{"id":1144,"date":"2025-06-02T11:36:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-02T11:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/?p=1144"},"modified":"2025-06-02T11:36:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-02T11:36:00","slug":"ma-bitcoin-naslapnuto-jeste-vys-5-on-chain-signalu-ktere-to-naznacuji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/ma-bitcoin-naslapnuto-jeste-vys-5-on-chain-signalu-ktere-to-naznacuji\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e1 bitcoin na\u0161l\u00e1pnuto je\u0161t\u011b v\u00fd\u0161? 5 on-chain sign\u00e1l\u016f, kter\u00e9 to nazna\u010duj\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/a> se po dosa\u017een\u00ed nov\u00e9ho historick\u00e9ho maxima m\u00edrn\u011b st\u00e1hl a nyn\u00ed se obchoduje kolem 105 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong>. On-chain i technick\u00e1 data v\u0161ak nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee r\u016fst zdaleka nekon\u010d\u00ed<\/strong>.<\/p>

Velryby op\u011bt ve h\u0159e: Akumulace ve velk\u00e9m stylu<\/h2><\/span>

Podle dat analytick\u00e9 platformy CryptoQuant<\/strong> prudce roste po\u010det pen\u011b\u017eenek, kter\u00e9 dr\u017e\u00ed 1 000 a\u017e 10 000 BTC<\/strong>. Tento vzestupn\u00fd trend odstartoval 6. kv\u011btna a doprovodil ho 16% n\u00e1r\u016fst ceny<\/strong>.<\/p>

\u201eJde o jasn\u00fd sign\u00e1l rostouc\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bry investor\u016f,\u201c<\/strong> uvedli<\/a> analytici na s\u00edti X a dodali:<\/p>

\n

\u201eHistoricky tyto pohyby vedly k vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm cen\u00e1m.\u201c<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

\n
\"M\u00e1
P\u0159ehled dr\u017eeb BTC velryb v\u010detn\u011b mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edho v\u00fdvoje. Zdroj: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Stejn\u00fd trend potvrzuje i Santiment<\/strong>, kter\u00fd rovn\u011b\u017e zaznamenal<\/a> agresivn\u00ed n\u00e1kupy velk\u00fdch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f<\/strong>. Za posledn\u00edch \u0161est t\u00fddn\u016f p\u0159ibylo 337 nov\u00fdch velryb\u00edch adres<\/strong>, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e spole\u010dn\u011b nakoupily v\u00edce ne\u017e 122 330 BTC<\/strong> v hodnot\u011b p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 13,3 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>. Analytici d\u00e1le poznamenali:<\/p>

\n

\u201eZa posledn\u00edch 5 let nebyl \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd jin\u00fd typ dr\u017eitel\u016f tak \u00fazce propojen\u00fd s v\u00fdvojem ceny BTC jako ti s 100\u20131 000 BTC\u201c<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

\n
\"M\u00e1
Objem BTC a po\u010det adres s 100 a\u017e 1 000 BTC. Zdroj: Santiment<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkaz p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed platforma Glassnode<\/strong>, jej\u00ed\u017e metrika Accumulation Trend Score <\/strong>dos\u00e1hla<\/strong><\/a> hodnoty 1<\/strong>, co\u017e zna\u010d\u00ed intenzivn\u00ed akumulaci ze strany velk\u00fdch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f<\/strong>. To je siln\u011b b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed sign\u00e1l<\/strong>, kter\u00fd nazna\u010duje d\u016fv\u011bru t\u00e9to skupiny investor\u016f v dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst.<\/p>

Spotov\u00e9 bitcoinov\u00e9 ETF t\u00e1hnou: P\u0159\u00edlivy kapit\u00e1lu nepolevuj\u00ed<\/h2><\/span>

Tak\u00e9 americk\u00e9 spotov\u00e9 bitcoinov\u00e9 ETF fondy<\/strong> za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed siln\u00e9 obdob\u00ed<\/strong>. Podle dat<\/a> SoSoValue<\/strong> zaznamenaly p\u0159\u00edliv kapit\u00e1lu po dobu deseti dn\u016f v \u0159ad\u011b<\/strong> a celkov\u011b do nich p\u0159iteklo 4,2 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>

\n
\"Statistika
Statistika p\u0159\u00edliv\u016f a odliv\u016f ve spotov\u00fdch BTC ETF. Zdroj: SoSoValue<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Tento trend je zn\u00e1t i nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d dal\u0161\u00edmi BTC produkty<\/strong>. Spole\u010dnost CoinShares<\/strong> ve sv\u00e9 posledn\u00ed zpr\u00e1v\u011b uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee b\u011bhem posledn\u00edho t\u00fddne do bitcoinov\u00fdch investi\u010dn\u00edch fond\u016f zam\u00ed\u0159ilo v\u00edce ne\u017e 2,97 miliard dolar\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>

