{"id":1182,"date":"2025-06-03T12:38:04","date_gmt":"2025-06-03T12:38:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=1182"},"modified":"2025-06-03T12:38:04","modified_gmt":"2025-06-03T12:38:04","slug":"kdo-ma-nejvetsi-vliv-na-cenu-bitcoinu-v-roce-2025-velryby-vyvojari-nebo-snad-vlady-podivejme-se-na-to-zblizka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/kdo-ma-nejvetsi-vliv-na-cenu-bitcoinu-v-roce-2025-velryby-vyvojari-nebo-snad-vlady-podivejme-se-na-to-zblizka\/","title":{"rendered":"Kdo m\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv na cenu bitcoinu v roce 2025? Velryby, v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159i, nebo snad vl\u00e1dy? Pod\u00edvejme se na to zbl\u00edzka"},"content":{"rendered":"

Cena bitcoinu je v\u00fdsledkem kombinace spekulac\u00ed, technologick\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje a geopolitick\u00fdch faktor\u016f<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 se neust\u00e1le m\u011bn\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco jedni poukazuj\u00ed na roli velk\u00fdch investor\u016f a fond\u016f, jin\u00ed upozor\u0148uj\u00ed na vliv v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159\u016f a st\u00e1t\u016f. Poj\u010fme si tedy v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku podrobn\u011bji rozebrat, kdo m\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u011b nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv na cenu bitcoinu v roce 2025.<\/strong><\/p>

Velryby maj\u00ed st\u00e1le rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed slovo<\/h2><\/span>

V roce 2025 jsou takzvan\u00e9 velryby \u2013 investo\u0159i s tis\u00edci BTC a v\u00edce \u2013 aktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e kdy d\u0159\u00edv<\/strong>. Pat\u0159\u00ed mezi n\u011b nejen star\u0161\u00ed dr\u017eitel\u00e9 z prvn\u00edch let bitcoinu (tzv. early adopters), ale i velk\u00e9 instituce jako BlackRock<\/strong> nebo Strategy<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 dnes ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed u\u017e 6 % cel\u00e9 nab\u00eddky BTC<\/strong>.<\/p>

Po\u010det pen\u011b\u017eenek s v\u00edce ne\u017e 1 000 BTC dos\u00e1hl<\/a> v kv\u011btnu 1 455.<\/strong> Tento n\u00e1r\u016fst ukazuje na silnou akumula\u010dn\u00ed vlnu, za kterou stoj\u00ed zejm\u00e9na institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed investo\u0159i.<\/p>

\n
\"Po\u010det
Po\u010det velk\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f BTC stabiln\u011b roste. Zdroj: Coinglass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Velryby ale nejsou jen dlouhodob\u00ed hodle\u0159i. \u010casto nakupuj\u00ed ve velk\u00e9m, prod\u00e1vaj\u00ed na vrcholu a spou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed korekce<\/strong>, kdy\u017e retail naskakuje do rozjet\u00e9ho vlaku. Analytici u\u017e za\u010d\u00e1tkem roku upozor\u0148ovali, \u017ee velk\u00e9 p\u0159esuny BTC na burzy b\u00fdvaj\u00ed p\u0159edzv\u011bst\u00ed propad\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>

Naopak, kdy\u017e velryb\u00ed pen\u011b\u017eenky z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed neaktivn\u00ed, bitcoin ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f roste<\/strong>. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v dubnu, kdy p\u0159ekonal psychologickou \u00farove\u0148 110 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong>, byly velk\u00e9 pen\u011b\u017eenky relativn\u011b klidn\u00e9.<\/p>

Data z CryptoQuant<\/a> ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u201esta\u0159\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di\u201c realizovali jen zlomek zisk\u016f<\/strong>, zat\u00edmco nov\u011b p\u0159\u00edchoz\u00ed (nap\u0159. hedgeov\u00e9 fondy) vybrali miliardy. To nazna\u010duje, \u017ee star\u00e9 velryby sp\u00ed\u0161e akumuluj\u00ed, zat\u00edmco nov\u00e9 spekuluj\u00ed.<\/p>

