{"id":104939,"date":"2023-04-23T04:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-04-23T04:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=111926"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:41","slug":"you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7531\u4e8e BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u591a\u5934\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e05\u7b97\u5728 3 \u5929\u5185\u8fbe\u5230 1.5 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

在过去的几天里，比特币期货市场的杠杆多头资金一直在“rekt”（即在互联网术语中止损的意思）。<\/strong><\/p>

根据加密货币衍生品分析网站 coinglass.com 提供的数据，过去三天的多头资金清算已超过 1.5 亿美元。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

事实上，比特币在过去三天从 30,000 美元中期下跌 10% 至目前的 27,000 美元低位，标志着自年初以来多头资金清算最激烈的时期之一。<\/strong><\/p>

本周早些时候，当 BTC 价格跌破 29,000 美元区域的关键支撑价位时，抛售压力加剧，形式为 1) 21 DMA，2) 3 月底的上升趋势和 3) 3 月底的高点。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

自这次的看跌趋势以来，技术人员的目标是重新测试 26,500-800 美元区域的支撑价位，形式为 3 月和 50 日均线的支撑转阻力价位。<\/strong><\/p>

为什么比特币本周下跌？<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

宏观发展可以部分解释比特币本周的跌幅，目前跌幅接近 10%（作为参考，这将是比特币自去年 11 月 FTX 倒闭以来最严重的单周跌幅）。<\/strong><\/p>

美国的调查数据描绘了美国经济势头喜忧参半的景象，混淆了对经济前景的预期以及美国联准会进一步收紧政策的前景。<\/strong><\/p>

再加上远高于预期的英国通货膨胀数据推动美国国债收益率在本周走高，这通常对比特币等非收益加密资产不利。<\/strong><\/p>

一些分析师指出，美国监管形势的持续不确定性是加密货币承受压力的另一个因素，本周早些时候美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 主席 Gary Gensler  在国会的露面为前景增添了不确定性。<\/strong><\/p>

与此同时，欧盟通过了具有里程碑意义的加密货币法规，但对提振情绪没有起到什么作用。<\/strong><\/p>

事实上，本周发展似乎主要是在今年开局非常强劲之后获利回吐导致了大量过于乐观\/贪婪的多头清算资金，而他们之前预计比特币将突破 30,000 美元。<\/strong><\/p>

比特币市场降温<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

事实上，当 BTC 价格上周触及 30,000 美元以上的 10 个月新高时，上周许多指标都在闪烁，显示比特币市场可能在短期内过热。<\/strong><\/p>

14 天相对强弱指数已升至 70 以上，显示市场超买。现在已跌至 42 左右，如果比特币跌幅扩大至 25\/26,000 美元，可能很快就会发出超卖市场的信号。<\/strong><\/p>

与此同时，BTC 的 30 天滚动回报率也飙升至 11 月底以来的最高水平。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

随着进一步乐观情绪的消退，在未来几天\/几周内，肯定会出现继续回落至 25,200-400 美元区域支撑价位的前景。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

但这不应该对长期牛市理论造成太大损害，并且可能为长期多头重返市场提供了一个极好的切入点。<\/strong><\/p>

正如周四的一篇文章所述，短期比特币期权 25% 的 delta 偏斜已经转为负值，但长期期权的偏斜则继续趋于正值。<\/strong><\/p>

当你考虑宏观因素、链上趋势和中长期技术指标时，对比特币长期价格前景的信心是有道理的。<\/strong><\/p>

尽管美国联准会将加息多少次以及何时开始降息仍存在重大的不确定性，但有一点似乎是确定的 — 随着美国通货膨胀和经济增长放缓，美国联准会的紧缩周期似乎即将结束。<\/strong><\/p>

这意味着金融状况的不利变化不太可能像 2022 年那样成为 2023 年加密货币市场的主要逆风。<\/strong><\/p>

与此同时，比特币可能会继续从最近的关键技术发展中获得顺风，包括 1) 比特币在 3 月中旬从其 200 日均线和已实现价格的惊人反弹，以及 2) 比特币在二月早期的“黄金交叉”（当 50 日均线高于 200 日均线时）。<\/strong><\/p>

在其他地方，一连串的链上和市场周期指标都在尖叫，去年的低点标志着加密货币熊市的结束。许多投资者仍然相信比特币的 2023 年牛市将会继续存在。<\/strong><\/p>

因此，每次比特币价格大幅下跌时，预计寻求廉价交易者和逢低买入者都会在场外急切等待，就像 3 月中旬的情况一样。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

