{"id":96487,"date":"2022-11-30T10:03:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-30T10:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=96487"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:43","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:43","slug":"jia-mi-huo-bi-zhuan-jia-willy-woo-shi-yong-lian-shang-shu-ju-yu-ce-bi-te-bi-yi-jie-jin-dang-qian-die-shi-de-jia-ge-di-bu-zhe-shi-nin-xu-yao-zhi-dao-de","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jia-mi-huo-bi-zhuan-jia-willy-woo-shi-yong-lian-shang-shu-ju-yu-ce-bi-te-bi-yi-jie-jin-dang-qian-die-shi-de-jia-ge-di-bu-zhe-shi-nin-xu-yao-zhi-dao-de\/","title":{"rendered":"\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4e13\u5bb6 Willy Woo \u4f7f\u7528\u94fe\u4e0a\u6570\u636e\u9884\u6d4b\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5df2\u63a5\u8fd1\u5f53\u524d\u8dcc\u52bf\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u5e95\u90e8 \u2014 \u8fd9\u662f\u60a8\u9700\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u7684"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

受欢迎的比特币 (BTC) 和加密货币链上分析师 Willy Woo 预测，鉴于 BTC 供应量中被认为是“水面下的”所占比例，当前比特币熊市已经接近其价格的底部。<\/strong><\/p>

Woo 本周末在 Twitter 上使用他所谓的“最大痛苦 (Max Pain)”模型表示，当 58% 至 61% 的 BTC 供应量处于水面下，或者由具有未实现损失的投资者所持有时，从历史角度来看的话比特币的一个宏观周期底部便已经显现出来了。<\/strong><\/p>

从 Woo 的模型来看，这个底部价位现在是越来越接近了。<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>

当被一位评论者问及该模型预测底部的确切位置时，Woo 承认价格可能还会进一步地下跌，并表示他的模型中阴影区域的上部为 13,000 美元，“并且正在迅速上升中”。<\/strong><\/p>

“并非所有底部都已触及，但对于那些没有触底的价格底部而言，它们其实已经相当接近，” 他补充道。<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

\"\"<\/figure>

Willy Woo 的 “Max Pain” 模型正确预测了 2018 年末和 2015 年比特币熊市的底部。在 2011 年的熊市中 — 那是在比特币的早期 — 价格相当接近模型预测的底部价格，但没有完全命中它。<\/strong><\/p>

今年的预测失败<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

早在今年 3 月，Woo 预测比特币与股票之间将“脱钩”，因为他认为尽管存在“宏观逆风”，但比特币基本面继续指向看涨的方向。<\/strong><\/p>

Woo 当时在 Twitter 上写道，随着对 B​​TC 的现货需求继续攀升，以及对比特币期货的更多需求之回归，市场现在已“完全重新设置”并且“积累也已经发生”。<\/strong><\/p>

到目前为止，Woo 关于比特币看涨脱钩的预测 – 不幸的是 – 并没有实现。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

受欢迎的比特币 (BTC) 和加密货币链上分析师 Willy Woo 预测，鉴于 BTC 供应量中被认为是“水面下的”所占比例，当前比特币熊市已经接近其价格的底部。Woo 本周末在 Twitter 上使用他所谓的“最大痛苦 (Max Pain)”模型表示，当 58% 至 61% 的 BTC 供应量处于水面下，或者由具有未实现损失的投资者所持有时，从历史角度来看的话比特币的一个宏观周期底部便已经显现出来了。从 Woo 的模型来看，这个底部价位现在是越来越接近了。当被一位评论者问及该模型预测底部的确切位置时，Woo 承认价格可能还会进一步地下跌，并表示他的模型中阴影区域的上部为 13,000 美元，“并且正在迅速上升中”。 “并非所有底部都已触及，但对于那些没有触底的价格底部而言，它们其实已经相当接近，” 他补充道。 Willy Woo 的 “Max Pain” 模型正确预测了 2018 年末和 2015 年比特币熊市的底部。在 2011 年的熊市中 — 那是在比特币的早期 — 价格相当接近模型预测的底部价格，但没有完全命中它。今年的预测失败早在今年 3 月，Woo 预测比特币与股票之间将“脱钩”，因为他认为尽管存在“宏观逆风”，但比特币基本面继续指向看涨的方向。Woo 当时在 Twitter 上写道，随着对 B​​TC 的现货需求继续攀升，以及对比特币期货的更多需求之回归，市场现在已“完全重新设置”并且“积累也已经发生”。到目前为止，Woo 关于比特币看涨脱钩的预测 – 不幸的是 – 并没有实现。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-96487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4e13\u5bb6Willy Woo\u4f7f\u7528\u94fe\u4e0a\u6570\u636e\u3000\u9884\u6d4b\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01BTC\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u63a5\u8fd1\u5f53\u524d\u8dcc\u52bf\u5e95\u90e8<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u548c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u94fe\u4e0a\u5206\u6790\u5e08 Willy Woo \u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e BTC 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