{"id":93162,"date":"2022-11-01T16:25:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-01T16:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=93162"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:43","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:43","slug":"sui-zhe-mei-guo-lian-zhun-hui-us-federal-reserve-ji-jiang-dui-li-lu-zuo-chu-jue-ding-ben-zhou-de-jia-mi-huo-bi-jia-ge-ke-neng-hui-biao-sheng","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/sui-zhe-mei-guo-lian-zhun-hui-us-federal-reserve-ji-jiang-dui-li-lu-zuo-chu-jue-ding-ben-zhou-de-jia-mi-huo-bi-jia-ge-ke-neng-hui-biao-sheng\/","title":{"rendered":"\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a (US Federal Reserve) \u5373\u5c06\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u98d9\u5347"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

如果美国联准会 (US Federal Reserve) 都已暗示在今年晚些时候会放慢加息的步伐，那么许多主要加密资产的价格本周可能会大幅上涨。<\/strong><\/p>

投资银行和加密货币社群成员都认为市场可能在本周产生价格的反弹，并可能在美国联准会本周三宣布利率之后出现价格反弹上涨的现象。但是，对于涨势会是什么样子以及确切需要什么因素才会使反弹发生，意见仍然存在着分歧。<\/strong><\/p>

分析师普遍预计美国联准会本周将加息 75 个基点，但经济学家不确定美国联准会 12 月的下一次会议将会发生什么。市场也认同此次会议加息 75 个点的预期，衍生品交易所 CME 的 FedWatch 工具目前显示美国联准会加息 75 个基点的可能性为 86%。<\/strong><\/p>

值得注意的是，该工具还显示利率仅上涨 50 个基点的可能性为 14%，而这肯定会引发加密货币市场的一阵价格回升。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

根据主要投资银行美林证券 (Merrill Lynch) 的一份报告，美国联准会可能已经就从今年 12 月开始放慢加息的步伐进行了讨论。因此，该银行预计美国联准会主席 Jerome Powell 将会表示他们已经进行了此类讨论，而这些讨论可能会为 12 月的加息 50 个基点打开了大门。<\/strong><\/p>

同样地，华尔街另一家大型银行高盛 (Goldman Sachs) 在一份报告中表示，它也相信本周将会加息 75 个基点，随后可能会在 12 月加息 50 个基点。<\/strong><\/p>

“我们预计美国联准会之公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 最终将在 12 月放缓至 50 个基点，并在 12 月点状图中出现更高预测峰值的基金利率。我们在自己的预测基础上再加息 25 个基点 — 现在要求 11 月加息 75 个基点，12 月加息 50 个基点，2 月加息 25 个基点，3 月加息 25 个基点 — 而现在看到的基金利率达到了 4.75 至 5% 的峰值，” 该银行写道。<\/strong><\/p>

美国联准会主席的评论会让加密货币出现价格反弹吗？<\/strong><\/p>

现在的问题是， Powell 关于从 12 月开始可能放缓加息的评论是否足以让加密货币和其他风险资产出现价格的反弹。<\/strong><\/p>

在推特的加密货币社群里，许多用户希望这会发生，一些人认为，一旦美国联准会本周三作出上述的宣布，比特币（BTC）将会出现“暴涨”：<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>

其他人，例如受欢迎的经济学家和加密货币交易商 Alex Krüger 表示，他相信比特币和以太坊（ETH）在本周美国联准会宣布后将会出现价格“走高”。 “上升的趋势依然存在，” Krüger 在推文中补充道：<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>

不过，本周将会如何进行，目前仍是未知数。但随着上周比特币价格的意外反弹，让比特币的价格从 19,000 美元升至 21,000 美元，或许这次的看涨也是对的。<\/strong><\/p>

比特币最近的价格走势是否是美国联准会即将转向的早期信号呢？周三的公告至少可以给我们一部分的答案。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

如果美国联准会 (US Federal Reserve) 都已暗示在今年晚些时候会放慢加息的步伐，那么许多主要加密资产的价格本周可能会大幅上涨。投资银行和加密货币社群成员都认为市场可能在本周产生价格的反弹，并可能在美国联准会本周三宣布利率之后出现价格反弹上涨的现象。但是，对于涨势会是什么样子以及确切需要什么因素才会使反弹发生，意见仍然存在着分歧。分析师普遍预计美国联准会本周将加息 75 个基点，但经济学家不确定美国联准会 12 月的下一次会议将会发生什么。市场也认同此次会议加息 75 个点的预期，衍生品交易所 CME 的 FedWatch 工具目前显示美国联准会加息 75 个基点的可能性为 86%。值得注意的是，该工具还显示利率仅上涨 50 个基点的可能性为 14%，而这肯定会引发加密货币市场的一阵价格回升。根据主要投资银行美林证券 (Merrill Lynch) 的一份报告，美国联准会可能已经就从今年 12 月开始放慢加息的步伐进行了讨论。因此，该银行预计美国联准会主席 Jerome Powell 将会表示他们已经进行了此类讨论，而这些讨论可能会为 12 月的加息 50 个基点打开了大门。同样地，华尔街另一家大型银行高盛 (Goldman Sachs) 在一份报告中表示，它也相信本周将会加息 75 个基点，随后可能会在 12 月加息 50 个基点。“我们预计美国联准会之公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 最终将在 12 月放缓至 50 个基点，并在 12 月点状图中出现更高预测峰值的基金利率。我们在自己的预测基础上再加息 25 个基点 — 现在要求 11 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-93162","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a (US Federal Reserve) \u5373\u5c06\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u98d9\u5347<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"如果美国联准会 (US Federal Reserve)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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