{"id":104952,"date":"2023-04-26T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-04-26T07:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=112204"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:41","slug":"jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u98ce\u9669\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u89e6\u53ca 6 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 \u2014 \u7559\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684 BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

Derebit 的比特币波动指数 (DVOL) 刚刚跌至 52，这是自 3 月 8 日以来的最低水平。<\/strong><\/p>

尽管比特币价格最近从上周触及的 31,000 美元上方之 10 个月高点回落，但仍跌至六周多以来的新低点。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

BTC 最后一次易手是在 27,000 美元左右，正当未来的两周将会出现一系列关键的宏观风险事件。<\/strong><\/p>

本周将在周四发布美国今年第一季度 GDP 增长的首次估计，并在周五发布美国联准会 (Fed) 青睐的月度通货膨胀指标 (核心 PCE 报告)。<\/strong><\/p>

亚马逊、苹果、微软和谷歌等美国主要科技巨头本周也将公布财报，这也可能对宏观情绪产生重大的影响。<\/strong><\/p>

下周将公布月度美国 ISM PMI 调查和就业数据，以及美国中央银行的利率决定。<\/strong><\/p>

预计美国联准会将利率从 4.75-5.0% 进一步上调 25 个基点至 5.0-4.25%，尽管货币市场目前暗示这将是该周期的最后一次加息，降息周期可能会在今年晚些时候开始。<\/strong><\/p>

以 DVOL 的下降为代表的比特币波动预期之下降显示了交易员\/投资者认为最近的 BTC 价格回落使得未来几周比特币更有可能在近期范围内盘整（即在 25,000-30,000 美元区域），而不是继续积极地推高，正如 3 月份比特币从短暂跌破 20,000 美元后迅速反弹时所见到那样。<\/strong><\/p>

根据平价 (ATM) 期权定价，以隐含波动形式来衡量比特币波动预期的替代指标也徘徊在近期的低点附近。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

但交易员不应低估即将到来的宏观风险事件可能颠覆市场的风险。<\/strong><\/p>

密切关注这些 BTC 价格水平<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

27,000 美元和 28,000 美元的水平是交易员在本周初最需要关注的水平，因为它们标志着近期的当日内高点和低点，而 50 日移动平均线也位于 27,120 美元。<\/strong><\/p>

不利的一面是，26,500 美元区域在 3 月份被证明是阻力转支撑的关键区域，并且可以提供不错的盘中支撑的是比特币在本周回落至这些水平。<\/strong><\/p>

如果看跌的投资者真的获得控制权，则可能会测试 25,200-400 美元区域的关键长期阻力价位。<\/strong><\/p>

与此同时，从好的方面来看，28,800 美元至 29,300 美元的区域标志着 3 月底\/4 月初的一系列高点和 21 天移动平均线。<\/strong><\/p>

如果看涨的投资者重新获得控制权，这些水平可能与 3 月下旬最近被打破的上升趋势相结合，提供坚实的盘中阻力。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

