{"id":130897,"date":"2024-01-13T01:00:27","date_gmt":"2024-01-13T01:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=130897"},"modified":"2024-01-13T01:00:30","modified_gmt":"2024-01-13T01:00:30","slug":"bitcoin-price-tumbles-6-as-post-bitcoin-etf-sell-the-fact-reaction-comes-in-how-low-can-the-btc-bears-push-the-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bitcoin-price-tumbles-6-as-post-bitcoin-etf-sell-the-fact-reaction-comes-in-how-low-can-the-btc-bears-push-the-price\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01ETF\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\u3000\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc6%\u3000BTC\u718a\u5e02\u5c06\u4ef7\u683c\u63a8\u4f4e\u5230\u4f55\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

比特币（BTC）价格从中期的46,000美元附近下跌超过6%，跌至43,000美元附近，这是在现货比特币ETF发布后“卖消息”反应的影响。<\/p>

美国证券交易委员会（SEC）于周三批准首批11只现货比特币ETF的推出。<\/a><\/p>

新的比特币投资产品<\/a>于周四开始交易，并取得了巨大成功。<\/p>

根据路透社<\/a>引用的LSEG数据，周四新的现货比特币ETF的交易量达到了46亿美元。<\/a><\/p>

超出预期的需求帮助比特币价格<\/a>在当时创下了超过49,000美元的新高。<\/p>

但比特币价格<\/a>随后受到一波获利回吐的影响。<\/p>

当比特币<\/a>价格在周四升至49,000美元时，这使得过去五个月内受到现货比特币ETF<\/a>乐观预期推动的涨势达到了惊人的90%。<\/p>

一些分析师警告称，这次涨势使市场容易受到获利回吐导致的回调，或者所谓的“卖消息”反应的影响。<\/p>

周五的熊市价格行动表明，“卖消息”反应正在开始发生。<\/p>

有报道称，比特币矿工向交易所的流出量达到了六年来的最高水平，这可能也让市场感到不安。<\/p>

矿工<\/a>需要定期将他们的比特币发送到交易所出售，以支付采矿成本。<\/p>

CryptoQuant分析师Bradley Park告诉加密媒体，矿池F2Pool是最近流出的主要来源。<\/p>

他指出，F2Pool可能正在出售比特币以资助挖矿升级，以迎接减半<\/a>。\n<\/p>

熊市能将比特币（BTC）价格推低到何程度？<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n比特币价格最新的下跌导致其跌破了一周的上升趋势。<\/p>

BTC目前正在尝试突破其21日移动平均线（21DMA），该线位于44,000美元。<\/p>

如果成功突破，将有可能测试42,400美元的50日移动平均线（50DMA）以及自去年12月以来的上升趋势。<\/p>

\"Bitcoin
比特币（BTC）价格走势图\/来源：Adobe<\/figcaption><\/figure>

但是，比特币价格面临更大跌幅的风险。<\/p>

coinglass.com<\/a> 提供的数据显示，最新的价格下跌并非由投机者清算引起。<\/p>

根据这家衍生品分析网站的数据，上周五有价值6400万美元的比特币期货杠杆多头头寸被清算。<\/p>

这远远小于最近的多头清算事件，比如在1月2日和12月10日。<\/p>

\"\"\n<\/p>

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风险在于随着价格持续下跌，随之而来的多头清算增多将加速下跌。<\/p>\n

近期期货开仓利息达到了两年来的新高，超过195亿美元。<\/p>\n

投机者在比特币衍生品市场的高度参与表明，价格仍然面临由清算事件引发的波动风险，包括向下的波动。<\/p>\n

如果比特币跌破40,000到41,500美元之间的12月支撑水平，事情将变得更加有趣。<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>

\"Bitcoin
比特币（BTC）价格走势图 \/ 来源：Adobe<\/figcaption><\/figure>

\n尽管回到40,000美元以下的水平是可能的，但比特币价格会在这些水平上停留多久仍然成疑。\n<\/p>

以下是比特币牛市将会买入跌势的原因：<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n比特币ETF的需求和即将到来的美联储降息周期预计<\/a>将为比特币价格提供长期支持。<\/p>

