{"id":173942,"date":"2024-05-27T06:53:38","date_gmt":"2024-05-27T06:53:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=173942"},"modified":"2024-05-27T06:52:55","modified_gmt":"2024-05-27T06:52:55","slug":"eth-options-surge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/eth-options-surge\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u73b0\u8d27ETF\u6d88\u606f\u63a8\u52a8\u671f\u6743\u4ea4\u6613\u6fc0\u589e \u884c\u6743\u4ef73800\u7f8e\u5143\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u4e3b\u5bfc \u673a\u6784\u5374\u6301\u7a7a\u5934\u5934\u5bf8\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>

加密货币市场数据分析机构Kaiko<\/a>于5月23日发表了一份“加密衍生品：定位与展望”的报告，当中有一部份内容是与以太币有相。根据 Kaiko 的数据，5月31日到期的 ETH 期权交易量从周一的80亿美元增至周三的近110亿美元。\n<\/p>

以太币看涨情绪居高<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n看涨期权仍占主导地位，交易量最高的两个行权价为3600美元和3800美元，后者完全被看涨期权主导，表明交易者在美国潜在的 ETF 批准之前对 ETH 持乐观态度。<\/p>

\"\"<\/p>

然而，一些交易者通过在2800美元和2600美元附近的行权价上购买保护，防范潜在的“买传言卖事实”（buy the rumor sell the fact）情况。虽然这些期权目前处于亏损状态，但未来七天内情况可能会改变，具体取决于 SEC 的下一步行动。<\/p>

随着SEC的基本已确定以太币现货 ETF 将面世的反转，未来几个月到期的 ETH 合约的隐含波动率激增。本周周一至周三，5月31日到期的合约隐含波动率从60%跃升至超过90%。同一到期日期的 BTC 合约保持不变。<\/p>

隐含波动率的增加通常意味着交易者对价格方向的信心减弱，他们会支付更高的溢价来保护头寸或投机潜在的价格变动——无论是上涨还是下跌。\n<\/p>

机构持空头头寸<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n虽然目前加密平台在这一新兴资产类别的衍生品市场中占据主导地位，但机构交易所正发挥着越来越重要的作用。自2017年以来，芝加哥商品交易所（CME） 提供 BTC 期货，自2021年初以来提供 ETH 期货。这家总部位于芝加哥的交易所于2023年10月在未平仓合约方面超过币安，成为比特币最大的期货交易所。<\/p>

商品期货交易委员会的每周交易者持仓报告提供了机构交易者持仓的细分。<\/p>

根据5月22日的交易者持仓报告，对冲基金在 CME 的 BTC 和 ETH 期货上净空头。然而，这并不一定意味着这些基金对加密货币持悲观态度，更可能是他们在进行对冲。操作方法便是利用两种类似资产之间价格差异的套利策略，意味着他们卖空期货，同时持有现货 BTC 或 ETH。这可以防范价格变动，并在基础资产波动时保证特定的销售价格。<\/p>

多基差交易在价格处于上升状态时效果最好，这意味着期货价格高于现货价格。随着到期日的临近，两者的价格会趋于一致。<\/p>

虽然我们没有数据可以确定这是对冲基金净空头的原因，但这最有可能解释这些老练交易者持有的大量空头头寸，他们很少会不对冲就卖空。<\/p>

https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=6TecHYY61JE<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

加密货币市场数据分析机构Kaiko于5月23日发表了一份“加密衍生品：定位与展望”的报告，当中有一部份内容是与以太币有相。根据 Kaiko 的数据，5月31日到期的 ETH 期权交易量从周一的80亿美元增至周三的近110亿美元。 以太币看涨情绪居高 看涨期权仍占主导地位，交易量最高的两个行权价为3600美元和3800美元，后者完全被看涨期权主导，表明交易者在美国潜在的 ETF 批准之前对 ETH 持乐观态度。然而，一些交易者通过在2800美元和2600美元附近的行权价上购买保护，防范潜在的“买传言卖事实”（buy the rumor sell the fact）情况。虽然这些期权目前处于亏损状态，但未来七天内情况可能会改变，具体取决于 SEC 的下一步行动。随着SEC的基本已确定以太币现货 ETF 将面世的反转，未来几个月到期的 ETH 合约的隐含波动率激增。本周周一至周三，5月31日到期的合约隐含波动率从60%跃升至超过90%。同一到期日期的 BTC 合约保持不变。隐含波动率的增加通常意味着交易者对价格方向的信心减弱，他们会支付更高的溢价来保护头寸或投机潜在的价格变动——无论是上涨还是下跌。 机构持空头头寸 虽然目前加密平台在这一新兴资产类别的衍生品市场中占据主导地位，但机构交易所正发挥着越来越重要的作用。自2017年以来，芝加哥商品交易所（CME） 提供 BTC 期货，自2021年初以来提供 ETH 期货。这家总部位于芝加哥的交易所于2023年10月在未平仓合约方面超过币安，成为比特币最大的期货交易所。商品期货交易委员会的每周交易者持仓报告提供了机构交易者持仓的细分。根据5月22日的交易者持仓报告，对冲基金在 CME 的 BTC 和 ETH 期货上净空头。然而，这并不一定意味着这些基金对加密货币持悲观态度，更可能是他们在进行对冲。操作方法便是利用两种类似资产之间价格差异的套利策略，意味着他们卖空期货，同时持有现货 BTC 或 ETH。这可以防范价格变动，并在基础资产波动时保证特定的销售价格。多基差交易在价格处于上升状态时效果最好，这意味着期货价格高于现货价格。随着到期日的临近，两者的价格会趋于一致。虽然我们没有数据可以确定这是对冲基金净空头的原因，但这最有可能解释这些老练交易者持有的大量空头头寸，他们很少会不对冲就卖空。https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=6TecHYY61JE<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":308,"featured_media":173944,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,1],"tags":[1459,2100],"editors":[1080],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-173942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethereum-news","category-news","tag-yi-tai-bi","tag-yi-tai-bi-xian-huoetf","editors-allen-li"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u73b0\u8d27ETF\u6d88\u606f\u63a8\u52a8\u671f\u6743\u4ea4\u6613 \u884c\u6743\u4ef73800\u7f8e\u5143\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u4e3b\u5bfc<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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