\n
\"M\u00e1
Kapit\u00e1lov\u00e9 toky do krypto investi\u010dn\u00edch produkt\u016f. Zdroj: CoinShares<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Tato kombinace retailov\u00fdch i institucion\u00e1ln\u00edch n\u00e1kup\u016f je siln\u00fdm motorem trhu. Od spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed ETF v roce 2024<\/strong> st\u00e1la za ka\u017ed\u00fdm breakoutem na nov\u00e1 historick\u00e1 maxima<\/strong>.<\/p>

Pozitivn\u00ed sentiment na trhu p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1: Bitcoin udr\u017euje z\u00e1jem investor\u016f i po ATH<\/h2><\/span>

Diskuze na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edch se bitcoinu a kryptom\u011bn<\/a> obecn\u011b z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed optimistick\u00e9<\/strong>. D\u016fkazem je index strachu a chamtivosti<\/strong> (Crypto Fear & Greed Index), kter\u00fd v dob\u011b psan\u00ed dosahuje hodnoty 74<\/strong>. To zna\u010d\u00ed, \u017ee se trh nyn\u00ed nach\u00e1z\u00ed v z\u00f3n\u011b chamtivosti (greed)<\/strong>.<\/p>

\n
\"M\u00e1
Index strachu a chamtivosti dosahuje 74. Zdroj: Alternative.me<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Index se dr\u017e\u00ed nad 50<\/strong> ji\u017e od 6. kv\u011btna, zat\u00edmco v \u00fanoru a\u017e dubnu balancoval pod touto \u00farovn\u00ed. Nutno dodat, \u017ee takto vysok\u00e9 hodnoty b\u00fdvaj\u00ed \u010dasto p\u0159edzv\u011bst\u00ed cenov\u00fdch rally<\/strong>.<\/p>

Zaj\u00edmavost\u00ed je, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 74 bod\u016f je st\u00e1le n\u00ed\u017ee ne\u017e maxima z b\u0159ezna (82) a prosince 2024 (94)<\/strong>, kdy bitcoin dos\u00e1hl lok\u00e1ln\u00edch vrchol\u016f. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee index m\u00e1 prostor k r\u016fstu a\u017e do z\u00f3ny extr\u00e9mn\u00ed chamtivosti nad 85<\/strong>, co\u017e by podpo\u0159ilo dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst ceny BTC<\/strong>.<\/p>

Deriv\u00e1ty potvrzuj\u00ed b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed setup: Open interest roste<\/h2><\/span>

Podle dat CoinGlass<\/strong> se open interest (OI)<\/strong> bitcoinov\u00fdch futures prudce zvedl po dosa\u017een\u00ed lok\u00e1ln\u00edho dna pod 74 000 dolary v dubnu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e na konci kv\u011btna dos\u00e1hl rekordn\u00edch 80,5 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>

V dob\u011b psan\u00ed tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku je OI na \u00farovni 78,4 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>, co\u017e je n\u00e1r\u016fst o 54 % za posledn\u00edch 50 dn\u00ed<\/strong>. Tento v\u00fdvoj signalizuje zv\u00fd\u0161enou aktivitu profesion\u00e1ln\u00edch trader\u016f, poh\u00e1n\u011bnou rostouc\u00edm b\u00fd\u010d\u00edm sentimentem<\/strong>.<\/p>

\n
\"Celkov\u00fd
Celkov\u00fd open interest bitcoinov\u00fdch futures v USD. Zdroj: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Data z Glassnode ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee i OI v r\u00e1mci op\u010dn\u00edch kontrakt\u016f<\/strong> vystoupal na nov\u00e9 historick\u00e9 maximum 46,2 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/strong>. To je v\u00edce ne\u017e dvojn\u00e1sobek oproti 20,4 miliard\u00e1m na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku<\/strong>. Analytici k tomu dodali:<\/p>

\n

\u201eRychl\u00fd r\u016fst open interestu u opc\u00ed nazna\u010duje sofistikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup investor\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed pokro\u010dilej\u0161\u00ed strategie k \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed rizik a optimalizaci obchodn\u00edch pozic.\u201c<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

\n
\"M\u00e1
Open interest bitcoinov\u00fdch opc\u00ed nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d v\u0161emi burzami. Zdroj: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Historicky plat\u00ed, \u017ee dlouhodob\u011b vysok\u00fd OI<\/strong> b\u00fdv\u00e1 p\u0159edzv\u011bst\u00ed euforick\u00e9 f\u00e1ze trhu<\/strong>. Bitcoin se st\u00e1le dr\u017e\u00ed pom\u011brn\u011b bl\u00edzko sv\u00fdch historick\u00fdch maxim<\/strong>, zat\u00edmco z\u00e1jem o deriv\u00e1ty roste<\/strong>, co\u017e trhu dod\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed s\u00edlu<\/strong> k mo\u017en\u00e9mu pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed b\u00fd\u010d\u00edho trendu.<\/p>

