{"id":104968,"date":"2023-04-30T03:30:00","date_gmt":"2023-04-30T03:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=112562"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:41","slug":"bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u4ef7\u683c\u6682\u505c\u5728 3 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f BTC \u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

周五 (28 日)，<\/strong>比特币 (BTC)<\/strong><\/a> 价格基本保持在 29,000 美元左右。<\/strong><\/p>

该加密货币在交易时段早些时候短暂下跌以测试 29,000 美元的水平和略高于该水平的 21 天移动平均线时获得了不错的支撑。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

但<\/strong>比特币<\/strong><\/a>多头似乎在 30,000 美元的重要心理水平之前稍作喘息，因为包括美国联准会下周利率决定在内的关键宏观事件迫在眉睫。<\/strong><\/p>

周五公布的美国经济数据基本符合预期，但仍然相当令人期待的 <\/strong>Core PCE 通货膨胀<\/strong><\/a>和<\/strong>第一季度就业成本指数<\/strong><\/a>的数据被市场视为支持已经普遍预期的美国联准会下一次加息 25 个基点的理由。<\/strong><\/p>

这将使美国利率升至 5.0-5.25%，市场甚至预计美国联准会在 6 月的下一次会议上再次加息的可能性接近 30%。<\/strong><\/p>

但随着<\/strong> First Republic Bank 被 FDIC 接管<\/strong><\/a>，银行危机所产生的担忧仍然是重中之重，大多数分析师预计在随后的会议上将暂停加息周期。<\/strong><\/p>

美国联准会的加息周期使银行业承受巨大的压力，因为 1) 打击了银行债券投资组合的价值，以及 2) 鼓励提款至收益更高的货币市场基金。<\/strong><\/p>

只要美国联准会的暂停仍然是基本情况假设，宏观经济就不会对<\/strong>比特币<\/strong><\/a>和更广泛的加密货币市场造成太大的不利影响。<\/strong><\/p>

如果下周的美国就业和 ISM PMI 调查数据在本周出炉并提振美国经济衰退押注，那可能会加强美国联准会降息押注（即使美国联准会在下周的会议上继续反对近期降息周期的想法）。<\/strong><\/p>

这可能对<\/strong>比特币<\/strong><\/a>有利，并帮助它回到 30,000 美元上方，前提是美元近期的下跌趋势继续并且美国收益率面临压力。<\/strong><\/p>

这是比特币 (BTC) 下一步可能走向的地方<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

图表分析显示，2023 年的<\/strong>比特币<\/strong><\/a>牛市仍然非常健康。<\/strong><\/p>

2 月初的<\/strong>黄金交叉<\/strong><\/a>、200 日均线的强劲反弹和 3 月的已实现价格等长期看涨发展继续地鼓励逢低买入的行为。<\/strong><\/p>

与此同时，最近 50 日均线的反弹和比特币周五对其 21 日均线的积极反应显示，近期势头仍然相当不错 — <\/strong>比特币<\/strong><\/a>较本周早些时候创下的月度低点 27,000 美元上涨了 8.5% 以上。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

目前，BTC 价格处于 26,500 美元\/27,000 美元至 31,000 美元区间的上半部分，该区间自 3 月中旬以来一直在发挥作用。<\/strong><\/p>

但是，宏观发展允许，反弹至 32,500-33,000 美元区域的阻力位并创下年度新高似乎是有可能的。<\/strong><\/p>

除了纯粹的图表分析之外，<\/strong>链上指标<\/strong><\/a>和对<\/strong>比特币市场周期<\/strong><\/a>的长期分析也为比特币多头保持信心提供了进一步的理由。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

