{"id":122714,"date":"2023-12-16T01:00:19","date_gmt":"2023-12-16T01:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=122714"},"modified":"2023-12-15T19:47:35","modified_gmt":"2023-12-15T19:47:35","slug":"bitcoin-price-pressured-as-fed-official-says-premature-to-even-be-thinking-about-rate-cuts-where-next-for-btc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bitcoin-price-pressured-as-fed-official-says-premature-to-even-be-thinking-about-rate-cuts-where-next-for-btc\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u53d7\u538b\u3000\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u8868\u793a\u201c\u8fc7\u65e9\u8003\u8651\u964d\u606f\u201d\u3000\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4f55\u53bb\u4f55\u4ece\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"
来源: Pixabay \/ Michael Wuensch<\/figcaption><\/figure>

\n比特币（BTC）价格在星期五受到压力，从约43,000美元下跌至低42,000美元，受到美国联邦储备系统主要货币政策制定者约翰·威廉姆斯鹰派评论的影响。<\/p>

作为美国纽约联邦储备系统重要官员的威廉姆斯出现在CNBC的”Squawk Box”节目<\/a>中，并表示“现在考虑降息为时尚早”。<\/p>

这标志着与本周早些时候美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（<\/a> Jerome Powell <\/a>）发表的鸽派言论、以及美联储最新的经济和利率预测形成鲜明对比，<\/a>后者预测2024年通货膨胀下降并实施三次降息。<\/p>

在会议上，鲍威尔表示他认为利率已经达到峰值，未来将会有降息。<\/p>

这一鸽派倾向在当时触发了美国股市的激烈反弹，美国政府债券收益率急剧下降，美元指数（DXY）下滑，市场对明年可能实施多达六次降息的押注也迅速升温。<\/p>

比特币<\/a>当时也出现了上涨。\n<\/p>

美联储传达失误？<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n然而，威廉姆斯周五的评论表明，在观察到最新鸽派市场反应后，美联储意识到其对市场传达存在问题。<\/p>

威廉姆斯在接受CNBC采访时补充说，美联储目前的主要关注点是确保该行的政策是否已经足够 restri，以确保通胀回落到美联储的2%目标。<\/p>

他补充说，如果需要，美联储必须准备再次加息。<\/p>

这与美联储在周三宣布鸽派转变之前在2023年大部分时间向市场传递的信息非常一致，这一转变引发了投资者的兴奋。<\/p>

展望未来，在意识到在周三的会议上发生传达失误后，导致市场反应比他们预期的更为鸽派后，美联储官员可能会试图继续反击鸽派市场的赌注，就像威廉姆斯刚刚所做的那样。<\/p>

当然，正如Pantheon Macroeconomics首席经济学家伊恩·谢波德森（ Ian Shepherdson）指出的那样，决定美联储是否在明年三月开始降息的将是美国接下来的三份核心PCE通胀报告，而不是当前的美联储评论。\n<\/p>

\n

约翰·威廉姆斯（John Williams ）今早在CNBC上说的话不会决定美联储是否会在三月份放宽政策。接下来的三个核心PCE数字将起决定性作用。<\/p>\n

— Ian Shepherdson (@IanShepherdson) 2023年12月15日<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>

比特币（BTC）未来走势如何？<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n鹰派的美联储讯息导致熊市在星期五重新掌控，因此比特币最新价格<\/a>回落至低42,000美元左右。<\/p>

这使比特币处于本周40,000美元至44,000美元左右范围的中点，价格相对于上周创下的约45,000美元的年度高点仍然下跌约6%。<\/p>

长期价格预测可能仍然看涨，预计2024年批准现货比特币ETF将刺激机构采用，比特币发行速率将于明年三月减半，并且美国金融状况（即美联储降息）最终可能会放缓。<\/p>

但是，由于现在现货比特币ETF的乐观预期可能已经基本定价<\/a>，而未来几周不太可能有新消息，再加上市场正在应对相互矛盾的美联储信息，这在某种程度上使得预期中未来降息的时机变得有些混乱，比特币有可能进一步面临短期的挫折。<\/p>