A\u010dkoliv se chovaj\u00ed r\u016fzn\u011b, vliv velryb na trh je nepopirateln\u00fd a obrovsk\u00fd<\/strong>. Jejich n\u00e1kupy i prodeje \u010dasto ur\u010duj\u00ed trendy.<\/p>

\n
\"Kdo
V\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st nab\u00eddky BTC je soust\u0159ed\u011bna v rukou n\u011bkolika velk\u00fdch adres. Zdroj: Cointelegraph<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

<\/p>

\n\n\n\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00fd fakt: Pouh\u00e1 2 % bitcoinov\u00fdch adres dr\u017e\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e 90 % nab\u00eddky<\/strong>. V\u011bt\u0161ina z t\u011bchto adres ale pat\u0159\u00ed kryptom\u011bnov\u00fdm<\/strong> burz\u00e1m a cold pen\u011b\u017eenk\u00e1m<\/strong>, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee re\u00e1ln\u00fd po\u010det jednotlivc\u016f s takto siln\u00fdm vlivem je mnohem ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed<\/strong>, ne\u017e by se z \u010d\u00edsel mohlo zd\u00e1t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p><\/div><\/div>

Maj\u00ed v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159i vliv na cenu bitcoinu? Historie ukazuje, \u017ee ano<\/h2><\/span>

Z\u00e1sahy v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159\u016f do Bitcoinu<\/a> nejsou tak \u010dast\u00e9, ale kdy\u017e u\u017e k nim dojde, zanechaj\u00ed silnou stopu na trhu<\/strong>. Nov\u00e9 upgrady \u010dasto p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed lep\u0161\u00ed \u0161k\u00e1lovatelnost, v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed soukrom\u00ed nebo nov\u00e9 funkce a to obvykle vyvol\u00e1 cenovou reakci<\/strong>.<\/p>

SegWit (2017): Prvn\u00ed velk\u00e1 revoluce<\/h3>

V srpnu 2017 byl aktivov\u00e1n Segregated Witness (SegWit)<\/strong>. Tento upgrade umo\u017enil efektivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ukl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed dat v bloc\u00edch, d\u00edky \u010demu\u017e se sn\u00ed\u017eily poplatky a p\u0159ipravila se p\u016fda pro Lightning Network<\/strong>.<\/p>

Po SegWitu n\u00e1sledoval v\u00fdrazn\u00fd r\u016fst ceny BTC \u2013 ze 4 000 na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 20 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong> b\u011bhem \u010dty\u0159 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. A\u010dkoliv to nebyl jedin\u00fd d\u016fvod vzestupu (prob\u00edhal bull market), SegWit sehr\u00e1l kl\u00ed\u010dovou roli<\/strong> v modernizaci s\u00edt\u011b<\/strong>.<\/p>

Taproot (2021): Chyt\u0159ej\u0161\u00ed a soukrom\u011bj\u0161\u00ed Bitcoin<\/h3>

Upgrade Taproot<\/strong> p\u0159inesl v listopadu 2021 vylep\u0161en\u00ed pro v\u00edce soukrom\u00ed a prostor pro pokro\u010dil\u00e9 skriptov\u00e1n\u00ed. Umo\u017enil nap\u0159\u00edklad, aby i komplexn\u00ed transakce na \u0159et\u011bzci vypadaly jako standardn\u00ed.<\/p>

Taproot byl aktivov\u00e1n jen p\u00e1r dn\u00ed po dosa\u017een\u00ed tehdej\u0161\u00edho ATH (64 000 dolar\u016f)<\/strong>. Na cen\u011b se podepsaly i jin\u00e9 faktory (ETF, makro situace), Taproot v\u0161ak pos\u00edlil vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed bitcoinu jako vysp\u011blej\u0161\u00edho aktiva<\/strong>.<\/p>

