{"id":103187,"date":"2023-01-31T12:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-01-31T12:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cn.cryptonews.com\/?p=103187"},"modified":"2023-06-26T11:27:01","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T11:27:01","slug":"zhi-ming-jia-mi-huo-bi-shi-chang-ce-lue-shi-zai-mei-guo-lian-zhun-hui-fed-zhao-kai-hui-yi-qian-yu-ce-ke-neng-hui-chu-xian-de-jia-ge-da-tu-sha2-yue-1-ri-jiang-cheng-wei-zhu-mu-jiao-dian","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/cn\/news\/zhi-ming-jia-mi-huo-bi-shi-chang-ce-lue-shi-zai-mei-guo-lian-zhun-hui-fed-zhao-kai-hui-yi-qian-yu-ce-ke-neng-hui-chu-xian-de-jia-ge-da-tu-sha2-yue-1-ri-jiang-cheng-wei-zhu-mu-jiao-dian\/","title":{"rendered":"\u77e5\u540d\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a (Fed) \u53ec\u5f00\u4f1a\u8bae\u524d\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u201c\u5927\u5c60\u6740\u201d\uff1a2 \u6708 1 \u65e5\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u77a9\u76ee\u7126\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>

一位知名市场策略师警告说，随着本周三重要的美国联准会 (Fed) 之会议临近，包括加密货币市场在内的风险资产的价格“大屠杀”可能成为现实。<\/strong><\/p>

这位 Twitter 用户名为 The Carter 的策略师表示，美国联准会主席 Jerome Powell 本周三将以比市场目前预期更为强硬和鹰派的方式来表态。他认为，这将导致所有风险资产的大幅抛售，其中包括比特币 (BTC) 和大多数其他的数位资产。<\/strong><\/p>

“2 月 1 日将会溅血。Powell 将透过正面强行的降息来重新收紧金融的状况，” 他在周五发布的 Twitter 贴文中写道。<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>

这位策略师透过将 Powell 描述为“可能是历史上最透明的美国联准会主席”来为自己的观点辩护，同时补充道：<\/strong><\/p>

“他用张开的手来打球。我们看看他的‘手’……”<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

这位受欢迎的分析师接着提到了 Powell 早些时候的声明，他在声明中表示，“过度紧缩”对经济的风险要小于没有采取足够措施来将通货膨胀降至目标的水平。<\/strong><\/p>

“如果发生这种情况，我们可以大力地支持经济活动，” Powell 在谈到过度紧缩的风险时被引述这么说。<\/strong><\/p>

<\/oembed><\/figure>

这位美国联准会的观察员和市场策略师在贴文中补充说，美国联准会的书面声明和 Powell 本周三的新闻发布会都可能会“非常的鹰派”。<\/strong><\/p>

“这是 Powell 在 2 月 1 日如何锤打的问题，而非会不会锤打的问题，”他写道，然后就交易员应该在 Powell 的新闻发布会上关注什么提出了一些建议：<\/strong><\/p>

“关注他将如何强行将话题转向美国联准会需要维持多长时间的最终利率，以及为什么。关注他将如何详述 1970 年代的教训。”<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

The Carter 进一步表示，实在“让我难以理解”的是，市场将可能如何继续“打脸 Powell，而不是期待他的反击 […]”，。<\/strong><\/p>

接着他又再一次重申：<\/strong><\/p>

“2 月 1 日将会溅血。”<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>

美国联准会定于本周三美国东部时间下午 2 点（世界标准时间晚上 7 点）宣布其最新的利率决定，大多数分析师预计会加息 25 个基点。这也是市场目前的定价，例如 CME 的 FedWatch 工具估计加息 25 个基点的可能性为 98.1%。<\/strong><\/p>

\"\"<\/figure>

美国联准会主席 Jerome Powell 过去曾表示，在美国联准会考虑暂停加息之前，他需要看到通货膨胀以有意义的方式走低。 12 月份的最新通货膨胀报告显示，美国的年度通货膨胀率已降至 6.5%。<\/strong><\/p>

美国联准会的长期通货膨胀率之目标是每年 2%。<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

一位知名市场策略师警告说，随着本周三重要的美国联准会 (Fed) 之会议临近，包括加密货币市场在内的风险资产的价格“大屠杀”可能成为现实。这位 Twitter 用户名为 The Carter 的策略师表示，美国联准会主席 Jerome Powell 本周三将以比市场目前预期更为强硬和鹰派的方式来表态。他认为，这将导致所有风险资产的大幅抛售，其中包括比特币 (BTC) 和大多数其他的数位资产。“2 月 1 日将会溅血。Powell 将透过正面强行的降息来重新收紧金融的状况，” 他在周五发布的 Twitter 贴文中写道。这位策略师透过将 Powell 描述为“可能是历史上最透明的美国联准会主席”来为自己的观点辩护，同时补充道： “他用张开的手来打球。我们看看他的‘手’……” 这位受欢迎的分析师接着提到了 Powell 早些时候的声明，他在声明中表示，“过度紧缩”对经济的风险要小于没有采取足够措施来将通货膨胀降至目标的水平。“如果发生这种情况，我们可以大力地支持经济活动，” Powell 在谈到过度紧缩的风险时被引述这么说。这位美国联准会的观察员和市场策略师在贴文中补充说，美国联准会的书面声明和 Powell 本周三的新闻发布会都可能会“非常的鹰派”。“这是 Powell 在 2 月 1 日如何锤打的问题，而非会不会锤打的问题，”他写道，然后就交易员应该在 Powell 的新闻发布会上关注什么提出了一些建议： “关注他将如何强行将话题转向美国联准会需要维持多长时间的最终利率，以及为什么。关注他将如何详述 1970 年代的教训。” The Carter 进一步表示，实在“让我难以理解”的是，市场将可能如何继续“打脸 Powell，而不是期待他的反击 […]”，。接着他又再一次重申： “2 月 1 日将会溅血。” 美国联准会定于本周三美国东部时间下午 2 点（世界标准时间晚上 7 点）宣布其最新的利率决定，大多数分析师预计会加息 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,1],"tags":[],"editors":[],"sponsored_companies":[],"class_list":["post-103187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blockchain-news","category-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u77e5\u540d\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u5e02\u573a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a (Fed) \u53ec\u5f00\u4f1a\u8bae\u524d\u9884\u6d4b\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u201c\u5927\u5c60\u6740\u201d\uff1a2 \u6708 1 \u65e5\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u77a9\u76ee\u7126\u70b9<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"一位知名市场策略师警告说，随着本周三重\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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