由彭博社所强调上周中期发出的近期交易信号显示，未来几天内回升反弹至 30,000 美元上方可能是基于历史价格的行为模式。<\/strong><\/p>

更广泛地说，即使比特币回落至 25,000 美元，市场参与者也更有可能将其视为绝佳的买入机会，而不是一场灾难。<\/strong><\/p>

随着众多长期链上指标闪烁着比特币的买入信号，并且长期市场周期分析表明加密货币处于牛市的早期阶段，关注长期发展的逢低买家 (dip-buyers) 可能会在可预见的未来继续支持着比特币价格。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Derebit 的比特币波动指数 (DVOL) 刚刚跌至 52，这是自 3 月 8 日以来的最低水平。尽管比特币价格最近从上周触及的 31,000 美元上方之 10 个月高点回落，但仍跌至六周多以来的新低点。BTC 最后一次易手是在 27,000 美元左右，正当未来的两周将会出现一系列关键的宏观风险事件。本周将在周四发布美国今年第一季度 GDP 增长的首次估计，并在周五发布美国联准会 (Fed) 青睐的月度通货膨胀指标 (核心 PCE 报告)。亚马逊、苹果、微软和谷歌等美国主要科技巨头本周也将公布财报，这也可能对宏观情绪产生重大的影响。下周将公布月度美国 ISM PMI 调查和就业数据，以及美国中央银行的利率决定。预计美国联准会将利率从 4.75-5.0% 进一步上调 25 个基点至 5.0-4.25%，尽管货币市场目前暗示这将是该周期的最后一次加息，降息周期可能会在今年晚些时候开始。以 DVOL 的下降为代表的比特币波动预期之下降显示了交易员\/投资者认为最近的 BTC 价格回落使得未来几周比特币更有可能在近期范围内盘整（即在 25,000-30,000 美元区域），而不是继续积极地推高，正如 3 月份比特币从短暂跌破 20,000 美元后迅速反弹时所见到那样。根据平价 (ATM) 期权定价，以隐含波动形式来衡量比特币波动预期的替代指标也徘徊在近期的低点附近。但交易员不应低估即将到来的宏观风险事件可能颠覆市场的风险。密切关注这些 BTC 价格水平27,000 美元和 28,000 美元的水平是交易员在本周初最需要关注的水平，因为它们标志着近期的当日内高点和低点，而 50 日移动平均线也位于 27,120 美元。不利的一面是，26,500 美元区域在 3 月份被证明是阻力转支撑的关键区域，并且可以提供不错的盘中支撑的是比特币在本周回落至这些水平。如果看跌的投资者真的获得控制权，则可能会测试 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[1767],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-104952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","editors-sze-lam"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u98ce\u9669\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u89e6\u53ca 6 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 \u2014 \u7559\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684 BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Derebit 的比特币波动指数 (DVOL) 刚刚跌至 52，这是自\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u98ce\u9669\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u89e6\u53ca 6 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 \u2014 \u7559\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684 BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Derebit 的比特币波动指数 (DVOL) 刚刚跌至 52，这是自\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Cryptonews China\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-04-26T07:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112204\/271240\/image.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112204\/271240\/image.jpg\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u98ce\u9669\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u89e6\u53ca 6 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 \u2014 \u7559\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684 BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73","description":"Derebit 的比特币波动指数 (DVOL) 刚刚跌至 52，这是自","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u98ce\u9669\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u89e6\u53ca 6 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 \u2014 \u7559\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684 BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73","og_description":"Derebit 的比特币波动指数 (DVOL) 刚刚跌至 52，这是自","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews China","article_published_time":"2023-04-26T07:00:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112204\/271240\/image.jpg","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112204\/271240\/image.jpg","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/"},"author":{"name":"williamgfpl","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/person\/87154d90751a3f3d0973399c504acc82"},"headline":"\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u98ce\u9669\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u89e6\u53ca 6 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 \u2014 \u7559\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684 BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73","datePublished":"2023-04-26T07:00:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/"},"wordCount":18,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112204\/271240\/image.jpg","articleSection":["\u65b0\u95fb","\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u65b0\u95fb"],"inLanguage":"zh-CN","copyrightYear":"2023","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/","name":"\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u98ce\u9669\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u89e6\u53ca 6 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 \u2014 \u7559\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684 BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112204\/271240\/image.jpg","datePublished":"2023-04-26T07:00:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","description":"Derebit 的比特币波动指数 (DVOL) 刚刚跌至 52，这是自","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"zh-CN","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/"]}],"author":[]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-CN","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112204\/271240\/image.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/112204\/271240\/image.jpg"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/jin-guan-hong-guan-feng-xian-shi-jian-po-zai-mei-jie-bi-te-bi-bo-dong-zhi-shu-reng-chu-ji-6-zhou-yi-lai-de-di-dian-liu-yi-zhe-xie-guan-jian-de-btc-jia-ge-shui-ping\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b8f\u89c2\u98ce\u9669\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u89e6\u53ca 6 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9 \u2014 \u7559\u610f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u7684 BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6c34\u5e73"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/","name":"Cryptonews China","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"zh-CN"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization","name":"Cryptonews China","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-CN","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/cropped-CryptoNews-Logo-1.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/cropped-CryptoNews-Logo-1.png","width":100,"height":91,"caption":"Cryptonews China"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104952","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104952"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104952\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104952"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104952"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104952"},{"taxonomy":"editors","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/editors?post=104952"},{"taxonomy":"sponsored_companies","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sponsored_companies?post=104952"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}