{"id":112738,"date":"2023-11-09T05:00:05","date_gmt":"2023-11-09T05:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=112738"},"modified":"2023-11-15T13:01:52","modified_gmt":"2023-11-15T13:01:52","slug":"here-are-3-reasons-why-now-is-a-good-time-to-buy-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/here-are-3-reasons-why-now-is-a-good-time-to-buy-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"\u73b0\u5728\u8d2d\u4e70\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u76843\u5927\u7406\u7531"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Bitcoin
比特币 Logo \/来源: Adobe<\/figcaption><\/figure>

\n最近在35,300美元附近交易，仅略低于最近的年度高点，比特币（BTC）今年已经上涨超过110%。<\/p>

去年比特币曾一度跌至15,000美元附近，下跌幅度高达77%。如今，比特币<\/a>已成功抹去这些损失，回升幅度不到50%，令人印象深刻。<\/p>

比特币的复苏出乎许多分析师和加密批评家的意料，他们在2022年中央银行利率上涨\/流动性收紧的熊市和FTX崩溃<\/a>后，宣布比特币和整个加密市场已死。<\/p>

那些没有在2022年底\/2023年初进入市场的投资者显然错过了底部。<\/p>

但尽管比特币<\/a>已经从最近的低点大幅上涨，现在投资当然不会太迟。<\/p>

以下是三个购买比特币<\/a>的好时机：\n<\/p>

熊市已经结束<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n多个指标表明，2022年的比特币熊市现在已经成为过去。<\/p>

长期的加密寒冬似乎已经结束，加密春天似乎已经到来。<\/p>

首先，比特币似乎几乎完美地遵循其通常约四年的市场周期，其中它经历了一年的从历史最高点的剧烈回调，然后继续上升，并在接下来的三年内创下新的历史最高点。<\/p>

与此同时，由Glassnode跟踪的一套广泛关注的链上指标一直在全年闪烁<\/a>，表明比特币可能正在转入新的牛市。<\/p>

该仪表板<\/a>分析了比特币是否交易在关键的价格模型之上，网络利用率动能是否增加，市场的盈利能力是否正在回升，以及以美元计价的比特币财富是否有利于长期HODL者。<\/p>

还值得注意的是，除了2020年3月全球市场因Covid-19病毒传播引发的恐慌而经历短暂的崩溃之外，比特币在熊市中从未恢复超过100% – 即超过100%的恢复总是标志着新的牛市的开始。\n<\/p>

即将批准现货比特币ETF<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n不仅仅是历史图表和链上分析表明比特币价格前景强劲。<\/p>

与加密货币采用相关的现实世界发展给人以乐观的理由，预期美国将很快批准现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF），为大规模的“机构采用”敞开了大门，这本质上意味着传统金融界向比特币市场注入大规模资本流入。<\/p>

为什么2023年市场对批准现货比特币ETF如此乐观，尽管SEC迄今拒绝了所有的申请？<\/p>

因为像黑石（BlackRock）这样的华尔街巨头于今年夏天首次提出了自己的申请，此后SEC已在与数字资产管理公司Grayscale就其拒绝Grayscale自己的现货比特币ETF申请提起的诉讼中偃旗息鼓。<\/p>

因此，几乎所有分析师都预计SEC将很快批准现货比特币ETF。<\/p>

根据Valkyrie的首席投资官史蒂文·麦克卢格（ Steven McClurg）的说法，该机构可能在本月批准其中一个<\/a>。<\/p>

与此同时，根据JPM分析师最近的论点<\/a>，首批现货比特币ETF的批准可能会在明年1月10日之前获得，这是Ark 21Shares申请的最后截止日期。<\/p>

尽管关于这种基金的潜在资金流入估算在市场参与者之间仍存在争议，但根据路透社周二的报告<\/a>，预测范围从首日30亿美元到五年内高达550亿美元<\/a>。<\/p>

正如几乎所有分析师几乎一致地期望现货比特币ETF很快会获得批准，分析师们也押注这将导致比特币价格飙升。<\/p>

加密分析公司Matrixport最近预测，如果黑石的ETF获得批准，比特币可能会达到42,000美元，称之为“改变游戏规则”。\n<\/p>

圣诞行情<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n因此，关于即将批准近期现货比特币ETF的乐观情绪为比特币年底迎来强劲表现铺平了道路，并让一些投资者开始讨论可能出现的圣诞行情<\/a>。<\/p>

根据Matrixport的分析，如果比特币在今年的这个阶段已经上涨了超过100％，那么这种加密货币在年底将以更高水平结束的机会为71％，年底涨幅平均约为65％。<\/p>

Matrixport的研究主管马库斯·蒂伦指出：“根据这些统计数据，比特币继续提供上涨潜力，+65％的年底涨幅将抬高价格至56,000美元。”<\/p>

因此，如果蒂伦是正确的，比特币确实还有65％的增长空间，那么现在肯定是进入比特币市场的好时机。<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

比特币 Logo \/来源: Adobe […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":237,"featured_media":112769,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[63,191,414,68,67,69,444],"editors":[1055],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-112738","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-jia-mi-shi-chang","tag-jia-mi-huo-bi","tag-qu-kuai-lian","tag-bi-te-bi","tag-bi-te-bi-jia-ge","editors-esther-hui"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u73b0\u5728\u8d2d\u4e70\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u76843\u5927\u7406\u7531<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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