Bitcoin se zah\u0159\u00edv\u00e1, dal\u0161\u00ed zast\u00e1vka? 120 000 dolar\u016f<\/h2><\/span>

Cena bitcoinu se nad\u00e1le dr\u017e\u00ed nad 100 000 dolary a podle analytik\u016f z CoinGlass se p\u0159ed n\u00edm otev\u00edr\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed c\u00edl: z\u00f3na 120 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>

Mapa likvidac\u00ed odhaluje hustou koncentraci objedn\u00e1vek v rozmez\u00ed 111 000 a 115 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong> a tato oblast tak p\u016fsob\u00ed jako magnet. Market make\u0159i obvykle tyto z\u00f3ny vyhled\u00e1vaj\u00ed kv\u016fli likvidit\u011b<\/strong>, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee cenu kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b vytla\u010dit v\u00fd\u0161.<\/strong><\/p>

\n
\"M\u00e1
Heatmapa likvidac\u00ed BTC za posledn\u00edch 6 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f. Zdroj: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Pokud bude BTC d\u00e1le r\u016fst, dostane pod tlak shorta\u0159e<\/strong>, jejich\u017e uzav\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed pozic m\u016f\u017ee spustit \u0159et\u011bzec n\u00e1kupn\u00edch p\u0159\u00edkaz\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>

\n

\u201eCesta nejmen\u0161\u00edho odporu te\u010f m\u00ed\u0159\u00ed sm\u011brem nahoru,\u201c konstatuj\u00ed analytici.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

Podle Glassnode m\u00e1 bitcoin st\u00e1le prostor k r\u016fstu<\/strong>, ne\u017e se nerealizovan\u00e9 zisky investor\u016f dostanou na extr\u00e9mn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148<\/strong>. Tuto mez stanovuje horn\u00ed p\u00e1smo indik\u00e1toru MVRV<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 aktu\u00e1ln\u011b le\u017e\u00ed kolem 120 000 dolar\u016f<\/strong>.<\/p>

\n

\u201eJakmile se trh p\u0159esune do f\u00e1ze price discovery, pr\u00e1v\u011b oblast okolo 120 000 dolar\u016f se st\u00e1v\u00e1 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm bodem z\u00e1jmu. D\u00e1 se o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee prodejn\u00ed tlak v t\u00e9to z\u00f3n\u011b zes\u00edl\u00ed.\u201c<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>

\n
\"Cenov\u00e9
Cenov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny bitcoinu dle modelu MVRV. Zdroj: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>

Jak jsme v\u00e1s ned\u00e1vno informovali<\/a>, analytici o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee bitcoin dos\u00e1hne 120 000 dolar\u016f v prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b roku 2025<\/strong>. N\u00e1sledn\u011b by se m\u011bl posunout d\u00e1le \u2013 k met\u011b 200 000 dolar\u016f do konce roku<\/strong>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin se po dosa\u017een\u00ed nov\u00e9ho historick\u00e9ho maxima m\u00edrn\u011b st\u00e1hl a nyn\u00ed se obchoduje kolem 105 000 dolar\u016f. On-chain i technick\u00e1 data v\u0161ak nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee r\u016fst zdaleka nekon\u010d\u00ed.Velryby op\u011bt ve h\u0159e: Akumulace ve velk\u00e9m styluPodle dat analytick\u00e9 platformy CryptoQuant prudce roste po\u010det pen\u011b\u017eenek, kter\u00e9 dr\u017e\u00ed 1 000 a\u017e 10 000 BTC. Tento vzestupn\u00fd trend odstartoval 6. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":638,"featured_media":927,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,28],"tags":[98,16,61,17,35,36,73,37,44,188],"editors":[51],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-1144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-ath","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-etf","tag-btc","tag-byci-trh","tag-etf","tag-instituce","tag-on-chain","tag-predikce","tag-velryby","editors-roman-blecha"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nM\u00e1 bitcoin na\u0161l\u00e1pnuto je\u0161t\u011b v\u00fd\u0161? 5 on-chain sign\u00e1l\u016f, kter\u00e9 to nazna\u010duj\u00ed<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin podle expert\u016f neskon\u010dil. 5 siln\u00fdch on-chain sign\u00e1l\u016f nazna\u010duje, \u017ee 120 000 USD m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jen dal\u0161\u00ed zast\u00e1vka p\u0159ed 200 000 USD.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cz\/news\/ma-bitcoin-naslapnuto-jeste-vys-5-on-chain-signalu-ktere-to-naznacuji\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"M\u00e1 bitcoin na\u0161l\u00e1pnuto je\u0161t\u011b v\u00fd\u0161? 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