{"id":104956,"date":"2023-04-27T05:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-04-27T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=112314"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:41","slug":"bi-te-bi-cong-50-ri-ping-jun-xian-da-fu-fan-dan-shou-fu-28000-mei-yuan-kan-zhang-btc-de-tou-zi-zhe-kao-lu-zhong-xin-ce-shi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-shang-zhang-kong-jian","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/bi-te-bi-cong-50-ri-ping-jun-xian-da-fu-fan-dan-shou-fu-28000-mei-yuan-kan-zhang-btc-de-tou-zi-zhe-kao-lu-zhong-xin-ce-shi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-shang-zhang-kong-jian\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ece 50 \u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\u5927\u5e45\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u6536\u590d 28,000 \u7f8e\u5143 \u2014 \u770b\u6da8 BTC \u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8003\u8651\u91cd\u65b0\u6d4b\u8bd5\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u7a7a\u95f4"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

比特币 (BTC) 价格至今已摆脱了对于长期休眠钱包之突然变动的担忧，以及 Coinbase 目前因加密货币规则的不明确而起诉美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 所带来正在进行中的监管不确定性，并且强劲回升反弹至四天来首次突破 28,000 美元的水平。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

这可能是由于在 27,200 美元的 50 日移动平均线之前技术买盘激增，以及近期低点略高于 27,000 美元的近期支撑价位。<\/strong><\/p>

比特币周二回升反弹超过 2.5% 至 28,200 美元，看涨的投资者希望这种全球市值最大的加密货币能够快速跳升至本月早些时候短暂突破的 30,000 美元的上方。<\/strong><\/p>

不到一周前，当比特币的易手价格略低于 29,000 美元时，彭博社监测的短期买入信号就被触发了。<\/strong><\/p>

从历史上看，BTC 在该交易信号发出后的 10 天内上涨了约 7%。<\/strong><\/p>

如果历史是一个很好的指导，那么比特币价格可能会在未来三天内迅速反弹至 31,000 美元。<\/strong><\/p>

这将要求比特币以 28,900 美元附近的 21DMA 和 28,900-29,300 美元区域的 3 月底\/4 月初高点的形式回到关键的近期阻力价位上方。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

但鉴于在年内高点 31,000 美元附近缺乏新的显着阻力价位，突破这一关键阻力区域将为进一步上涨打开大门。<\/strong><\/p>

即将到来的宏观风险可能会动摇一切<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

即将到来的重大宏观风险事件，例如本周的美国 GDP 和通货膨胀报告以及下周的美国联准会的会议、就业和 ISM 调查数据，如果它们对宏观叙事产生有意义的转变，可能会在运作中发挥作用。<\/strong><\/p>

今年比特币上涨的部分原因，除了银行业危机担忧中的避险需求和 2022 年第四季度历史超卖市场状况后的反弹之外，美国联准会的紧缩周期也已接近尾声。<\/strong><\/p>

根据 CME Fed Watch 工具，市场的基本假设是将再加息 25 个基点至 5.0-5.25%，然后到年底加息多达 100 个基点。<\/strong><\/p>

市场似乎假设即将到来的信贷紧缩加上积极加息的延迟影响将使经济在今年下半年陷入衰退，迫使美国联准会放宽金融条件以支持增长。<\/strong><\/p>

这是一个广泛的比特币\/加密货币正面叙述，因为它假设未来的金融条件更加宽松，破坏了比特币价格较低的论点。<\/strong><\/p>

假设这种说法在未来几周内基本保持不变，比特币价格在中长期内应该会继续受到支撑。<\/strong><\/p>

作为参考，最近这篇文章中提到的长期链上指标和比特币长期市场周期分析发出了强烈信号，显示该加密货币已进入新牛市的早期阶段。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

比特币 (BTC) 价格至 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[1767],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-104956","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","editors-sze-lam"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ece 50 \u65e5\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\u5927\u5e45\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u6536\u590d 28,000 \u7f8e\u5143 \u2014 \u770b\u6da8 BTC \u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u8003\u8651\u91cd\u65b0\u6d4b\u8bd5\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u7a7a\u95f4<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"比特币 (BTC)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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