{"id":82342,"date":"2022-06-30T04:23:00","date_gmt":"2022-06-30T04:23:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=82342"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:45","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:45","slug":"wo-men-xian-zai-yi-ti-hui-dao-wo-men-dui-tong-huo-peng-zhang-de-le-jie-you-duo-me-qian-que-mei-guo-lian-zhun-hui-fed-zhu-xi-biao-shi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/wo-men-xian-zai-yi-ti-hui-dao-wo-men-dui-tong-huo-peng-zhang-de-le-jie-you-duo-me-qian-que-mei-guo-lian-zhun-hui-fed-zhu-xi-biao-shi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u4f53\u4f1a\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6709\u591a\u4e48\u6b20\u7f3a \u2014 \u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a (Fed) \u4e3b\u5e2d\u8868\u793a"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"
欧洲央行总裁 Christine Lagarde 与美国联准会主席 Jerome Powell。来源：ECB,  Sérgio Garcia | Your Image.<\/figcaption><\/figure>

美国联准会 (Fed\/ US Federal Reserve) 主席 Jerome Powell 表示，目前美国和欧洲的高度通货膨胀让央行官员有机会“更好地体会到我们对通膨的了解有多么地缺少”。<\/strong><\/p>

Powell 周二在葡萄牙举行的欧洲央行 (ECB\/ European Central Bank) 之央行论坛上发表谈话时承认，在 COVID-19 疫情大流行期间和疫情开始之前，央行并未完全了解通膨及其原因。<\/strong><\/p>

Powell 说，经济学家和他们使用的模型并没有预测到当前的高度通膨，他说这些模型主要基于飞利浦曲线 (the Philips curve)。<\/strong><\/p>

根据 Powell 的说法，几乎所有预测者都预计去年的通膨程度将低于 4%。然而，他们都使用相同的飞利浦曲线模型，他说“这模型就是无法产生高通膨”。<\/strong><\/p>

Powell 说，我们所处的世界过去并不觉得通货膨胀是个问题，但在疫情的大流行之后情况发生了变化，同时也要注意到我们已经历了“一系列供应上的冲击”，因此最终导致了“非常高的通货膨胀”。 ”<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

美国联准会主席补充说，更糟糕的是，乌克兰的战争“大幅地”增加了食品和能源商品的通膨压力。<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>

国际清算银行 (BIS\/ Bank for International Settlements) 总经理 Agustín Carstens 也持有同样的观点，他在同一次讨论当中表示，各国央行仍不完全了解通膨。<\/strong><\/p>

“我们现在对通膨有了更好的了解，但还不够全面，” Carstens 说。<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

在评论美国联准会现在将如何努力降低通膨时，Powell 明确表示，尽管“我们可以影响需求端，但我们真的不能影响供应端。”<\/strong><\/p>

Powell 进一步表示，增长需要“放缓”以降低通膨，并表示这是美国联准会试图透过加息来实现的目标。此外，Powell 表示，美国联准会“希望经济增长能够保持积极”，尽管他承认经济将存在不会积极增长的风险。<\/strong><\/p>

“当然，我们也有走得太过头的风险，”他在谈到美国联准会加息时如此表示，然后补充说“未能恢复价格的稳定”将是一个更大的错误。<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

尽管如此，Powell 仍然乐观地认为，依靠使通膨迅速上升的相同力量，有可能会迅速地降低通膨。<\/strong><\/p>

他说，在疫情大流行期间，对汽车等物品的需求“直线上升”，部分原因是人们不想使用公共交通工具，而汽车公司没有生产足够的新车。Powell 说，这导致了价格大幅的上涨，然后也补充说，“至少在原则上，这个过程反过来的话也可以一样有效地运行。”<\/strong><\/p>

“当需求下降时，通膨有可能会更快地下降，”他说。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

欧洲央行总裁 Christine Lagarde 与美国联准会主席 Jerome Powell。来源：ECB,  Sérgio Garcia | Your Image.美国联准会 (Fed\/ US Federal Reserve) 主席 Jerome Powell 表示，目前美国和欧洲的高度通货膨胀让央行官员有机会“更好地体会到我们对通膨的了解有多么地缺少”。Powell 周二在葡萄牙举行的欧洲央行 (ECB\/ European Central Bank) 之央行论坛上发表谈话时承认，在 COVID-19 疫情大流行期间和疫情开始之前，央行并未完全了解通膨及其原因。Powell 说，经济学家和他们使用的模型并没有预测到当前的高度通膨，他说这些模型主要基于飞利浦曲线 (the Philips curve)。根据 Powell 的说法，几乎所有预测者都预计去年的通膨程度将低于 4%。然而，他们都使用相同的飞利浦曲线模型，他说“这模型就是无法产生高通膨”。 Powell 说，我们所处的世界过去并不觉得通货膨胀是个问题，但在疫情的大流行之后情况发生了变化，同时也要注意到我们已经历了“一系列供应上的冲击”，因此最终导致了“非常高的通货膨胀”。 ” 美国联准会主席补充说，更糟糕的是，乌克兰的战争“大幅地”增加了食品和能源商品的通膨压力。国际清算银行 (BIS\/ Bank for International Settlements) 总经理 Agustín Carstens 也持有同样的观点，他在同一次讨论当中表示，各国央行仍不完全了解通膨。 “我们现在对通膨有了更好的了解，但还不够全面，” Carstens 说。 在评论美国联准会现在将如何努力降低通膨时，Powell 明确表示，尽管“我们可以影响需求端，但我们真的不能影响供应端。”Powell 进一步表示，增长需要“放缓”以降低通膨，并表示这是美国联准会试图透过加息来实现的目标。此外，Powell 表示，美国联准会“希望经济增长能够保持积极”，尽管他承认经济将存在不会积极增长的风险。 “当然，我们也有走得太过头的风险，”他在谈到美国联准会加息时如此表示，然后补充说“未能恢复价格的稳定”将是一个更大的错误。 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-82342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u4f53\u4f1a\u5230\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6709\u591a\u4e48\u6b20\u7f3a \u2014 \u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a (Fed) \u4e3b\u5e2d\u8868\u793a<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"欧洲央行总裁 Christine Lagarde 与美国联准会主席 Jerome\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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