{"id":119452,"date":"2023-12-02T05:00:53","date_gmt":"2023-12-02T05:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=119452"},"modified":"2023-12-01T20:06:46","modified_gmt":"2023-12-01T20:06:46","slug":"bitcoin-price-pumps-to-39000-as-fed-chair-powells-remarks-encourage-rate-cut-bets-where-is-btc-headed-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bitcoin-price-pumps-to-39000-as-fed-chair-powells-remarks-encourage-rate-cut-bets-where-is-btc-headed-next\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\u81f339,000\u7f8e\u5143\u3000\u56e0\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8bb2\u8bdd\u9f13\u821e\u4e86\u964d\u606f\u8d4c\u6ce8"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"
来源: Pixabay \/ Michael Wuensch<\/figcaption><\/figure>

\n美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)对美国经济面临的风险的态度刚刚转向鸽派，推动比特币（BTC）<\/a>价格冲上年度新高，达到39,000美元。<\/p>

鲍威尔指出<\/a>，美联储不提高利率以对抗通货膨胀的风险与提高利率并不必要地削弱经济的风险已经更加平衡。<\/p>

他的评论是在最近的经济数据显示美国经济降温，并且美国通胀的关键指标（核心PCE物价指数）<\/a>在过去六个月的年均增长率为2.5%之后发表的。<\/p>

此前，鲍威尔曾是美联储政策制定者中警告进一步加息仍然可能的人之一，而他的语气变化是在他通常鹰派的美联储政策制定者同事克里斯托弗·沃勒（ Christopher Waller<\/a> ）在本周早些时候表示2024年降息的论点正在积累之后发表的。<\/p>

鲍威尔的讲话使美国股票价格上涨，债券收益率下跌，因为投资者加大了对于2024年第一季度开始降息的赌注。<\/p>

根据芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的“Fed Watch Tool”显示<\/a>，市场暗示美联储在2024年3月之前将利率从5.25-5.5%下调至5.00-5.25%的可能性在周五上升到60%以上，而周四则不到45%。<\/p>

许多人仍然认为比特币<\/a>是一种风险敏感的资产，近年来通常与美国股票价格呈正相关。<\/p>

与此同时，在金融环境宽松的情况下，比特币<\/a>也受益匪浅，表现为债券收益率下降和流动性上升。<\/p>

如果开始降息周期，预计将引发金融条件大幅宽松，这可能成为比特币价格的主要利好驱动因素。\n<\/p>

比特币（BTC）接下来将何去何从？<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n随着对降息的预期上升以及更有利于比特币的流动性背景的预期，宏观因素目前是BTC的主要助力。<\/p>

但BTC仍然受益于特定于加密货币的积极叙事，如预计机构采用加速和预计在美国批准现货比特币ETF后产生的新购买压力，这预计将在2024年初获得批准<\/a>。<\/p>

Proshares的比特币策略ETF资产管理规模急剧上升至创纪录新高，显示机构已经在争相获取对市值最大且最古老的加密货币的看涨曝露。<\/p>

2024年由机构推动的增强购买压力预计将与比特币网络验证者（或“矿工”）的结构性卖压急剧下降相结合，比特币发行率预计将于明年4月减半。<\/a><\/p>

比特币矿工需要不断出售他们挖掘的比特币的一部分来支付运营成本。<\/p>

这一系列看涨主题很可能意味着比特币将继续在回调时买入，正如最近几周一直如此。<\/p>

在10月涨幅28.5%之后，比特币在11月全程得到21天移动平均线的支撑，维持上升趋势。<\/p>

随着加密货币似乎已经坚定地突破了38000美元的先前阻力，短期看涨的投机者将瞄准近期突破40000美元，并朝着形成于2022年4月的高点，略高于43000美元的阻力发起冲击。<\/p>

\"\"<\/p>

一些人甚至可能在年底之前将目标定在测试2022年的最高点，即48,000美元。<\/p>

\"\"<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

来源: Pixabay \/ Michael Wuensch 美&#3 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":237,"featured_media":119454,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[63,191,489,68,67,69,444],"editors":[1055],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-119452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-jia-mi-jia-ge","tag-jia-mi-huo-bi","tag-qu-kuai-lian","tag-bi-te-bi","tag-bi-te-bi-jia-ge","editors-esther-hui"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\u81f339,000\u7f8e\u5143\u3000\u56e0\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u8bb2\u8bdd\u9f13\u821e\u4e86\u964d\u606f\u8d4c\u6ce8<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14(Jerome 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