周五 (28 日)，比特币 (BTC) 价格基本保持在 29,000 美元左右。该加密货币在交易时段早些时候短暂下跌以测试 29,000 美元的水平和略高于该水平的 21 天移动平均线时获得了不错的支撑。但比特币多头似乎在 30,000 美元的重要心理水平之前稍作喘息，因为包括美国联准会下周利率决定在内的关键宏观事件迫在眉睫。周五公布的美国经济数据基本符合预期，但仍然相当令人期待的 Core PCE 通货膨胀和第一季度就业成本指数的数据被市场视为支持已经普遍预期的美国联准会下一次加息 25 个基点的理由。这将使美国利率升至 5.0-5.25%，市场甚至预计美国联准会在 6 月的下一次会议上再次加息的可能性接近 30%。但随着 First Republic Bank 被 FDIC 接管，银行危机所产生的担忧仍然是重中之重，大多数分析师预计在随后的会议上将暂停加息周期。美国联准会的加息周期使银行业承受巨大的压力，因为 1) 打击了银行债券投资组合的价值，以及 2) 鼓励提款至收益更高的货币市场基金。只要美国联准会的暂停仍然是基本情况假设，宏观经济就不会对比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场造成太大的不利影响。如果下周的美国就业和 ISM PMI 调查数据在本周出炉并提振美国经济衰退押注，那可能会加强美国联准会降息押注（即使美国联准会在下周的会议上继续反对近期降息周期的想法）。这可能对比特币有利，并帮助它回到 30,000 美元上方，前提是美元近期的下跌趋势继续并且美国收益率面临压力。这是比特币 (BTC) 下一步可能走向的地方图表分析显示，2023 年的比特币牛市仍然非常健康。2 月初的黄金交叉、200 日均线的强劲反弹和 3 月的已实现价格等长期看涨发展继续地鼓励逢低买入的行为。与此同时，最近 50 日均线的反弹和比特币周五对其 21 日均线的积极反应显示，近期势头仍然相当不错 — 比特币较本周早些时候创下的月度低点 27,000 美元上涨了 8.5% 以上。目前，BTC 价格处于 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[1767],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-104968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","editors-sze-lam"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u4ef7\u683c\u6682\u505c\u5728 3 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f BTC \u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"周五 (28 日)，比特币 (BTC) 价格基本保持在 29,000\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u4ef7\u683c\u6682\u505c\u5728 3 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f BTC \u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"周五 (28 日)，比特币 (BTC) 价格基本保持在 29,000\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Cryptonews China\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-04-30T03:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112562\/272071\/image.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112562\/272071\/image.jpg\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u4ef7\u683c\u6682\u505c\u5728 3 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f BTC \u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411","description":"周五 (28 日)，比特币 (BTC) 价格基本保持在 29,000","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u4ef7\u683c\u6682\u505c\u5728 3 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f BTC \u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411","og_description":"周五 (28 日)，比特币 (BTC) 价格基本保持在 29,000","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews China","article_published_time":"2023-04-30T03:30:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112562\/272071\/image.jpg","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112562\/272071\/image.jpg","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/"},"author":{"name":"williamgfpl","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/person\/87154d90751a3f3d0973399c504acc82"},"headline":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u4ef7\u683c\u6682\u505c\u5728 3 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f BTC \u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411","datePublished":"2023-04-30T03:30:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/"},"wordCount":16,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112562\/272071\/image.jpg","articleSection":["\u65b0\u95fb","\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u65b0\u95fb"],"inLanguage":"zh-CN","copyrightYear":"2023","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/","name":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u4ef7\u683c\u6682\u505c\u5728 3 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f BTC \u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112562\/272071\/image.jpg","datePublished":"2023-04-30T03:30:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","description":"周五 (28 日)，比特币 (BTC) 价格基本保持在 29,000","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"zh-CN","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/"]}],"author":[]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-CN","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112562\/272071\/image.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112562\/272071\/image.jpg"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-btc-jia-ge-zan-ting-zai-3-wan-mei-yuan-yi-xia-er-zhe-jiu-shi-btc-de-xia-yi-bu-ke-neng-zou-xiang\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01 (BTC) \u4ef7\u683c\u6682\u505c\u5728 3 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f BTC \u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/","name":"Cryptonews China","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"zh-CN"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization","name":"Cryptonews China","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-CN","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/cropped-CryptoNews-Logo-1.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/cropped-CryptoNews-Logo-1.png","width":100,"height":91,"caption":"Cryptonews China"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104968"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104968\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104968"},{"taxonomy":"editors","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/editors?post=104968"},{"taxonomy":"sponsored_companies","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sponsored_companies?post=104968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}