Ordinals a BRC-20 (2023\u20132024): NFT a meme coiny dorazily i na Bitcoin<\/h3>

D\u00edky Taprootu a kreativit\u011b v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159\u016f se za\u010dala data zapisovat p\u0159\u00edmo do jednotliv\u00fdch satoshi. Vznikly tak Ordinals <\/strong>(bitcoinov\u00e9 NFT<\/a>) a pozd\u011bji i BRC-20 tokeny<\/strong> \u2013 jednoduch\u00e9 altcoiny<\/a> b\u011b\u017e\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edmo na Bitcoinu.<\/p>

V\u00fdsledek? Trh s t\u011bmito aktivy explodoval na v\u00edce ne\u017e 2 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>, av\u0161ak transak\u010dn\u00ed poplatky pro t\u011b\u017ea\u0159e raketov\u011b vzrostly. Nikdo to ne\u010dekal, ale uk\u00e1zalo to, \u017ee bitcoin nen\u00ed jen digit\u00e1ln\u00ed zlato \u2013 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt i platformou pro experimenty.<\/strong><\/p>

\n
\"Kdo
Pixelov\u00ed Bitcoin Punks: sb\u011bratelsk\u00e9 NFT na s\u00edti Bitcoin. Zdroj: Forkast<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Co p\u0159inese budoucnost? OP_CTV, OP_CAT a dal\u0161\u00ed<\/h3>

V roce 2025 se m\u016f\u017eeme t\u011b\u0161it na dal\u0161\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u011b revolu\u010dn\u00ed upgrady<\/strong> \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad OP_CTV, OP_CAT<\/strong> a tzv. covenants<\/strong>. Ty by mohly p\u0159in\u00e9st z\u00e1sadn\u00ed prvky pro dal\u0161\u00ed pou\u017eitelnost tohoto blockchainu<\/strong>, jako programovateln\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pen\u011b\u017eenky (vaults), vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed flexibilitu<\/strong> a dal\u0161\u00ed praktick\u00e9 funkce.<\/p>

<\/p>

\n\n\n\n

Zaj\u00edmavost:<\/strong> V\u00fdvoj Bitcoinu v roce 2025 rozhodn\u011b nezpomaluje. Naopak, v repozit\u00e1\u0159\u00edch bylo zaznamen\u00e1no p\u0159es 3 200 commit\u016f<\/strong>, co\u017e znamen\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed<\/strong> oproti utlumen\u00e9mu roku 2022. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p><\/div><\/div>

V\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159i sice nemaj\u00ed tak v\u00fdrazn\u00fd vliv na cenu bitcoinu jako velc\u00ed investo\u0159i, ale jejich pr\u00e1ce dlouhodob\u011b formuje jeho technologick\u00fd z\u00e1klad<\/strong>. A kdy\u017e p\u0159ijde na velk\u00e9 upgrady, trh rozhodn\u011b reaguje<\/strong>.<\/p>

Vl\u00e1dy sice bitcoin ne\u0159\u00edd\u00ed, ale i tak dok\u00e1\u017eou pohnout trhem<\/h2><\/span>

Bitcoin byl navr\u017een jako decentralizovan\u00fd a necenzurovateln\u00fd syst\u00e9m<\/strong>, tak\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nad n\u00edm nem\u00e1 plnou kontrolu. To ale neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee nemohou ovlivnit jeho cenu<\/strong>. Ve skute\u010dnosti pat\u0159\u00ed regulace a makroekonomick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed<\/strong> mezi hlavn\u00ed katalyz\u00e1tory prudk\u00fdch pohyb\u016f na trhu.<\/p>

