{"id":169236,"date":"2024-05-13T09:11:44","date_gmt":"2024-05-13T09:11:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=169236"},"modified":"2024-05-13T09:11:05","modified_gmt":"2024-05-13T09:11:05","slug":"hashkey-global-bitcoin-report-for-the-first-week-of-may","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/hashkey-global-bitcoin-report-for-the-first-week-of-may\/","title":{"rendered":"HashKey Global\u4e94\u6708\u7b2c\u4e00\u5468\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u62a5\u544a\uff1a57,000\u7f8e\u5143\u6216\u662f\u6709\u529b\u652f\u6491\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"HashKey Global<\/a><\/p>

最近发布了其针对五月第一周比特币表现的总结，同时整合了接下来影响市场的事件，让大家可以率先部署。\n<\/p>

5月15日重磅CPI数据<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n美国联储局5月1日的议息会议决定维持利率保持不变 (5.25-5.5%)，会后主席鲍威尔发表讲话，表示央行未有足够信心启动降息，需要更多数据表明通涨持续下降。 而对于近3个月的经济数据均显示通涨有反弹趋势，鲍威尔则释出鸽派讯号，表示看不到升息的可能性。<\/p>

从下图可以看出美国通涨数据自1月起持续上升，到4月10日的3月份CPI数据更达至3.5%。 比特币亦从4月10日的高位$70,000逐渐回落，美国股市亦在当天大幅下跌。 可见宏观经济依然是影响风险资产(加密货币和股票)的第一因素。\"\"<\/p>

 <\/p>

市场原本预期今年3月份开始降息，但过去数月的通涨数据不支持降息预期，市场已经将降息预期推至12月份，甚至预测今年可能不会出现降息。 然而到了周五的非农就业数据，出现非常利好的市场讯号，就是4月份的非农就业人口是17.5万，大大低于预期的23.8万。 市场认为这是美国经济降温的最有力数据，同时亦预期联储局减息的月份为9月，这一消息立提振市场气氛，美股及加密货币立刻止跌回升，比特币单日涨幅接近8 %，周线收盘价格达$64,000，完全收复上周所有跌幅。<\/p>

\"\"
\n关键在于本月15日的最新CPI数据，此数据将会决定联储局未来议息会议的态度 (鹰派或鸽派)。 而素有「联准会传声筒」之称的《华尔街日报》记者 Nick Timiraos 亦指出 “鲍威尔可以说任何他想说的话，但最终通膨数据将决定会发生什么”。\n<\/p>

57,000美元或是有力支撑点<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n过去一周的美国比特币现货ETF出现连续4天净流出状况，而BlackRock发行的比特币现货ETF<\/a>的领头羊IBIT亦出现第一次的净流出，这反映出美国投资者开始”take profit”锁定利润 ，然后到了周五全线ETF都录得净流入，甚至灰度都出现历史性净流入，这反映非农就业数据的利好。 5月2日加密货币研究机构10x Research表示，美国比特币现货ETF平均进场价位是$57,300，假如震荡多时未能跌破$57,000的话，相信会是一个不错的支撑位置。 从ETF的数据来看，宏观经济数还是影响加密市场第一因素。\n<\/p>

未來行情分析<\/h2>

<\/span>\"\"<\/p>

从4月开始，比特币价格一直处于下降趋势当中，判断趋势的指标在于不同的高点及低点 (如图中所示)。 每一次的反弹高点都比前一个高点更低、而下跌的低点都比前一个低点更低。 现在比特币的价格虽然经历止跌回升，但仍然处于一个更低的高点，直至重新回到$66,864，那时候就可以判断趋势可能会逆转。 所以未来一星期的关键就是突破$66,000这个关键阻力。<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

HashKey Global最近发布了& […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":308,"featured_media":169242,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[483,69,1575],"editors":[1080],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-169236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-hashkey","tag-bi-te-bi","tag-bi-te-bi-xian-huoetf","editors-allen-li"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nHashKey Global\u4e94\u6708\u7b2c\u4e00\u5468\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u62a5\u544a<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"HashKey Global\u6700\u8fd1\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u5176\u9488\u5bf9\u4e94\u6708\u7b2c\u4e00\u5468\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u603b\u7ed3\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6574\u5408\u4e86\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u8ba9\u5927\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u7387\u5148\u90e8\u7f72\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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