{"id":2043,"date":"2025-07-17T07:25:44","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T07:25:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=2043"},"modified":"2025-07-17T07:25:44","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T07:25:44","slug":"bitcoin-bojuje-s-odporem-u-120-000-usd-vysoky-open-interest-znaci-prehrati-trhu-ale-byci-trend-zatim-nepolevuje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/bitcoin-bojuje-s-odporem-u-120-000-usd-vysoky-open-interest-znaci-prehrati-trhu-ale-byci-trend-zatim-nepolevuje\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin bojuje s odporem u 120 000 USD: Vysok\u00fd open interest zna\u010d\u00ed p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00ed trhu, ale b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trend zat\u00edm nepolevuje"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (<\/strong>BTC<\/strong><\/a>)<\/strong> poprv\u00e9 od kv\u011btna<\/strong> vykreslil na denn\u00edm grafu medv\u011bd\u00ed pohlcuj\u00edc\u00ed sv\u00ed\u010dku<\/strong>, kterou n\u00e1sledn\u011b potvrdila i formace shooting star<\/strong> \u2013 tedy padaj\u00edc\u00ed hv\u011bzda. V \u0159e\u010di technick\u00fdch analytik\u016f to nen\u00ed nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e prvn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u00e9<\/strong> varov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee 19% rally z posledn\u00edch t\u0159\u00ed t\u00fddn\u016f m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt u konce<\/strong> \u2013 nebo si alespo\u0148 vyb\u00edr\u00e1 pauzu.<\/p>

\n
\"Anal\u00fdza
Anal\u00fdza ceny bitcoinu nazna\u010duje mo\u017en\u00fd obrat trendu. Zdroj. TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

V dob\u011b psan\u00ed tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku se bitcoin obchoduje za 118 234 dolar\u016f<\/strong>, co\u017e znamen\u00e1 solidn\u00ed t\u00fddenn\u00ed zisk +8,74 %<\/strong>. Jen\u017ee pod povrchem to za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 trochu v\u0159\u00edt<\/strong>.<\/p>

<\/p>

Bitcoin (BTC)<\/div>
<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>30d<\/span>1y<\/span>All time<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/canvas><\/div>

Bitcoin pod tlakem: Medv\u011bd\u00ed sign\u00e1ly, vyb\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed zisk\u016f a p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00fd open interest. P\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed korekce?<\/h2><\/span>

Podle dat analytick\u00e9 platformy CryptoQuant<\/strong> vysko\u010dil Miners\u2019 Position Index (MPI)<\/strong> na 2,78, <\/strong>co\u017e je nejv\u00fd\u0161e od listopadu 2024<\/strong>. Co to znamen\u00e1? T\u011b\u017ea\u0159i za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed pos\u00edlat v\u00edce BTC na burzy, ne\u017e je jejich ro\u010dn\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011br<\/strong>. <\/p>

Neznamen\u00e1 to nutn\u011b paniku, ale varovn\u00fd sign\u00e1l to rozhodn\u011b je<\/strong>. A\u010dkoli tento jev m\u016f\u017ee vyvolat kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd prodejn\u00ed tlak<\/strong>, sou\u010dasn\u00e1 \u00farove\u0148 MPI z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u011b pod hodnotami<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 jsou obvykle pozorov\u00e1ny na vrcholech b\u00fd\u010d\u00edch trh\u016f.<\/p>

\n
\"Miners\u2019
Miners\u2019 Position Index (MPI) vysko\u010dil na 2,78 \u2013 nejv\u00fd\u0161 od listopadu 2024. Zdroj: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

K tomu p\u0159idejme, \u017ee realizovan\u00e9 zisky a ztr\u00e1ty z BTC vklad\u016f na burzy<\/strong> dos\u00e1hly historick\u00e9ho rekordu \u2013 9,29 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>. Agresivn\u00ed vyb\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed zisk\u016f je tedy v pln\u00e9m proudu. <\/p>

Podle kryptom\u011bnov\u00e9ho analytika Crazzyblockk<\/a><\/strong> tyto metriky nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee se trh nach\u00e1z\u00ed v rizikov\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b, kde m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k n\u00e1r\u016fstu kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 volatility<\/strong>. P\u0159esto ale celkov\u00fd b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trend z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 zachov\u00e1n.<\/p>

\n
\"Realizovan\u00e9
Realizovan\u00e9 zisky a ztr\u00e1ty z BTC na burz\u00e1ch dos\u00e1hly historick\u00e9ho maxima. Zdroj: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Mezit\u00edm obchodn\u00ed platforma Hyblock Capital<\/strong> varovala, \u017ee open interest<\/strong> bitcoinu se \u201ebl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ebujel\u00fdm \u00farovn\u00edm\u201c<\/strong>. V praxi to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee spekulanti se na trhu p\u0159emno\u017eili a p\u00e1ka bubl\u00e1<\/strong>. K tomu p\u0159idejte, \u017ee Index strachu a chamtivosti<\/strong> vstoupil do p\u00e1sma extr\u00e9mn\u00ed chamtivosti<\/strong>, a m\u00e1te u\u010debnicov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky pro lok\u00e1ln\u00ed vrchol nebo korekci<\/strong>.<\/p>

