{"id":104186,"date":"2023-02-07T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-02-07T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=104186"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:26:42","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:26:42","slug":"peng-bo-she-bloomberg-zhe-ming-shi-chang-ce-lue-shi-biao-shi-jia-mi-huo-bi-de-zhen-zheng-shuai-tui-yi-jing-dao-lai-qie-yu-shi-zhe-yi-ge-ju-da-li-cheng-bei-de-dao-lai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/peng-bo-she-bloomberg-zhe-ming-shi-chang-ce-lue-shi-biao-shi-jia-mi-huo-bi-de-zhen-zheng-shuai-tui-yi-jing-dao-lai-qie-yu-shi-zhe-yi-ge-ju-da-li-cheng-bei-de-dao-lai\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5f6d\u535a\u793e (Bloomberg) \u8457\u540d\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u8870\u9000\u5df2\u7ecf\u5230\u6765\uff0c\u4e14\u9884\u793a\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u7684\u5230\u6765"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

一位著名的彭博策略师预测，加密货币市场可能面临“第一次真正的衰退”，并且不能排除这样的衰退类似于比特币 (BTC) 发明一样的具有里程碑之意义。<\/strong><\/p>

彭博社资深市场策略师 Mike McGlone 本周末在推特上提醒他的追随者，美国上一次重大经济收缩，即 2007 年至 2008 年的全球金融危机，直接导致了比特币的诞生。<\/strong><\/p>

他说，如果我们现在有了另一场“真正的衰退”，就可以看到一个类似的结果或科技上的突破。<\/strong><\/p>

比特币的白皮书于 2008 年 10 月发布，距金融危机发生不到一年，距离美国主要投资银行雷曼兄弟的倒闭仅一个月。<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>

加密货币的价格会下跌多少？<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

McGlone 因普遍看好比特币而广受欢迎，他认为，随着我们进入衰退，关键问题是在加密货币的长期上升趋势恢复之前，其整体的价格将会下跌多少。<\/strong><\/p>

McGlone 推文中的截图进一步指出，纳斯达克 100 指数是比特币往往会与之产生相关性的一个科技股指数，它目前正围绕其 200 周移动平均线进行交易。该报告称，这样的价格水平仍然“基于美国经济衰退的历史而保持在相对较高的价位”。<\/strong><\/p>

它补充说，纳斯达克 100 指数在 2002 年跌至比其 200 周移动平均线低了近 70% 的水平，而在 2009 年则低了约 40%。<\/strong><\/p>

“如果风险资产浪潮继续消退，我们预计加密货币市场也不会幸免，”该报告在最终提供乐观的长期预测之前如此说道。<\/strong><\/p>

“在不太可能出现的软着陆之情况下，彭博银河加密货币指数 (the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index) 似乎有望恢复其击败大多数股票指数的历史记录。”<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

经济衰退的可能性很高<\/strong><\/h2><\/span>

McGlone 的推文是在三天前彭博情报 (Bloomberg Intelligence) 发布 2 月份的加密货币展望之后发布的。在那份报告中，McGlone 还警告经济衰退的可能性及其对加密货币价格的影响。<\/strong><\/p>

McGlone 在报告中警告说：“由于美国收益率曲线在我们的数据库中显示自 1992 年以来衰退的可能性最高，因此这些指数似乎不太可能避免恢复 2022 年的下跌轨迹。”<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

一位著名的彭博策略师预测，加密货币市场可能面临“第一次真正的衰退”，并且不能排除这样的衰退类似于比特币 (BTC) 发明一样的具有里程碑之意义。彭博社资深市场策略师 Mike McGlone 本周末在推特上提醒他的追随者，美国上一次重大经济收缩，即 2007 年至 2008 年的全球金融危机，直接导致了比特币的诞生。他说，如果我们现在有了另一场“真正的衰退”，就可以看到一个类似的结果或科技上的突破。比特币的白皮书于 2008 年 10 月发布，距金融危机发生不到一年，距离美国主要投资银行雷曼兄弟的倒闭仅一个月。加密货币的价格会下跌多少？McGlone 因普遍看好比特币而广受欢迎，他认为，随着我们进入衰退，关键问题是在加密货币的长期上升趋势恢复之前，其整体的价格将会下跌多少。McGlone 推文中的截图进一步指出，纳斯达克 100 指数是比特币往往会与之产生相关性的一个科技股指数，它目前正围绕其 200 周移动平均线进行交易。该报告称，这样的价格水平仍然“基于美国经济衰退的历史而保持在相对较高的价位”。它补充说，纳斯达克 100 指数在 2002 年跌至比其 200 周移动平均线低了近 70% 的水平，而在 2009 年则低了约 40%。“如果风险资产浪潮继续消退，我们预计加密货币市场也不会幸免，”该报告在最终提供乐观的长期预测之前如此说道。 “在不太可能出现的软着陆之情况下，彭博银河加密货币指数 (the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index) 似乎有望恢复其击败大多数股票指数的历史记录。” 经济衰退的可能性很高McGlone 的推文是在三天前彭博情报 (Bloomberg Intelligence) 发布 2 月份的加密货币展望之后发布的。在那份报告中，McGlone 还警告经济衰退的可能性及其对加密货币价格的影响。McGlone 在报告中警告说：“由于美国收益率曲线在我们的数据库中显示自 1992 年以来衰退的可能性最高，因此这些指数似乎不太可能避免恢复 2022 年的下跌轨迹。”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,6],"tags":[],"editors":[],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-104186","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-bitcoin-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u5f6d\u535a\u793e (Bloomberg) \u8457\u540d\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u8870\u9000\u5df2\u7ecf\u5230\u6765\uff0c\u4e14\u9884\u793a\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u7684\u5230\u6765<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"一位著名的彭博策略师预测，加密货币市场\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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