Kdy\u017e byly v roce 2024 v USA schv\u00e1leny spotov\u00e9 bitcoinov\u00e9 ETF<\/strong>, byl to pro sektor kryptom\u011bn<\/a> z\u00e1sadn\u00ed miln\u00edk<\/strong>. Investi\u010dn\u00ed giganti jako BlackRock<\/strong> nebo Fidelity<\/strong> spustili sv\u00e9 fondy a na trh proudily miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>. Bitcoin se v reakci vy\u0161vihl nad 73 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong> a v\u0161em bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee instituce definitivn\u011b vstoupily na sc\u00e9nu<\/strong>.<\/p>

Nap\u0159\u00edklad v roce 2023 a 2024 trh zneklidnila pl\u00e1novan\u00e1 regulace v EU<\/strong>, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem bylo zp\u0159\u00edsnit dohled nad self-custody pen\u011b\u017eenkami<\/strong>. Ne\u0161lo jen o soukrom\u00ed \u2013 investo\u0159i se b\u00e1li, \u017ee Evropa se od krypta sp\u00ed\u0161 distancuje ne\u017e ho v\u00edt\u00e1. V\u00fdsledkem byl kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd v\u00fdprodej a nervozita.<\/p>

Bitcoin reaguje na makroekonomick\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed<\/strong> podobn\u011b jako technologick\u00e9 akcie. Kdy\u017e americk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka (Fed)<\/strong> koncem roku 2023 pozastavila zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed sazeb<\/strong> a nazna\u010dila jejich sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed v roce 2024, trh o\u017eil. A nen\u00ed se \u010demu d\u00edvit, ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed sazby = levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pen\u00edze, slab\u0161\u00ed dolar a v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed apetit po rizikov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch aktivech<\/strong> jako je bitcoin.<\/p>

Dokonce ani tvrd\u00e9 z\u00e1kazy<\/strong> nedok\u00e1\u017eou bitcoin zastavit. \u010c\u00edna<\/strong> sice omezila obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a> i t\u011b\u017ebu, ale popt\u00e1vka nezmizela. Lid\u00e9 tam nakupuj\u00ed BTC p\u0159es OTC trhy a offshore platformy<\/strong> s vyu\u017eit\u00edm VPN. Ve skute\u010dnosti z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed OTC objemy v roce 2025 v \u010c\u00edn\u011b p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b vysok\u00e9<\/strong>.<\/p>

<\/p>

\n\n\n\n

Zaj\u00edmavost:<\/strong> Po spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed spotov\u00fdch bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF se open interest na bitcoinov\u00fdch futures u CME <\/strong>v 1. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2025 vy\u0161plhal na rekordn\u00edch 9,6 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p><\/div><\/div>

Bitcoin nelze \u0159\u00eddit<\/strong>, ale prost\u0159ed\u00ed formuj\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed mocensk\u00fdch center \u2014 od regula\u010dn\u00edch org\u00e1n\u016f a\u017e po centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky. A jak ukazuje historie, sta\u010d\u00ed jedno rozhodnut\u00ed a cena let\u00ed nahoru\u2026nebo dol\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>

Kdo tedy m\u00e1 ve skute\u010dnosti nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv na cenu bitcoinu v roce 2025?<\/h2><\/span>

Kdo tedy m\u00e1 v rukou ot\u011b\u017ee, kdy\u017e jde o cenu bitcoinu? Odpov\u011b\u010f nen\u00ed tak jednoduch\u00e1, jak by se mohlo na prvn\u00ed pohled zd\u00e1t. Nejsou to jen velryby, v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159i nebo vl\u00e1dy<\/strong>, ale cel\u00e1 \u0161k\u00e1la vliv\u016f, kter\u00e1 se neust\u00e1le m\u011bn\u00ed. V decentralizovan\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b bitcoinu toti\u017e nem\u00e1 hlavn\u00ed slovo nikdo a z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u0161ichni.<\/p>