Zku\u0161en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed trade\u0159i v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee v takov\u00e9 f\u00e1zi je lep\u0161\u00ed nevrhat se do trhu po hlav\u011b<\/strong>, ale po\u010dkat si na potvrzen\u00fd pohyb<\/strong>. Volatilita teprve p\u0159ijde.<\/p>

\n

\u201cHistoricky, kdy\u017e nastane tato situace v kombinaci s Indexem strachu a chamtivosti v p\u00e1smu „extr\u00e9mn\u00ed chamtivosti“, doch\u00e1z\u00ed k formov\u00e1n\u00ed lok\u00e1ln\u00edch vrchol\u016f a korekc\u00edm. Jasn\u011b \u010derven\u00e9 zv\u00fdrazn\u011bn\u00ed ukazuje, kdy nastaly ob\u011b podm\u00ednky z\u00e1rove\u0148. Tyto jevy se v minulosti typicky projevovaly v del\u0161\u00edch \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u00edch, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee nen\u00ed vhodn\u00e9 ihned usp\u011bchat obchodn\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

\n
\"Vysok\u00fd
Vysok\u00fd open interest a extr\u00e9mn\u00ed chamtivost varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed korekc\u00ed. Zdroj: Hyblock Capital<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Panika versus trp\u011blivost: Kdo vyhraje?<\/h2><\/span>

Podle dat sd\u00edlen\u00fdch<\/a> analytikem Axelem Adlerem Jr.<\/strong> bylo b\u011bhem 24 hodin prod\u00e1no t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 50 000 BTC ve ztr\u00e1t\u011b<\/strong> \u2013 klasick\u00e1 panika po poklesu z vrcholu. <\/p>

\n
\"Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00ed
Kr\u00e1tkodob\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 prodali p\u0159es t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 50 000 BTC se ztr\u00e1tou b\u011bhem 24 hodin. Zdroj: Axel Adler \/ X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Ale stejn\u011b rychle jako p\u0159i\u0161la panika, dorazili i dip buyers<\/strong>.<\/p>

Podle heatmapy akumulace BTC<\/a> investo\u0159i nakoupili p\u0159es 196 600 BTC<\/strong> v hodnot\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e 23 miliard dolar\u016f<\/strong> v z\u00f3n\u011b mezi 116 000 a\u017e 118 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong>. Tahle oblast se tak st\u00e1v\u00e1 silnou podporou<\/strong> a nazna\u010duje, \u017ee trh sice kol\u00eds\u00e1, ale d\u016fv\u011bra ve dlouhodob\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pozitivn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1<\/strong>.<\/p>

\n
\"V
V p\u00e1smu mezi 116 000 a 118 000 USD do\u0161lo k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 akumulaci BTC. Zdroj: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

I p\u0159es kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 varovn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 dlouhodob\u00fd b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trend bitcoinu neporu\u0161en<\/strong>. Dokud se BTC<\/a> dr\u017e\u00ed nad \u00farovn\u00ed 112 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong>, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 trh v bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b. Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed konsolidace po siln\u00e9m r\u016fstu je p\u0159irozen\u00e1<\/strong> a m\u016f\u017ee slou\u017eit jako zdrav\u00fd reset<\/strong> \u2013 pro\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed p\u00e1ky, vyhozen\u00ed weak hands a p\u0159\u00edprava na dal\u0161\u00ed tah vzh\u016fru.<\/p>

Ano, medv\u011bd\u00ed pohlcuj\u00edc\u00ed sv\u00ed\u010dka<\/strong> m\u016f\u017ee signalizovat kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed. Ale bez potvrzen\u00e9ho prora\u017een\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch support\u016f z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 dal\u0161\u00edho r\u016fstu nad\u00e1le ve h\u0159e<\/strong>.<\/p>

Souhrn<\/h2><\/span>

Bitcoin sice vykreslil prvn\u00ed medv\u011bd\u00ed sign\u00e1ly po n\u011bkolika t\u00fddnech r\u016fstu, ale fundamenty z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed siln\u00e9<\/strong>. Dokud se dr\u017e\u00ed nad 112 000 dolary a n\u00e1kupn\u00ed z\u00e1jem p\u0159i poklesech p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1, je dal\u0161\u00ed expanze velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1<\/strong>. Ale kdo \u010dek\u00e1 na levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vstup, m\u011bl by b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraven \u2013 trh z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v re\u017eimu „buy the dip“<\/strong>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC) poprv\u00e9 od kv\u011btna vykreslil na denn\u00edm grafu medv\u011bd\u00ed pohlcuj\u00edc\u00ed sv\u00ed\u010dku, kterou n\u00e1sledn\u011b potvrdila i formace shooting star \u2013 tedy padaj\u00edc\u00ed hv\u011bzda. V \u0159e\u010di technick\u00fdch analytik\u016f to nen\u00ed nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e prvn\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee 19% rally z posledn\u00edch t\u0159\u00ed t\u00fddn\u016f m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt u konce \u2013 nebo si alespo\u0148 vyb\u00edr\u00e1 pauzu.V dob\u011b psan\u00ed tohoto […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":638,"featured_media":1073,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[66,16,17,35,60],"editors":[51],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-2043","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-analyza","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-byci-trh","tag-open-interest","editors-roman-blecha"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin bojuje s odporem u 120 000 USD: Vysok\u00fd open interest zna\u010d\u00ed p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00ed trhu, ale b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trend zat\u00edm nepolevuje<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin ztr\u00e1c\u00ed dech u 120 000 USD. 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