{"id":107454,"date":"2023-10-22T11:00:42","date_gmt":"2023-10-22T11:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=107454"},"modified":"2023-10-21T20:39:08","modified_gmt":"2023-10-21T20:39:08","slug":"spot-bitcoin-etf-application-approvals-likely-by-january-10th-jpmorgan-argues-how-high-can-the-btc-price-pump-in-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/exclusives\/spot-bitcoin-etf-application-approvals-likely-by-january-10th-jpmorgan-argues-how-high-can-the-btc-price-pump-in-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a2024\u5e74\u6216\u6709\u671b\u4e8e1\u670810\u65e5\u524d\u6279\u51c6\u73b0\u8d27\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01ETF\u3000\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u6216\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u6da8\u52bf\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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JP摩根标志 \/ 来源：Adobe<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>

\n根据摩根大通本周早些时候发布的研究报告，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）最近决定不对逆其而行的Grayscale案件提出上诉，将有望使美国批准现货比特币ETF更近一步。<\/p>

JPM分析师继续表示，首批批准可能会在1月10日之前获得，这是Ark 21Shares申请的最后期限。<\/p>

回顾一下，今年8月，哥伦比亚特区巡回上诉法院的三名法官裁定<\/a>，SEC允许比特币期货ETF，但拒绝了Grayscale将其比特币信托转化为现货比特币ETF的决定是“武断和反复无常的”。<\/p>

SEC上诉这一裁决的截止日期是上周五，但该机构选择不采取行动<\/a>，这引发了希望该机构正在将重心转向批准现货比特币ETF，而不是反对它们。<\/p>

摩根在报告中表示，他们预计SEC将一次性批准多个现货比特币ETF申请，而不会让任何一个ETF申请人获得不公平的先发优势。\n<\/p>

比特币因现货ETF批准乐观情绪而大幅上涨<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n在本周中期交易结束时，比特币（BTC）价格在中等水平的29,000美元左右，本周涨幅可能超过8%，这一涨势得到了可能即将批准的现货ETF的乐观情绪的支持。\n<\/p>

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摩根大通并不是唯一一个谈论近期批准前景的机构或行业巨头。<\/p>\n

Galaxy Digital首席执行官Mike Novogratz在周三接受CNBC采访时表示<\/a>，他预计批准将在2023年底之前获得。<\/p>\n

此外，虽然他没有给出批准的时间表，但Coinbase首席法律官Paul Grewal在一次单独的CNBC采访中指出<\/a>，“那些提出了这些产品和服务的强有力提案的公司都是金融服务领域最大的蓝筹股之一”。<\/p>\n

他还表示：“这表明我们将很快在这方面取得进展”。<\/p>\n

Grewal指的是来自资产管理巨头如黑石、富达、威宁树和万得等公司的申请。<\/p>\n

这些公司中的一些公司早在今年6月就向SEC提交了现货比特币ETF的申请，本周调整了他们的申请，引发了市场的乐观情绪，表明SEC正在积极与申请人对话，这意味着批准的可能性更高。<\/p>\n

“比特币还受到了可能的ETF批准和领先公司提交的ETF申请数量的鼓励<\/a>，” Metalpha高级交易员Lucy Hu在周五告诉加密媒体的成员。<\/p>\n

“SEC选择不对Grayscale的裁决提起上诉，随着像黑石等机构的比特币现货ETF申请的截止日期临近<\/a>，市场对ETF批准的信心增加。”<\/p>\n

随着可能的比特币ETF批准和2024年4月的减半事件，Hu指出，“加密市场可能会启动一个非常强劲的牛市”。<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>

比特币（BTC）价格在2024年可能会涨到多高？<\/h2>

<\/span><\/p>

\n周一，由于Cointelegraph发布了虚假新闻报道称SEC批准了BlackRock的iShares现货比特币ETF申请<\/a>，导致比特币价格突然上涨，这让比特币的空头对于真正的批准消息公布后价格可能会如何反应产生了警觉。<\/p>

因此，本周随着现货比特币ETF批准的乐观情绪上升，比特币卖家不愿进入市场，比特币价格一直在缓慢上涨。<\/p>

“现在押注比特币价格会持续下跌就像逆着地心引力走，”WOO Network创始人Jack Tan本周早些时候告诉加密媒体的成员。<\/p>

加密服务提供商Matrixport预测，一旦现货ETF获得批准，比特币价格可能会上涨到42,000美元到56,000美元之间<\/a>。<\/p>

这意味着未来几个月内可能会从当前水平上涨40%到90%的涨幅。<\/p>

但比特币在2024年的上涨潜力可能甚至更大。<\/p>

此前的比特币减半<\/a>通常会导致比特币价格创下新的历史高点。<\/p>

与此同时，随着我们进入2024年，美联储的加息周期可能会终结，开始降息周期，这可能意味着未来会有更低的利率，这可能成为比特币的重要宏观支撑。<\/p>

其他因素也可能对比特币有所帮助。<\/p>

尽管美国股市出现下滑，因担忧高油价和地缘政治问题而受到压力，但全球最大的加密货币本周一直在上涨。<\/p>

宏观投资者似乎越来越将比特币视为避险资产<\/a>，这可能会成为2024年的又一个重要支持因素。<\/p>

明年比特币可能会上涨130%，达到2021年的69,000美元的历史最高水平。<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

JP摩根标志 \/ 来源&# […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":237,"featured_media":107465,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[743,414,68,67,69,1032,444],"editors":[1055],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-107454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-exclusives","category-features","tag-2024nian","tag-jia-mi-shi-chang","tag-jia-mi-huo-bi","tag-qu-kuai-lian","tag-bi-te-bi","tag-bi-te-bietf","tag-bi-te-bi-jia-ge","editors-esther-hui"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a2024\u5e74\u6216\u6709\u671b\u4e8e1\u670810\u65e5\u524d\u6279\u51c6\u73b0\u8d27\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01ETF<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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