在过去的几天里，比特币期货市场的杠杆多头资金一直在“rekt”（即在互联网术语中止损的意思）。根据加密货币衍生品分析网站 coinglass.com 提供的数据，过去三天的多头资金清算已超过 1.5 亿美元。事实上，比特币在过去三天从 30,000 美元中期下跌 10% 至目前的 27,000 美元低位，标志着自年初以来多头资金清算最激烈的时期之一。本周早些时候，当 BTC 价格跌破 29,000 美元区域的关键支撑价位时，抛售压力加剧，形式为 1) 21 DMA，2) 3 月底的上升趋势和 3) 3 月底的高点。自这次的看跌趋势以来，技术人员的目标是重新测试 26,500-800 美元区域的支撑价位，形式为 3 月和 50 日均线的支撑转阻力价位。为什么比特币本周下跌？宏观发展可以部分解释比特币本周的跌幅，目前跌幅接近 10%（作为参考，这将是比特币自去年 11 月 FTX 倒闭以来最严重的单周跌幅）。美国的调查数据描绘了美国经济势头喜忧参半的景象，混淆了对经济前景的预期以及美国联准会进一步收紧政策的前景。再加上远高于预期的英国通货膨胀数据推动美国国债收益率在本周走高，这通常对比特币等非收益加密资产不利。一些分析师指出，美国监管形势的持续不确定性是加密货币承受压力的另一个因素，本周早些时候美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 主席 Gary Gensler  在国会的露面为前景增添了不确定性。与此同时，欧盟通过了具有里程碑意义的加密货币法规，但对提振情绪没有起到什么作用。事实上，本周发展似乎主要是在今年开局非常强劲之后获利回吐导致了大量过于乐观\/贪婪的多头清算资金，而他们之前预计比特币将突破 30,000 美元。比特币市场降温事实上，当 BTC 价格上周触及 30,000 美元以上的 10 个月新高时，上周许多指标都在闪烁，显示比特币市场可能在短期内过热。14 天相对强弱指数已升至 70 以上，显示市场超买。现在已跌至 42 左右，如果比特币跌幅扩大至 25\/26,000 美元，可能很快就会发出超卖市场的信号。与此同时，BTC 的 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[1767],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-104939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news","editors-sze-lam"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u7531\u4e8e BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u591a\u5934\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e05\u7b97\u5728 3 \u5929\u5185\u8fbe\u5230 1.5 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"在过去的几天里，比特币期货市场的杠杆多\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u7531\u4e8e BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u591a\u5934\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e05\u7b97\u5728 3 \u5929\u5185\u8fbe\u5230 1.5 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"在过去的几天里，比特币期货市场的杠杆多\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Cryptonews China\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-04-23T04:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/111926\/270646\/image.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/111926\/270646\/image.jpg\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u7531\u4e8e BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u591a\u5934\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e05\u7b97\u5728 3 \u5929\u5185\u8fbe\u5230 1.5 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143","description":"在过去的几天里，比特币期货市场的杠杆多","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"\u7531\u4e8e BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u591a\u5934\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e05\u7b97\u5728 3 \u5929\u5185\u8fbe\u5230 1.5 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143","og_description":"在过去的几天里，比特币期货市场的杠杆多","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/","og_site_name":"Cryptonews China","article_published_time":"2023-04-23T04:00:00+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/111926\/270646\/image.jpg","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/111926\/270646\/image.jpg","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/"},"author":{"name":"williamgfpl","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/person\/87154d90751a3f3d0973399c504acc82"},"headline":"\u7531\u4e8e BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u591a\u5934\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e05\u7b97\u5728 3 \u5929\u5185\u8fbe\u5230 1.5 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143","datePublished":"2023-04-23T04:00:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/"},"wordCount":21,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/111926\/270646\/image.jpg","articleSection":["\u65b0\u95fb","\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u65b0\u95fb"],"inLanguage":"zh-CN","copyrightYear":"2023","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/","name":"\u7531\u4e8e BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u591a\u5934\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e05\u7b97\u5728 3 \u5929\u5185\u8fbe\u5230 1.5 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/111926\/270646\/image.jpg","datePublished":"2023-04-23T04:00:00+00:00","dateModified":"2023-06-26T11:26:41+00:00","description":"在过去的几天里，比特币期货市场的杠杆多","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"zh-CN","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/"]}],"author":[]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-CN","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/111926\/270646\/image.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cimg.co\/news\/111926\/270646\/image.jpg"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/you-yu-btc-jia-ge-xian-yi-die-zhi-zhe-yi-guan-jian-zu-li-jia-wei-bi-te-bi-duo-tou-zi-jin-de-qing-suan-zai-3-tian-nei-da-dao-15-yi-mei-yuan\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"\u7531\u4e8e BTC \u4ef7\u683c\u73b0\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u963b\u529b\u4ef7\u4f4d\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u591a\u5934\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u6e05\u7b97\u5728 3 \u5929\u5185\u8fbe\u5230 1.5 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/","name":"Cryptonews China","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"zh-CN"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#organization","name":"Cryptonews China","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-CN","@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/cropped-CryptoNews-Logo-1.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2023\/09\/cropped-CryptoNews-Logo-1.png","width":100,"height":91,"caption":"Cryptonews China"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104939","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104939"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104939\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104939"},{"taxonomy":"editors","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/editors?post=104939"},{"taxonomy":"sponsored_companies","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/sponsored_companies?post=104939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}