Ned\u00e1vno se odrazil od <strong>50denn\u00edho klouzav\u00e9ho pr\u016fm\u011bru (SMA)<\/strong> na 112 889 USD a <strong>od dubna respektuje<\/strong> <strong>rostouc\u00ed trendovou linii<\/strong>. Tento \u201ekonfluen\u010dn\u00ed\u201c support pevn\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed, co\u017e potvrzuje vytvo\u0159en\u00ed vy\u0161\u0161\u00edho minima a signalizuje pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed trendu.<\/p><div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1536\" height=\"767\" src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/p\/no_image.svg\" alt=\"Bitcoin se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed od kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 podpory 50 SMA a trendov\u00e9 linie. \" class=\"wp-image-2438 lazyload\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\" data-src=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070846\/1754636925-image-28-1536x767-1.jpg\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070846\/1754636925-image-28-1536x767-1.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070846\/1754636925-image-28-1536x767-1-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070846\/1754636925-image-28-1536x767-1-1024x511.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070846\/1754636925-image-28-1536x767-1-768x384.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cimg.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/08\/08070846\/1754636925-image-28-1536x767-1-450x225.jpg 450w\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Bitcoin se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed od kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 podpory 50 SMA a trendov\u00e9 linie. Zdroj: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>RSI<\/strong> u\u017e p\u0159ekro\u010dil hranici 50 a aktu\u00e1ln\u011b je na hodnot\u011b <strong>53<\/strong>, co\u017e \u010dasto zna\u010d\u00ed p\u0159echod do b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed f\u00e1ze. Na grafu se tak\u00e9 formuje <strong>bullish engulfing sv\u00ed\u010dka pobl\u00ed\u017e podpory<\/strong> \u2013 dal\u0161\u00ed pozitivn\u00ed sign\u00e1l.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pokud BTC dok\u00e1\u017ee prorazit <strong>rezistenci na 123 206 USD<\/strong> s dostate\u010dn\u00fdm objemem, je podle technick\u00fdch projekc\u00ed re\u00e1ln\u00fd posun k <strong>131 337 USD<\/strong> a n\u00e1sledn\u011b k <strong>138 680 USD. <\/strong>Spoj\u00ed-li se tento technick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj se<strong> siln\u00fdmi fundamenty<\/strong>, je ve h\u0159e i dosa\u017een\u00ed hranice<strong> 200 000 USD.<\/strong><\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tr\u017en\u00ed struktura se moment\u00e1ln\u011b nach\u00e1z\u00ed ve stup\u0148ovit\u00e9m trendu, kdy<strong> ka\u017ed\u00e1 men\u0161\u00ed korekce p\u0159itahuje nov\u00e9 n\u00e1kupy<\/strong>. Pro tradery se nab\u00edz\u00ed<strong> vstup kolem 116 000 USD<\/strong> se <strong>stop-lossem<\/strong> u <strong>112 000 USD <\/strong>a <strong>c\u00edlem v p\u00e1smu 123\u2013130 tis\u00edc USD<\/strong>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) se znovu nadechuje k dal\u0161\u00edmu z\u00e1sadn\u00edmu cenov\u00e9mu pohybu. Ve \u010dtvrtek se mu poda\u0159ilo vy\u0161plhat zp\u011bt nad 116 000 USD po kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m poklesu, a to d\u00edky masivn\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu aktivity na trhu s deriv\u00e1ty. Podle dat z Coinglass vzrostl open Interest na bitcoinov\u00fdch futures nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d hlavn\u00edmi burzami, v\u010detn\u011b CME, Binance a Bybit, na ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch 79 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":638,"featured_media":2439,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[66,16,17,35,69,36,59,326,60,44,230,20],"editors":[51],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-2435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-analyza","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-byci-trh","tag-cla","tag-etf","tag-futures","tag-opce","tag-open-interest","tag-predikce","tag-sazby","tag-usa","editors-roman-blecha"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin na hran\u011b obrovsk\u00e9ho pohybu nahoru!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin op\u011bt roste a OI na futures dosahuje 79 mld. 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