{"id":96364,"date":"2022-11-29T12:02:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-29T12:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=96364"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:27:02","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:27:02","slug":"chang-xiao-shu-hei-tian-eblack-swan-de-zuo-zhe-cheng-jia-mi-huo-bi-jiao-yi-suo-coinbase-hao-wu-jia-zhi-zhe-jiu-shi-yuan-yin-suo-zai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/chang-xiao-shu-hei-tian-eblack-swan-de-zuo-zhe-cheng-jia-mi-huo-bi-jiao-yi-suo-coinbase-hao-wu-jia-zhi-zhe-jiu-shi-yuan-yin-suo-zai\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7545\u9500\u4e66\u300a\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u300b(Black Swan) \u7684\u4f5c\u8005\u79f0\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 Coinbase \u201c\u6beb\u65e0\u4ef7\u503c\u201d \u2014 \u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u539f\u56e0\u6240\u5728"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

畅销书《黑天鹅》的作者 Nassim Taleb 认为，美国最大的加密货币交易所 Coinbase “一文不值”。<\/strong><\/p>

在最近的一条推文中，Taleb 表示，Coinbase 的现金流为负数，这意味着它流出的资金多于流入的资金，这是一个“可怕的”未来，即使加密货币产业以某种方式设法复苏，而且其所有者至今已正在退出当中。<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>

Taleb 指出，他认为 Coinbase 不会面临与曾经是世界第三大加密货币交易所的 FTX 所面临并最终失败的相同问题。他说：“我完全没提到他们的持股量和破产风险，没有将其与 [FTX] 类比。”<\/strong><\/p>

据报导，关于 FTX 和 Alameda 财务健康状况的猜测在 11 月初便已出现，因为有报导显示该投资公司的资产负债表上装有 FTT 代币，FTT 代币是 FTX 的原生代币。 11 月 11 日，FTX 宣布已在美国德拉威州申请第 11 章破产保护，结束了孤注一掷的筹资尝试。<\/strong><\/p>

FTX 的倒闭也导致加密货币价格直线下跌。过去几周，比特币的交易价格一直在 16,000 美元左右，为两年来的最低水平。过去一个月，更广泛的加密货币市场也下跌了约 20%。<\/strong><\/p>

Coinbase 有麻烦了吗？<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

上周，早期押注安隆 (Enron) 而大赚一笔的著名卖空者 Jim Chanos 批评了 Coinbase 的商业模式，称其成本对于当前环境来说太高了。<\/strong><\/p>

事实上，Coinbase 收取业内最高的费用之一。该交易所对加密货币买卖收取约 0.5% 的价差。当然，这还不包括可能高达 5% 的移转费 (transfer fees)。<\/strong><\/p>

Chanos 认为像 Fidelity 或 Vanguard 这样的公司可以提供基本的加密货币交易，其费用大大低于 Coinbase。为了保持相关性，Coinbase 可能不得不降低费用，这将成为底线。<\/strong><\/p>

今年第三季度，Coinbase 的收入为 5.76 亿美元，净亏损为 5.45 亿美元。这也对该公司股价产生了负面影响，该公司股价今年已下跌超过 80%。<\/strong><\/p>

值得注意的是，Coinbase 的机构业务也没有太多盈利。第三季度进行了约 1330 亿美元的机构交易，但这转化为 Coinbase 的收入仅为 1980 万美元。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

畅销书《黑天鹅》的作者 Nassim Taleb 认为，美国最大的加密货币交易所 Coinbase “一文不值”。在最近的一条推文中，Taleb 表示，Coinbase 的现金流为负数，这意味着它流出的资金多于流入的资金，这是一个“可怕的”未来，即使加密货币产业以某种方式设法复苏，而且其所有者至今已正在退出当中。Taleb 指出，他认为 Coinbase 不会面临与曾经是世界第三大加密货币交易所的 FTX 所面临并最终失败的相同问题。他说：“我完全没提到他们的持股量和破产风险，没有将其与 [FTX] 类比。”据报导，关于 FTX 和 Alameda 财务健康状况的猜测在 11 月初便已出现，因为有报导显示该投资公司的资产负债表上装有 FTT 代币，FTT 代币是 FTX 的原生代币。 11 月 11 日，FTX 宣布已在美国德拉威州申请第 11 章破产保护，结束了孤注一掷的筹资尝试。FTX 的倒闭也导致加密货币价格直线下跌。过去几周，比特币的交易价格一直在 16,000 美元左右，为两年来的最低水平。过去一个月，更广泛的加密货币市场也下跌了约 20%。Coinbase 有麻烦了吗？上周，早期押注安隆 (Enron) 而大赚一笔的著名卖空者 Jim Chanos 批评了 Coinbase 的商业模式，称其成本对于当前环境来说太高了。事实上，Coinbase 收取业内最高的费用之一。该交易所对加密货币买卖收取约 0.5% 的价差。当然，这还不包括可能高达 5% 的移转费 (transfer fees)。Chanos 认为像 Fidelity 或 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,1],"tags":[],"editors":[2415],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-96364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blockchain-news","category-news","editors-ada-chui"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u7545\u9500\u4e66\u300a\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u300b(Black Swan) \u4f5c\u8005\u79f0Coinbase\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6beb\u65e0\u4ef7\u503c-\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u539f\u56e0\u6240\u5728<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u7545\u9500\u4e66\u300a\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u300b\u7684\u4f5c\u8005 Nassim Taleb\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684Coinbase\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 \u300c\u4e00\u6587\u4e0d\u503c\u300d\u3002Taleb \u8868\u793a\uff0cCoinbase 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