Velc\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di (tzv. velryby)<\/strong> bezesporu dok\u00e1\u017eou zah\u00fdbat trhem, obzvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 v momentech, kdy je likvidita na n\u00edzk\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159i<\/strong> posouvaj\u00ed samotn\u00fd protokol dop\u0159edu a otev\u00edraj\u00ed tak nov\u00e9 mo\u017enosti jeho vyu\u017eit\u00ed. Regula\u010dn\u00ed org\u00e1ny a vl\u00e1dy<\/strong> ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed, ve kter\u00e9m se bitcoin pohybuje \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e regulacemi, dan\u011bn\u00edm nebo vym\u00e1h\u00e1n\u00edm pr\u00e1va. A makroekonomick\u00e9 faktory<\/strong> jako inflace, \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby nebo s\u00edla dolaru ur\u010duj\u00ed, zda maj\u00ed investo\u0159i chu\u0165 riskovat.<\/p>

Ale pozor \u2013 tr\u017en\u00ed sentiment<\/strong> m\u00e1 s\u00edlu stejnou, ne-li v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed. Nad\u0161en\u00ed drobn\u00fdch investor\u016f<\/strong> um\u00ed vyst\u0159elit cenu do nebes, zat\u00edmco opatrnost<\/strong> nebo nervozita<\/strong> m\u016f\u017ee spustit v\u00fdprodeje. Emoce, trendy, narativy \u2013 od um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence a\u017e po geopolitick\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed \u2013 hraj\u00ed velmi d\u016fle\u017eitou roli v tom, jak je na bitcoin nahl\u00ed\u017eeno v portfoli\u00edch investor\u016f.<\/p>

Rok 2025 je u\u010debnicovou uk\u00e1zkou tohoto dynamick\u00e9ho tance:<\/strong><\/p>

    \n
  • Schv\u00e1len\u00ed spotov\u00fdch bitcoinov\u00fdch ETF p\u0159ineslo p\u0159\u00edliv miliard, ale ne trval\u00fd r\u016fst.
    <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Regulace v jedn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti sv\u011bta utlumila z\u00e1jem, zat\u00edmco jinde trh o\u017eil.
    <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Pohyby velryb ned\u011bs\u00ed trh tolik, kdy\u017e je sentiment klidn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.
    <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • N\u011bkter\u00e9 z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch rally v leto\u0161n\u00edm roce nem\u011bly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd fundament\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1klad, jen dynamiku podpo\u0159enou narativem.<\/li>\n<\/ul>

    Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/h2><\/span>

    Bitcoin je decentralizovan\u00fd, ale nen\u00ed imunn\u00ed v\u016f\u010di vlivu t\u0159et\u00edch stran.<\/strong> Je to \u017eiv\u00fd ekosyst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd reaguje na v\u00edru, obavy i o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. Jeho cena je takov\u00fd tep trhu<\/strong>, kter\u00fd odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed kolektivn\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bru a nejistotu v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Cena bitcoinu je v\u00fdsledkem kombinace spekulac\u00ed, technologick\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje a geopolitick\u00fdch faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 se neust\u00e1le m\u011bn\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco jedni poukazuj\u00ed na roli velk\u00fdch investor\u016f a fond\u016f, jin\u00ed upozor\u0148uj\u00ed na vliv v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159\u016f a st\u00e1t\u016f. Poj\u010fme si tedy v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku podrobn\u011bji rozebrat, kdo m\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u011b nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv na cenu bitcoinu v roce 2025.Velryby maj\u00ed st\u00e1le rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed slovoV roce […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":638,"featured_media":453,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[16,62,17,35,36,18,38,188],"editors":[51],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-1182","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-blackrock","tag-btc","tag-byci-trh","tag-etf","tag-kryptomeny","tag-strategy","tag-velryby","editors-roman-blecha"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nKdo m\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv na cenu bitcoinu v roce 2025? Velryby, v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159i, nebo snad vl\u00e1dy? 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