{"id":137139,"date":"2024-02-03T07:00:59","date_gmt":"2024-02-03T07:00:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=137139"},"modified":"2024-02-02T20:14:27","modified_gmt":"2024-02-02T20:14:27","slug":"bitcoin-price-whipsaws-around-43k-after-blockbuster-us-jobs-report-where-next-for-btc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bitcoin-price-whipsaws-around-43k-after-blockbuster-us-jobs-report-where-next-for-btc\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u5927\u7206\u70b8\u540e\u3000\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e8e43000\u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u6ce2\u52a8"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Bitcoin<\/p>

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在最新的美国就业报告公布后，比特币的多空双方正展开一场争夺至高无上的战斗，比特币价格在43000美元附近波动，交易者们正在评估今年美国货币政策的前景以及对加密货币的潜在影响。<\/p>\n

比特币价格最后在约42900美元左右交易，当天基本持平。<\/p>\n

最新的美国就业数据显示，1月份美国经济新增了35.3万名新员工，远远超过预期的18.7万。<\/p>\n

此外，失业率保持在3.7%，而预期是上升到3.8%。<\/p>\n

因此，宏观交易者被迫削减对联邦储备降息的赌注，这最初对比特币产生了压力。<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>

市场削减对联储降息的预期<\/h2>

<\/span>比特币价格<\/a><\/p>

在美联储未来利率市场上，预示美联储在三月份降息25个基点的概率从周五的近40%下降至20%以下，根据芝商所的Fed Watch工具<\/a>。<\/p>

交易者还一度削减了对五月份降息的预期。<\/p>

在周五，无需降息的预期概率从周四的约6%迅速上升到近30%。<\/p>

一个月前，市场预示到五月份至少有两次降息的概率超过70%。<\/p>

然而，超出预期的CPI通货膨胀、零售销售<\/a>、消费者信心、国内生产总值<\/a>、消费者信心<\/a>、JOLTs职位空缺<\/a>、采购经理人指数<\/a>，以及现在的就业数据，都描绘出美国经济仍然非常强劲的画面，在过去一个月里削弱了对降息的论<\/a>点。<\/p>

宏观经济面的不利因素可能在一定程度上解释了比特币从今年早些时候的最高水平49,000美元以上的回调。<\/p>

当然，获得现货比特币ETF批准后，Grayscale的GBTC进行的利润回吐是另一个主要的不利因素<\/a>。<\/p>

根据ETF.com的数据<\/a>，自从从信托基金转换以来，该ETF已经流出60亿美元。<\/p>

但本周这些流出的速度已经大大减缓，每天约为2亿美元。<\/p>

而像黑石集团这样新推出的现货比特币ETF的流入在本周超过了GBTC的流出。<\/a><\/p>

事实上，周五有消息传出，黑石的ETF刚刚突破了300亿美元的资产管理规模<\/a>。<\/p>

这可能在当时有助于提振比特币的情绪，将价格推回到43,400美元以上的日内高点。<\/p>

但由于比特币的多空双方继续争夺至高无上，价格此后又回落到43,000美元以下。\n<\/p>

比特币（BTC）价格何去何从？<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n在当前接近43000美元的水平，比特币价格仍然受限于其在过去几周内的38000美元至49000美元的范围内。<\/p>

但在中期，价格风险仍然明显倾向于上行。<\/p>

是的，强劲的美国经济数据可能会阻止联邦储备系统很快削减利率，但由于年度核心PCE通货膨胀远低于当前利率，金融状况非常紧张。<\/p>

即使经济继续表现良好<\/a>，这意味着今年仍然存在削减利率的潜在空间。<\/p>

这意味着宏观因素在今年应该仍将是加密市场和比特币价格的净正向助力。<\/p>

与此同时，流入新推出的现货比特币ETF的持续增加为市场提供了一种不受价格影响的新需求来源。<\/p>

即将到来的比特币发行速度减半<\/a>将削减比特币矿工的卖压。<\/p>

新的需求涌入加上供应冲击，是推高比特币价格的良好条件。<\/p>

在比特币最近价格范围底部附近的回调很可能会继续得到积极购买，就像一月份发生的那样。<\/p>

在未来的几周或几个月内，比特币最终可能会再次冲击50000美元。<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

在最新的美国就业报告公布后，比特币的多空双方正展开一场争夺至高无上的战斗，比特币价格在43000美元附近波动，交易者们正在评估今年美国货币政策的前景以及对加密货币的潜在影响。 比特币价格最后在约42900美元左右交易，当天基本持平。 最新的美国就业数据显示，1月份美国经济新增了35.3万名新员工，远远超过预期的18.7万。 此外，失业率保持在3.7%，而预期是上升到3.8%。 因此，宏观交易者被迫削减对联邦储备降息的赌注，这最初对比特币产生了压力。 市场削减对联储降息的预期比特币价格在美联储未来利率市场上，预示美联储在三月份降息25个基点的概率从周五的近40%下降至20%以下，根据芝商所的Fed Watch工具。交易者还一度削减了对五月份降息的预期。在周五，无需降息的预期概率从周四的约6%迅速上升到近30%。一个月前，市场预示到五月份至少有两次降息的概率超过70%。然而，超出预期的CPI通货膨胀、零售销售、消费者信心、国内生产总值、消费者信心、JOLTs职位空缺、采购经理人指数，以及现在的就业数据，都描绘出美国经济仍然非常强劲的画面，在过去一个月里削弱了对降息的论点。宏观经济面的不利因素可能在一定程度上解释了比特币从今年早些时候的最高水平49,000美元以上的回调。当然，获得现货比特币ETF批准后，Grayscale的GBTC进行的利润回吐是另一个主要的不利因素。根据ETF.com的数据，自从从信托基金转换以来，该ETF已经流出60亿美元。但本周这些流出的速度已经大大减缓，每天约为2亿美元。而像黑石集团这样新推出的现货比特币ETF的流入在本周超过了GBTC的流出。事实上，周五有消息传出，黑石的ETF刚刚突破了300亿美元的资产管理规模。这可能在当时有助于提振比特币的情绪，将价格推回到43,400美元以上的日内高点。但由于比特币的多空双方继续争夺至高无上，价格此后又回落到43,000美元以下。 比特币（BTC）价格何去何从？ 在当前接近43000美元的水平，比特币价格仍然受限于其在过去几周内的38000美元至49000美元的范围内。但在中期，价格风险仍然明显倾向于上行。是的，强劲的美国经济数据可能会阻止联邦储备系统很快削减利率，但由于年度核心PCE通货膨胀远低于当前利率，金融状况非常紧张。即使经济继续表现良好，这意味着今年仍然存在削减利率的潜在空间。这意味着宏观因素在今年应该仍将是加密市场和比特币价格的净正向助力。与此同时，流入新推出的现货比特币ETF的持续增加为市场提供了一种不受价格影响的新需求来源。即将到来的比特币发行速度减半将削减比特币矿工的卖压。新的需求涌入加上供应冲击，是推高比特币价格的良好条件。在比特币最近价格范围底部附近的回调很可能会继续得到积极购买，就像一月份发生的那样。在未来的几周或几个月内，比特币最终可能会再次冲击50000美元。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":237,"featured_media":137141,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[63,191,489,68,67,69,444],"editors":[1055],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-137139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-jia-mi-jia-ge","tag-jia-mi-huo-bi","tag-qu-kuai-lian","tag-bi-te-bi","tag-bi-te-bi-jia-ge","editors-esther-hui"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u5927\u7206\u70b8\u540e\u3000\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e8e43000\u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u6ce2\u52a8<\/title>\n<meta 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