与此同时，一旦比特币减半<\/a>在四月发生，供应减少也可能为比特币价格提供长期助力。<\/p>

比特币继续几乎完美地跟随其通常的四年市场周期。<\/a><\/p>

BTC在每次为期一年的熊市之后历史上一直上涨约三年。<\/p>

每次这样的上涨历史上都见证了比特币价格冲破先前的纪录高点。<\/p>

自2022年11月其价格触底约15,000美元以来已经过去了14个月，比特币正迅速回升至其2021年的高点约69,000美元。<\/p>

但如果历史是任何指引，这轮牛市可能会使比特币价格在接下来的22个月内轻松突破100,000美元。<\/p>

历史模式加上上述积极基本面的组合意味着，对比特币的买入需求可能会保持强劲。<\/p>

因此，熊市很可能无法将比特币价格大幅推低到40,000美元以下。<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

比特币（BTC）价格从中期的46,000美元附近下跌超过6%，跌至43,000美元附近，这是在现货比特币ETF发布后“卖消息”反应的影响。美国证券交易委员会（SEC）于周三批准首批11只现货比特币ETF的推出。新的比特币投资产品于周四开始交易，并取得了巨大成功。根据路透社引用的LSEG数据，周四新的现货比特币ETF的交易量达到了46亿美元。超出预期的需求帮助比特币价格在当时创下了超过49,000美元的新高。但比特币价格随后受到一波获利回吐的影响。当比特币价格在周四升至49,000美元时，这使得过去五个月内受到现货比特币ETF乐观预期推动的涨势达到了惊人的90%。一些分析师警告称，这次涨势使市场容易受到获利回吐导致的回调，或者所谓的“卖消息”反应的影响。周五的熊市价格行动表明，“卖消息”反应正在开始发生。有报道称，比特币矿工向交易所的流出量达到了六年来的最高水平，这可能也让市场感到不安。矿工需要定期将他们的比特币发送到交易所出售，以支付采矿成本。CryptoQuant分析师Bradley Park告诉加密媒体，矿池F2Pool是最近流出的主要来源。他指出，F2Pool可能正在出售比特币以资助挖矿升级，以迎接减半。 熊市能将比特币（BTC）价格推低到何程度？ 比特币价格最新的下跌导致其跌破了一周的上升趋势。BTC目前正在尝试突破其21日移动平均线（21DMA），该线位于44,000美元。如果成功突破，将有可能测试42,400美元的50日移动平均线（50DMA）以及自去年12月以来的上升趋势。比特币（BTC）价格走势图\/来源：Adobe但是，比特币价格面临更大跌幅的风险。coinglass.com 提供的数据显示，最新的价格下跌并非由投机者清算引起。根据这家衍生品分析网站的数据，上周五有价值6400万美元的比特币期货杠杆多头头寸被清算。这远远小于最近的多头清算事件，比如在1月2日和12月10日。 风险在于随着价格持续下跌，随之而来的多头清算增多将加速下跌。 近期期货开仓利息达到了两年来的新高，超过195亿美元。 投机者在比特币衍生品市场的高度参与表明，价格仍然面临由清算事件引发的波动风险，包括向下的波动。 如果比特币跌破40,000到41,500美元之间的12月支撑水平，事情将变得更加有趣。 比特币（BTC）价格走势图 \/ 来源：Adobe 尽管回到40,000美元以下的水平是可能的，但比特币价格会在这些水平上停留多久仍然成疑。 以下是比特币牛市将会买入跌势的原因： 比特币ETF的需求和即将到来的美联储降息周期预计将为比特币价格提供长期支持。与此同时，一旦比特币减半在四月发生，供应减少也可能为比特币价格提供长期助力。比特币继续几乎完美地跟随其通常的四年市场周期。BTC在每次为期一年的熊市之后历史上一直上涨约三年。每次这样的上涨历史上都见证了比特币价格冲破先前的纪录高点。自2022年11月其价格触底约15,000美元以来已经过去了14个月，比特币正迅速回升至其2021年的高点约69,000美元。但如果历史是任何指引，这轮牛市可能会使比特币价格在接下来的22个月内轻松突破100,000美元。历史模式加上上述积极基本面的组合意味着，对比特币的买入需求可能会保持强劲。因此，熊市很可能无法将比特币价格大幅推低到40,000美元以下。<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":237,"featured_media":130899,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[63,1321,191,68,67,69,1032],"editors":[1055],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-130897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-etf","tag-btc","tag-jia-mi-huo-bi","tag-qu-kuai-lian","tag-bi-te-bi","tag-bi-te-bietf","editors-esther-hui"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01ETF\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\u3000\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc6%\u3000\u718a\u5e02\u5c06\u4ef7\u683c\u63a8\u4f4e\u5230\u54ea\uff1f<\/title>\n<meta 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