熊市将关注关键的短期支撑，即21天移动平均线（目前在40,900美元）和本周的最低点（略高于40,000美元）是否能够保持。<\/p>

如果不能，可能会回落到38,000美元，这是之前一个强劲的阻力区域，也是当前50天移动平均线所在的地方。\"BTC<\/p>

比特币 (BTC) 价格图表\/ 来源: TradingView<\/figcaption><\/figure>

但是预计那些对短期市场波动不太敏感的长期比特币投资者将抓住任何能以低于40,000美元的价格购得BTC的机会。<\/p>

https:\/\/youtu.be\/F6mB5elnsq0?si=PzG-VapEexRfHV-k<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

来源: Pixabay \/ Michael Wuensch 比特币（BTC）价格在星期五受到压力，从约43,000美元下跌至低42,000美元，受到美国联邦储备系统主要货币政策制定者约翰·威廉姆斯鹰派评论的影响。作为美国纽约联邦储备系统重要官员的威廉姆斯出现在CNBC的”Squawk Box”节目中，并表示“现在考虑降息为时尚早”。这标志着与本周早些时候美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（ Jerome Powell ）发表的鸽派言论、以及美联储最新的经济和利率预测形成鲜明对比，后者预测2024年通货膨胀下降并实施三次降息。在会议上，鲍威尔表示他认为利率已经达到峰值，未来将会有降息。这一鸽派倾向在当时触发了美国股市的激烈反弹，美国政府债券收益率急剧下降，美元指数（DXY）下滑，市场对明年可能实施多达六次降息的押注也迅速升温。比特币当时也出现了上涨。 美联储传达失误？ 然而，威廉姆斯周五的评论表明，在观察到最新鸽派市场反应后，美联储意识到其对市场传达存在问题。威廉姆斯在接受CNBC采访时补充说，美联储目前的主要关注点是确保该行的政策是否已经足够 restri，以确保通胀回落到美联储的2%目标。他补充说，如果需要，美联储必须准备再次加息。这与美联储在周三宣布鸽派转变之前在2023年大部分时间向市场传递的信息非常一致，这一转变引发了投资者的兴奋。展望未来，在意识到在周三的会议上发生传达失误后，导致市场反应比他们预期的更为鸽派后，美联储官员可能会试图继续反击鸽派市场的赌注，就像威廉姆斯刚刚所做的那样。当然，正如Pantheon Macroeconomics首席经济学家伊恩·谢波德森（ Ian Shepherdson）指出的那样，决定美联储是否在明年三月开始降息的将是美国接下来的三份核心PCE通胀报告，而不是当前的美联储评论。 约翰·威廉姆斯（John Williams ）今早在CNBC上说的话不会决定美联储是否会在三月份放宽政策。接下来的三个核心PCE数字将起决定性作用。 — Ian Shepherdson (@IanShepherdson) 2023年12月15日比特币（BTC）未来走势如何？ 鹰派的美联储讯息导致熊市在星期五重新掌控，因此比特币最新价格回落至低42,000美元左右。这使比特币处于本周40,000美元至44,000美元左右范围的中点，价格相对于上周创下的约45,000美元的年度高点仍然下跌约6%。长期价格预测可能仍然看涨，预计2024年批准现货比特币ETF将刺激机构采用，比特币发行速率将于明年三月减半，并且美国金融状况（即美联储降息）最终可能会放缓。但是，由于现在现货比特币ETF的乐观预期可能已经基本定价，而未来几周不太可能有新消息，再加上市场正在应对相互矛盾的美联储信息，这在某种程度上使得预期中未来降息的时机变得有些混乱，比特币有可能进一步面临短期的挫折。熊市将关注关键的短期支撑，即21天移动平均线（目前在40,900美元）和本周的最低点（略高于40,000美元）是否能够保持。如果不能，可能会回落到38,000美元，这是之前一个强劲的阻力区域，也是当前50天移动平均线所在的地方。比特币 (BTC) 价格图表\/ 来源: TradingView但是预计那些对短期市场波动不太敏感的长期比特币投资者将抓住任何能以低于40,000美元的价格购得BTC的机会。https:\/\/youtu.be\/F6mB5elnsq0?si=PzG-VapEexRfHV-k<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":237,"featured_media":122716,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[63,191,68,67,69,444],"editors":[1055],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-122714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-jia-mi-huo-bi","tag-qu-kuai-lian","tag-bi-te-bi","tag-bi-te-bi-jia-ge","editors-esther-hui"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u53d7\u538b\u3000\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u8868\u793a\u201c\u8fc7\u65e9\u8003\u8651\u964d\u606f\u201d<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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